Mobile, AL

[ROLLTIDE]

Tuesday: Occasional showers and thunderstorms, mainly before noon. Some of the storms could be severe. Temperature falling to around 52 by 5pm. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

[ROLLTIDE]

A Dense Fog Advisory Is In Effect From 9 Pm This Evening To 4 Am Tuesday Morning.

.a Cold Front Approaching The Area From The West Will Allow For A Warm And Moist Airmass To Move Inland Over Interior Se Msi.
Portions Of Sw Al & The Western Fl Panhandle This Evening. As This Airmass Moves Interacts With The Relatively Cooler Near Shore Coastal Waters.areas Of Dense Fog Will Likely Develop Near The Coast By The Mid Evening Hrs Tonight & Gradually Spread Inland Through The Early Morning Hrs Tuesday. As We Approach Daybreak Tues However.increased Thunderstorm Activity As Well As Increasing Low Level Winds & Clouds Aloft.will Likely Result In The Dissipation Of The More Widespread Fog. For This Reason.the Advisory Is In Effect Only Through 4 Am.


Alz061>064-flz002-msz075-076-078-079-170545-
/o.new.kmob.fg.y.0003.060117t0300z-060117t1000z/
Upper Mobile-upper Baldwin-lwr Mobile-lwr Baldwin- Coastal Escambia-perry-greene-stone-george-
Including The Cities Of.prichard.saraland.bay Minette.
Tillmans Corner.theodore.daphne.fairhope.foley.
Spanish Fort.pensacola.ferry Pass.brent.west Pensacola.
Bellview.ensley.myrtle Grove.richton.beaumont.
New Augusta.leakesville.mclain.wiggins.lucedale
332 Pm Cst Mon Jan 16 2006

.dense Fog Advisory In Effect From 9 Pm This Evening To 4 Am Cst Tuesday.

The Natl Weather Svc In Mobile Has Issued A Dense Fog Advisory.which Is In Effect From 9 Pm This Evening To 4 Am Cst Tuesday.

Areas Of Dense Fog Will Likely Develop Near The Coast By The Mid Evening Hrs Tonight & Gradually Spread Inland Through The Early Morning Hrs Tuesday.

A Dense Fog Advisory Means Visibilities Will Frequently Be Reduced To Less Than One Quarter Mile. If Driving.slow Down.
Use Your Headlights.& Leave Plenty Of Distance Ahead Of You.

$$

[ROLLTIDE]

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Mobile Al
908 Am Cst Tue Jan 17 2006

Alz051>064-flz001>006-msz079-171715-
Baldwin Coastal-baldwin Inland-butler-choctaw-clarke-conecuh-
Covington-crenshaw-escambia-escambia Coastal-escambia Inland-george-
Mobile Coastal-mobile Inland-monroe-okaloosa Coastal-okaloosa Inland-
Santa Rosa Coastal-santa Rosa Inland-washington-wilcox-
908 Am Cst Tue Jan 17 2006

.now...
Through 1030 Am Cst...two Lines Of Showers And Thunderstorms Will
Continue To Move East At Around 35 To 40 Mph Across Portions Of
Interior Southeast Mississippi And Much Of Southwest Alabama And The
Western Florida Panhandle. The Western Most Line Extended From Near
Camden...to Chatom...to Lucedale. These Storms Are Located Along A
Cold Front That Continues To Move East. Another Line Of Storms
Over Southwest Alabama...from Near Monroeville To Bay Minette...
Across Mobile Bay To Near Bayou La Batre Will Also Continue To Move
East At Around 35 To 40 Mph. This Eastern Most Line Has The
Potential To Produce The Strongest Thunderstorms Through 1030
Am. The Main Threat With Both Lines Of Showers And Thunderstorms Will
Be Isolated Tornadoes And Wind Gusts Up To 50 Mph. Rainfall Rates
With The Stronger Storms Could Approach Nearly One Inch Per Hour.
The Best Threat Of Severe Weather Will Likely Be East Of I-65 In
Alabama And Over The Florida Panhandle During The Late Morning And
Early Afternoon Hours.

