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Wilma main thread - soonermeteor - 10-23-2005 10:38 PM

well at least she has had eye issues, she hasnt been able to form a real eye, and that will prevent her from becoming much stronger... i think that 120-125 is the most we will see, if that.


Wilma main thread - ROLLTIDE - 10-23-2005 10:45 PM

Hurrevac 11pm wind maps


Wilma main thread - Chris48 - 10-23-2005 10:48 PM

Rolltide where do you get those images from???


Wilma main thread - Alabamaboy - 10-23-2005 10:53 PM

Here are the latest positions cone error and strike probabilities as of 11:00PM EST by the NHC


Wilma main thread - KLC - 10-23-2005 10:56 PM

Soonermeteor - Collier County had mandatory evacs along the coast in the high surge zone. Marco Island is estimated to be 90% out, but the numbers are probably up a little because a lot of the news folks are staying in Marco. I'm way inland Naples/Collier County. It just started to rain at my house so it's time for me to sign off and return to the safer side.

Karen


Wilma main thread - Alabamaboy - 10-23-2005 11:12 PM

Off the Key West Long Range Radar


Wilma main thread - Chris48 - 10-23-2005 11:45 PM

PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DROP


984
URNT12 KNHC 240443
VORTEX DATA MESSAGE
A. 24/04:21:40Z
B. 24 deg 41 min N
083 deg 32 min W
C. 700 mb 2720 m
D. NA kt
E. NA deg nm
F. 294 deg 112 kt
G. 206 deg 036 nm
H. 954 mb
I. 12 C/ 3050 m
J. 16 C/ 3041 m
K. 13 C/ NA
L. CLOSED WALL
M. C60
N. 1234 / 7
O. 0.02 / 3 nm
P. AF305 2424A WILMA OB 26
MAX FL WIND 114 KT NE QUAD 01:04:30 Z
MAX FL TEMP 17 C, 203 / 29NM


Wilma main thread - soonermeteor - 10-23-2005 11:50 PM

KLC Wrote:Soonermeteor - Collier County had mandatory evacs along the coast in the high surge zone. Marco Island is estimated to be 90% out, but the numbers are probably up a little because a lot of the news folks are staying in Marco. I'm way inland Naples/Collier County. It just started to rain at my house so it's time for me to sign off and return to the safer side.

Karen

im glad to here there were at least some evacuations.... I know i am far away and wont here everything, but i know i heard a lot more about evacuations for other hurricanes than for this one.


Wilma main thread - Chris48 - 10-23-2005 11:58 PM

Zczc Miatceat4 All
Ttaa00 Knhc Ddhhmm
Hurricane Wilma Tropical Cyclone Position Estimate
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
12 Am Edt Mon Oct 24 2005

At 12 Am Edt...0400z... Data From The Noaa Doppler Radar In Key West
Florida Indicates The Center Of The Large Eye Of Hurricane Wilma
Was Located Near Latitude 24.5 North...longitude 83.6 West Or About
115 Miles...185 Km... West Of Key West Florida And About 160
Miles... 260 Km...southwest Of Naples Florida.

Sustained Tropical Storm-force Winds Are Occurring Over The Lower
And Middle Florida Keys... And Are Now Within 20 Miles Of The
Southwestern Florida Coast. During The Past Hour... A Sustained
Wind Of 45 Mph With A Gust To 60 Mph Was Reported At Key West...
And A Gust To 61 Mph Was Measured By The C-man Observing Site On
Sombrero Key.

Forecaster Stewart

$$
Nnnn


Wilma main thread - akd - 10-24-2005 12:03 AM

000
WTNT34 KNHC 240459
TCPAT4
BULLETIN
HURRICANE WILMA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 35A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1 AM EDT MON OCT 24 2005

...WILMA HEADED FOR THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST...TROPICAL STORM
FORCE WINDS LASHING THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS AND WESTERN CUBA...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS... INCLUDING THE DRY TORTUGAS AND FLORIDA BAY...ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM LONGBOAT KEY SOUTHWARD... AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM TITUSVILLE SOUTHWARD... INCLUDING LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST
COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO STEINHATCHEE RIVER...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF TITUSVILLE TO ST. AUGUSTINE.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF
FLORIDA FROM NORTH OF ST. AUGUSTINE TO FERNANDINA BEACH.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CUBAN PROVINCES OF
CIUDAD DE LA HABANA...LA HABANA...AND PINAR DEL RIO. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE ISLE OF YOUTH. A HURRICANE
WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCE OF MATANZAS. THESE WARNINGS
AND WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED LATER THIS MORNING.

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWESTERN
BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ABACOS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS...
BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND...AND NEW PROVIDENCE.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 1 AM EDT...0500Z...THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE OF HURRICANE WILMA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH... LONGITUDE 83.3 WEST OR
ABOUT 100 MILES WEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA...AND ABOUT 140 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF NAPLES FLORIDA.

WILMA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH...AND AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED TODAY. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER
WILL MAKE LANDFALL ALONG THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA LATER THIS MORNING. HOWEVER... WILMA IS A LARGE
HURRICANE AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS WILL REACH THE FLORIDA
PENINSULA WELL BEFORE THE EYE MAKES LANDFALL. THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE EYEWALL... ACCOMPANIED BY THE STRONGEST WINDS...
WILL REACH THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF FLORIDA ABOUT 2 HOURS BEFORE
THE CENTER OF THE LARGE EYE MAKES LANDFALL.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WILMA
IS A CATEGORY THREE HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE. LITTLE
CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED UNTIL LANDFALL. SOME WEAKENING IS
LIKELY AS WILMA CROSSES THE SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 230 MILES. A WIND GUST TO 53 MPH WAS REPORTED AT HAVANA CUBA AND
A WIND GUST TO 49 MPH WAS REPORTED AT KEY WEST.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 954 MB...28.17 INCHES.

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 9 TO 17 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS
POSSIBLE ALONG THE SOUTHWEST FLORIDA COAST NEAR AND TO THE
SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER OF WILMA MAKES LANDFALL. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 5 TO 8 FT ABOVE NORMAL IS POSSIBLE IN THE FLORIDA KEYS
AND FLORIDA BAY... AS WELL AS IN LAKE OKEECHOBEE. STORM SURGE
FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET IS POSSIBLE ALONG THE EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
COAST OF FLORIDA.

WILMA MAY PRODUCE ADDITIONAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10
INCHES THROUGH TODAY ACROSS PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA. RAINFALL
ACROSS SOUTHERN FLORIDA AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL FLORIDA...
INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS IS EXPECTED TO BE 4 TO 8 INCHES... WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. RAINFALL TOTALS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
BAHAMAS.

LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY WILMA WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT PORTIONS OF
THE NORTHEASTERN GULF COAST FROM THE FLORIDA KEYS NORTHWARD TODAY.

SOME TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN FLORIDA PENINSULA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS THIS MORNING.

REPEATING THE 1 AM EDT POSITION......24.7 N... 83.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 18 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 954 MB.

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 3 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

Sorry Florida. Sad