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Wilma main thread - anthill - 10-20-2005 01:43 PM

Interesting Nasa visualization of this season's hurricane linup here.


Wilma main thread - ROLLTIDE - 10-20-2005 01:47 PM

[Image: WILMA.d1.movie.gif]


Wilma main thread - Alabamaboy - 10-20-2005 01:51 PM

Here are the latest model runs as of 20/12Z


Wilma main thread - Chris48 - 10-20-2005 01:56 PM

I find it important to note, somthing Alabamba didnt show in his plot, the BAM enemble also shifted north to come into agreement with the LBAR. Also, the 98E hurricane center model is in agreement with the LBAR and the BAMM.


Wilma main thread - bobbo4554 - 10-20-2005 02:00 PM

These models and messed up, I guess as chris said only time will tell i think tommorrow when the hurricane goes in the gulf thats when the models will get their act together and we will have a better forecast of where shes going. i just dont buy the bouncing off of mexico and going through central cuba. Like i have never seen a storm move in a sharp right i have seen them loop but i dont think A98E or the mm5 is correct because i have never seen one stop and curve down then back to the NE. She is however now moving to the NW so the possibility of her missing the yucatan altogether still exists.

Chris- really that bodes not good for my area.


Wilma main thread - Alabamaboy - 10-20-2005 02:21 PM

Chris48 Wrote:I find it important to note, somthing Alabamba didnt show in his plot, the BAM enemble also shifted north to come into agreement with the LBAR. Also, the 98E hurricane center model is in agreement with the LBAR and the BAMM.

We will see when the 18Z comes out. But I get my runs from the NHC so I get the same thing that they get.


Wilma main thread - Chris48 - 10-20-2005 02:22 PM

And yes, the possibility of it missing the yucatan is becoming more and more. Wilma is to the RIGHT of the guidance envelope and to the RIGHT of the 11 am forcast. the word RIGHT has never been used with Wilma till today...
[Image: storm_24.gif]


Wilma main thread - Alabamaboy - 10-20-2005 02:33 PM

Well I got them sooner that I usually do. But here are the latest model runs as of 20/18Z


Wilma main thread - soonermeteor - 10-20-2005 02:38 PM

well, for cozomels and cancuns sake, lets hope she stays in this ERC long enough. She will probably still be a cat 4, but maybe even down to 135 or something.


Wilma main thread - Chris48 - 10-20-2005 02:45 PM

283
Urnt12 Knhc 201910z
Vortex Data Message
A. 20/1843z
B. 18 Deg 44 Min N
85 Deg 35 Min W
C. 700 Mb 2415 Ma
D. Na
E. Na
F. 089 Deg 145 Kt
G. 350 Deg 15 Nm
H. 918 Mb
I. 13 C/ 3050 M
J. 20 C/ 3041 M
K. 19 C/ Na
L. Closed Wall
M. C 35
N. 12345/7
O. 1/1 Nm
P. Noaa2 1124a Wilma Ob 3
Max Fl Wind 145 Kt N Quad 1840z
Good Radar Presentation