[Alex]

Despite the chances of thunderstorms and severe weather, all that I noted was moderate and steady rainfall all day. According to Alan Seals, there was some lightning in the area and an inch of rain at the WKRG studios. However, that's according to him. I noted no thunder or lightning, but definitely saw an inch or so of rainfall near Cottage Hill and Hillcrest Roads. Lows in the low 30s tonight with rapid clearing, very typical of a winter time frontal passage.

[ROLLTIDE]

Short Term Forecast
SHORT TERM FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
900 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2006

ALZ056>064-FLZ001>006-211700-
BALDWIN COASTAL-BALDWIN INLAND-BUTLER-CONECUH-COVINGTON-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-ESCAMBIA COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-MOBILE COASTAL-
MOBILE INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-OKALOOSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
SANTA ROSA INLAND-
900 AM CST SAT JAN 21 2006

.NOW...
PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO
IMPACT THE GULF COAST THROUGH LATE MORNING. LATEST RADAR
TRENDS SHOW THE BEST CONCENTRATION OF RAINS TO BE MOVING SLOWLY
EASTWARD ACROSS THE NORTHWEST FLORIDA PANHANDLE THROUGH 11 AM.
WIND GUSTS TO 25 MPH...FREQUENT CLOUD TO GROUND LIGHTNING AND VERY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT IN THUNDERSTORMS.

$$

[ROLLTIDE]

Alz063-064-flz002-004-006-221300-
/o.new.kmob.fg.y.0004.060122t0000z-060122t1300z/
Lwr Mobile-lwr Baldwin-coastal Escambia-coastal Santa Rosa-
Coastal Okaloosa-
Including The Cities Of.tillmans Corner.theodore.daphne.
Fairhope.foley.spanish Fort.pensacola.ferry Pass.
Brent.west Pensacola.bellview.ensley.myrtle Grove.
Pace.milton.gulf Breeze.wright.fort Walton Beach.
Niceville.destin.seminole.eglin Afb.valparaiso
336 Pm Cst Sat Jan 21 2006

.dense Fog Advisory In Effect Until 7 Am Cst Sunday.

The Natl Weather Svc In Mobile Has Issued A Dense Fog
Advisory.which Is In Effect Until 7 Am Cst Sunday.

Areas Of Dense Fog Have Been Observed Over The Near Shore Gulf Waters
And The S. Sections Of Mobile Bay. These Areas Of Fog Will
Drift No. & Over The Coastal Areas Later This Evening.causing
Very Poor Visibility. Those Traveling Later This Evening On Coastal
Roads Should Be Prepared For Poor Driving Visibility.along With
Patches Of Rain & Showers. Visibility At Times Will Likely Be Near
Zero.especially Near The Beaches & Bays Of So. Al & The
West Fl Panhandle.

A Dense Fog Advisory Means Visibilities Will Frequently Be
Reduced To Less Than One Quarter Mile. If Driving.slow Down.
Use Your Headlights.& Leave Plenty Of Distance Ahead Of You

[ROLLTIDE]

Yawn


Today: A chance of drizzle before 10am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 10am. Areas of dense fog before 10am. Otherwise, cloudy, with a high around 71. Southeast wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tonight: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog. Otherwise, cloudy, with a low around 63. South wind around 10 mph.

Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 69. South wind around 10 mph becoming northwest. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low near 46. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 65. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear, with a low around 41. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 65. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 42. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Thursday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 63. Northeast wind between 5 and 15 mph.

Thursday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low near 44.

Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 64.

Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.

Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66.

[ROLLTIDE]

Today: Partly sunny early, then becoming sunny, with a high near 66. North wind around 10 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low near 38. North wind around 10 mph.

Thursday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 60. Northeast wind around 10 mph.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44. East wind around 10 mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 65. East wind around 10 mph.

Friday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 54. South wind around 15 mph.

Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high near 67. South wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 55.

Sunday: A 20 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy and breezy, with a high near 70.

Sunday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high around 65.

[ROLLTIDE]

Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 60. Northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 44. East wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Friday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 64. East wind around 10 mph.

Friday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers after midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low near 49. East wind around 10 mph.

