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TROPICAL STORM BONNIE - SevereWxEnthusiast - 05-23-2016 02:33 PM

Three or more models hinting at a tropical/subtropical system developing Friday 5/27 through Monday 5/30, MJO is ticking up in the same time period.


RE: SE US Next week ??? - Squirrelmonkey - 05-23-2016 02:40 PM

link?


RE: SE US Next week ??? - SevereWxEnthusiast - 05-23-2016 02:52 PM

Sure thing - I figured most of us weather geeks on here this early would have this one:

FSU model page


RE: SE US Next week ??? - Squirrelmonkey - 05-23-2016 03:06 PM

Thanks!


RE: SE US Next week ??? - ROLLTIDE - 05-23-2016 05:25 PM

https://www.wunderground.com/news/atlantic-basin-tropical-subtropical-development-late-may-early-june-2016


RE: SE US Next week ??? - Alex - 05-24-2016 04:15 PM

No, no no...

Quote:ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

SPECIAL TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
335 PM EDT TUE MAY 24 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. An area of showers and thunderstorms over the western Atlantic Ocean
near and northeast of the Bahamas is associated with the
interaction of an upper-level trough and a weakening cold front.
While development is not expected for the next couple of days,
environmental conditions could become more conducive for some
tropical or subtropical development by Friday. This area of
disturbed weather is expected to move slowly west-northwestward or
northwestward and gradually approach the southeastern United
States over the next few days. The next Special Tropical Weather
Outlook will be issued by 4 PM EDT Wednesday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent

Forecaster Blake



RE: SE US Next week ??? - Batt2fd - 05-24-2016 04:41 PM

[Image: two_atl_5d0.png]


RE: SE US Next week ??? - ROLLTIDE - 05-25-2016 08:04 AM

50%


RE: SE US Next week ??? - ROLLTIDE - 05-25-2016 11:29 AM

INVEST 91L


RE: INVEST 91L - ROLLTIDE - 05-25-2016 11:31 AM

[Image: storm_91.gif]