Saturday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high around 67. Southeast wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Saturday Night: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a low around 59. South wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Sunday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly before noon. Cloudy, with a high around 68. Southwest wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday Night: Scattered showers, mainly before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 53. Southwest wind around 10 mph becoming northwest. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Monday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 67. Northwest wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Monday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low near 37.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 60.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 41.

Wednesday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 62.

[ROLLTIDE]

Area Forecast Discussion
000
FXUS64 KMOB 280914
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
314 AM CST SAT JAN 28 2006

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...

SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE OVER THE CAROLINAS WILL DRIFT OVER THE WEST
ATLANTIC DURING THE DAY...ALLOWING SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST WINDS TO
INCREASE ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. EASTERLY WINDS WITH DEW POINTS IN
THE 30S OVER THE EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA THIS MORNING
AND MAINLY 45 TO 50 ELSEWHERE SHOULD DELAY THE ONSET OF
PRECIPITATION OVER MOST OF THE AREA UNTIL LATE AFTERNOON OR EARLY
EVENING...ALTHOUGH MAY SEE SOME VIRGA AND A FEW SPRINKLES MOST ANY
TIME IN THE AFTERNOON. DID GO WITH HIGH END SCATTERED OVER INLAND
SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI FOR THIS AFTERNOON. STORM PREDICTION CENTER
DOES HAVE ALL THE AREA OUTLOOKED WITH SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE
STORMS...BUT BELIEVE THAT WILL BE MAINLY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING WHEN THE BETTER DYNAMICS ASSOCIATED WITH A STRENGTHENING
SUB-TROPICAL JET ARRIVES ACROSS THE FORECAST AND WARM SECTOR SETS
UP. /11

[ROLLTIDE]

Short Term Forecast
National Weather Service Mobile Al
355 Am Cst Mon Jan 30 2006

Alz051>064-flz001>006-msz067-075-076-078-079-301300-
Baldwin Coastal-baldwin Inland-butler-choctaw-clarke-conecuh-
Covington-crenshaw-escambia-escambia Coastal-escambia Inland-george-
Greene-mobile Coastal-mobile Inland-monroe-okaloosa Coastal-
Okaloosa Inland-perry-santa Rosa Coastal-santa Rosa Inland-stone-
Washington-wayne-wilcox-
355 Am Cst Mon Jan 30 2006

.now...

Patchy Fog...occasionally Dense Will Continue To Affect
Sections Of The Area Mainly Along And Southeast Of I65...until After
Sunrise. The Fog Is Not Expected To Be Widespread Over The
Remainder Of The Area...but Fog And Drizzle Will Still Produce
Pockets Of Poor Visibility On Area Roads...near Bays And River
Valleys.

Please Drive Carefully And Be Prepared For Slow Or Stopped Traffic.

$$

[Alex]

The storm shield take'th away.

Just a moderate rain shower in Pensacola this evening. Large storm clouds to the west however, did Baldwin get anything noteworthy?

[ROLLTIDE]

Today: Occasional showers and thunderstorms, mainly before noon. High around 70. Windy, with a southwest wind between 15 and 25 mph, with gusts as high as 35 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Tonight: A 10 percent chance of rain. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Friday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 70. Northeast wind around 5 mph becoming calm.

Friday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers before midnight. Cloudy, with a low near 48. North wind between 5 and 15 mph.

Saturday: A 20 percent chance of showers before noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 64. North wind around 10 mph.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 37. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 58. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 37. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

Monday: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 57. East wind 5 to 10 mph becoming south.

Monday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 37.

Tuesday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56.

Tuesday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 35.

Wednesday: A 10 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 58

[ROLLTIDE]

Isolated Strong To Severe Thunderstorms Are Expected To Develop
This Afternoon...with The Highest Threats Of Severe Weather Being
Locally Damaging Winds And Hail Up To Penny Size. The Increased
Possibility Of Tornadoes Will Mainly Be Southeast Of Interstate-65.

[Alex]

We had an hour or two batch of heavy rain with some thunder and lightning yesterday around 6 am. 2.10 inches of rain fell in Pensacola.

[ROLLTIDE]

Tuesday Through Wednesday)...dry And Cool Tuesday But Then As A
Long Wave Over The East Coast Continues To Pour Cold Air Into The
Region. Gfs Now Has The 1300 Meter 1000-850 Mb Thickness Line
Settling Into Southern Alabama. Recalling That This Is The Mean
Temperature Of Freezing...it Would Be A Demarcation Of Considerable
Import. However...in This Cycle That Value Is Not Reaching Much
Further South Than The Northern Cwa Along A Line From Butler To
Camden. Nonetheless The Day Shift Mentioned The Impact Of A Strong
Shortwave Moving Through The Base Of The Long Wave Which Continues
To Cause A Thought It Could Wring Out Some Freezing Precip Over The
Northern Portion Of The Area Wednesday Into Wednesday Evening.
Provided This Persists Long Enough And Temperatures Fall Below
Freezing...flurries May Be Possible Wednesday Night After Midnight
If Temperature And Moisture Availability Modulate Appropriately.
Will Not Mention Flurries Because Of Temperatures Above Freezing
Near The Surface. /77

&&

[ROLLTIDE]

Area Forecast Discussion
000
FXUS64 KMOB 071112
AFDMOB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
500 AM CST TUE FEB 7 2006

.SHORT TERM (TODAY AND TONIGHT)...THE SURFACE LOW ASSOCIATED WITH
THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH THE CWA LATE YESTERDAY HAS SCOOTED
AWAY AT INTERSTATE SPEED PAST THE CAROLINAS INTO ONLSOW BAY. STEEP
GRADIENT WILL PROVIDE FOR A HEALTHY 10 TO 20 MPH BREEZE TODAY. AS
THE HIGH MOVES OVER THE FORECAST AREA...THE GRADIENT WILL FLATTEN
AND EASE OFF THE WIND. A DRY CLEAR DAY WILL ENSUE AFTER THE
RESIDUAL POST FRONTAL LOW CLOUD COVER HAS SWEPT PAST THIS MORNING
ALLOWING HUMIDITY TO PLUMMET. MINIMAL DEVIATION FROM MAV
TEMPERATURE GUIDANCE IS SEEN IN THE SHORT TERM...AND POPS REMAIN
NEAR ZERO.

77/DALY

&&

.LONG TERM (WEDNESDAY THROUGH NEXT TUESDAY)...THE EASTERN STATES
UPPER TROUGH WILL REMAIN IN PLACE THROUGH THE WEEKEND KEEPING THE
COOL AIRMASS LOCKED IN ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. THE FIRST OF A
SERIES OF WEAK SHORTWAVES COMES DOWN THE WEST SIDE OF THE UPPER
TROUGH ON WEDNESDAY...SLIDING ACROSS ALABAMA AND GEORGIA THURSDAY
MORNING. WE MAY SEE A FEW LIGHT SPRINKLES OVER THE NORTHERN ZONES
OUT OF THIS FEATURE STARTING WEDNEDAY NIGHT. IF THE TIMING IS
RIGHT...WE MIGHT EVEN SEE A FEW FLURRIES OVER THE NORTHEASTERN ZONES
BY EARLY THURSDAY MORNING. THE MODEL FIELDS DONT REALLY POINT TO
ANY FROZEN PRECIP OF SIGNIFICANCE GIVEN THE DEEPER MOISTURE
ASSOCIATED WITH THIS SHORTWAVE WILL PASS OUR AREA WELL TO THE
NORTHEAST. THE NEXT CHANCE AT PRECIPITATION LOOKS TO BE LINING UP
FRIDAY NIGHT INTO SATURDAY MORNING AS A STRONGER SHORTWAVE DRIVES A
COLD FRONT ACROSS THE AREA. THERE APPEARS TO BE ENOUGH MOISTURE
DEPTH IN PLACE TO WARRANT A CHANCE OF RAIN FRIDAY NIGHT INTO
SATURDAY MORNING. BY THE TIME THE COLD AIR GETS INTO PLACE ON THE
BACKSIDE OF THIS SHORTWAVE...THE DEEP LAYERED MOISTURE FOR
PRECIPITATION SHOULD BE WELL TO THE SOUTH AND EAST.

05/GARMON

&&

.MARINE...THE COLD FRONT THAT MOVED THROUGH WILL CONTINUE ITS EXIT
TO THE EAST AWAY FROM THE COASTAL WATERS TODAY. STEEPENING GRADIENT
ALONG THE EDGE OF THE ENSUING HIGH WILL BRING NORTHWEST WINDS
MEETING SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CRITERIA. WIND WILL DIMINISH THROUGH
LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND TONIGHT. ANOTHER FRONT WILL CROSS THE
COASTAL WATERS LATE FRIDAY...INCREASING THE WINDS AGAIN TO AROUND 20
KNOTS DIMINISHING BY SATURDAY AS THAT HIGH PARKS ITSELF OVER THE
AREA.

77/DALY

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...RED FLAG WARNINGS CONTINUE OVER THE WESTERN FLORIDA
PANHANDLE TODAY FOR LONG DURATIONS OF LOW RH DURING THE AFTERNOON.
FIRE WEATHER WATCH CONTINUES FOR WEDNESDAY.

05/GARMON

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MOBILE 58 32 62 36 / 0 0 0 10
PENSACOLA 61 34 61 38 / 0 0 0 10
DESTIN 59 39 59 43 / 0 0 0 10
EVERGREEN 55 30 57 34 / 0 0 0 10
WAYNESBORO 55 29 60 34 / 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN 53 30 57 34 / 0 0 0 10

&&

.MOB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AL...NONE.
FL...RED FLAG WARNING TODAY FLZ001>006-008
FIRE WEATHER WATCH WED FLZ001>006-008.
MS...NONE.
GM...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY GMZ630-650-655-670-675.

&&

$$

[ROLLTIDE]

.short Term (today And Tonight)...gradient Will Continue To Flatten
And Allow The Wind To Slacken. A Dry Mostly Clear Day Similar To
Yesterday...with No Significant Deviation From The Mav Mos
Temperature Guidance. We Will Have A Deck Of Midlevel Clouds
Passing Over Our Northeastern Zones Tonight As A Shortwave Moves
Across Northern Alabama Into Central Georgia. Any Wintry Precip
Will Fall Well Northeast Of Our Area Closer To The Deeper Layered
Vertical Saturation In The Zone Of Greater Dynamic Forcing And
Deeper Omega Values. Pops Remain Below 10 Percent Across Most Of
Our Area Through Tonight.

[ROLLTIDE]

Fxus64 Kmob 092049
Afdmob

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Mobile Al
248 Pm Cst Thu Feb 9 2006

.short Term (tonight And Friday)...

High Pressure Axis Was Analyzed North/south From The Tennessee
Valley...down Into The Central And Western Gulf. We Also Analyze A
Reinforcing Cold Frontal Passage Moving Southward Into The Marine
Waters. High Pressure Is Forecast To Slip Eastward...moving Off The
Southeast United States Coast On Friday...while Low Pressure Forms
On The West Side Of Front...over Louisiana During The Day. High
Level Cloudiness Has Been Increasing And Expanding Eastward Out Of
New Mexico Into Texas. Not Calling For Rain Tonight Due To Very
Limited Deep Layer Moisture...but High Layer Moisture Will Be On The
Increase From West To East By Late Tonight. Ceilings Lowering On
Friday With Rain Chances Increasing Through The Afternoon As Low
Pressure Approaches From The West. Higher Chances Will Be In The
Western Zones. As For Temeratures...a Moderating Trend Is Expected
As The High Moves East Of The Area Through Friday...allowing For A
South To Southeast Component To The Wind.

.long Term (friday Night Through Thursday)...

Categorical Pops Area-wide (90 Percent) Are Projected Friday
Evening...then Tapering Off From West To East As Low Pressure Moves
East Northeast Through Southern Alabama Overnight. Any Thunderstorm
Activity...if At All...looks To Be Confined To The Marine Area. We
Are Not Seeing A Great Deal Of Northward Influx Of Most Unstable
Convective Available Potential Energy...which Is Generally Below 800
J/kg. It Still Appears That The Deep Layered Moisture Will Be East
Of The Area By The Time The Deep Cold Air Aloft Gets Into Place. So
We Are Keeping The Precip Type All Rain For Friday Night Into Early
Saturday. In The Wake Of The Departing Low And A Southward Plunge Of
Arctic Air...strong Low Level Cold Advection Processes And Boundary
Layer Mixing Lends Support To Shaving The Gfs Mos Numbers Down A Few
Degrees For Saturday`s Highs. At This Time...we Dont Project Getting
Out Of The 40s At Most Areas. Its Gonna Be A Cold And Brisk Saturday
To Kick Off The Mardi Gras Season.

No Changes To The Previous Package Going With The Mex Mos Numbers
Saturday Night As They Seemed Close...but We Decided To Shave Off 3
To 5 Degrees From The Mex Mos Projections Across The Interior
Eastern Zones For Monday Morning Keeping Them In The Lower To Mid
20s. The Ridge Axis Should Be Parked Across The Area And The
Eastern Inland Zones Will Most Likely Be Under Stronger Radiative
Cooling Processes As Boundary Layer Will Be Decoupled Under Mostly
Clear To Partly Cloudy Skies. Dry Pattern With Slow Warming
Projected Through Wednesday...then Slight Chances Of Rain Start
Creeping Back In For Late Week As We Get A Weak Return Flow On The
Backside Of The Ridge Axis. /10

&&

.marine...

As Expected...winds And Seas Are Gradually Subsiding This Afternoon

[Alabamaboy]

Spsmob

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Mobile Al
910 Pm Cst Thu Feb 9 2006

Alz051>064-flz001>006-msz067-075-076-078-079-101100-
Baldwin Coastal-baldwin Inland-butler-choctaw-clarke-conecuh-
Covington-crenshaw-escambia-escambia Coastal-escambia Inland-
George-greene-mobile Coastal-mobile Inland-monroe-
Okaloosa Coastal-okaloosa Inland-perry-santa Rosa Coastal-
Santa Rosa Inland-stone-washington-wayne-wilcox-
910 Pm Cst Thu Feb 9 2006

...windy And Much Colder Weather Just Around The Corner...

An Area Of Low Pressure Is Forecast To Develop Over Southern
Louisiana Friday Evening...moving East Across Mississippi And
Alabama Late Friday Night. A Strong Cold Front Will Move Across The
Gulf Coast As The Low Passes North Of Mobile...pulling A Cold Arctic
Airmass Well South Over The Gulf Of Mexico.

As The Low Pressure System Approaches Friday...southerly Winds Will
Increase To Near 30 Mph Along The Coastal Areas. The Strong
Southerly Winds May Result In Some Minor Coastal Flooding Along The
Alabama And Northwest Florida Coasts. Residents In Locations That
Usually See Coastal Flooding With Strong South Winds Should Remain
Alert For This Potential Friday Evening. Those With Tarps Still On
Their Damaged Roofs From Last Seasons Hurricanes Should Be Alert For
The Potential Of Gusty Winds To Around 40 Mph Starting Late Friday.

The Strong Cold Front And Associated Widespread Rains...will Move
Across The Region Late Friday Night. Rains Diminish By Saturday
Morning As A Cold Arctic Airmass Rushes In On The Heels Of A Strong
Northwesterly Wind...dropping Wind Chills Into The 30s By The
Afternoon. Temperatures On Saturday Are Not Expected To Get Out Of
The Middle 40s For Most Locations.

On Saturday Night...temperatures Are Forecast To Drop Into The
Lower To Middle 20s Across The Interior Portions Of Southeast
Mississippi...south Alabama And Areas North Of Interstate 10 In
Northwest Florida. Very Cold Temperatures Into The Lower 20s Will
Again Be Possible Sunday Night And Early Monday Morning Across The
Inland Areas...particularly For Portions Of South Central Alabama.

Stay Tuned For Additional Forecast Information From Your
National Weather Service On The Cold Weather Expected This Weekend.