Reply With QuoteIt was 29 on Eglin when I got up at 5 this mornin. It's supossed to be even colder tonight.
They were calling upper 20's here and they missed it by a long shot. It was only 40 and the normal colder spots didn't get down to predicted levels of the mid 20's.
Upper air pattern is currently southwest and this produced a bunch of clouds and that hung around all night and kept temps up.
It was 29 on Eglin when I got up at 5 this mornin. It's supossed to be even colder tonight.
Looks like the cold weather is gone for now, time to get back in the 70s. Florida hasn't had much of a winter this year. It's 62 already and it's only 0740.
Nope coming back with a vengence
Notice this little tid-bit from Tampa's Morning Forecast Discussion
ANOTHER ISSUE WILL TAKE SHAPE LATER TUESDAY...WITH STRONG LLVL CAA SETTING UP AN UNSTABLE LAYER FROM THE SFC TO 850 MB. THIS WILL RESULT IN FAIRLY THICK STRATO CU DEVELOPING OVER THE GULF AND MOVING ONSHORE OVER WC FL ON NW WINDS. NAM AND GFS CLEARLY DEPICT THESE CLOUDS IN THE 850-925 MB LAYER DEVELOPING OVER THE EASTERN GULF BY MID-LATE TUESDAY...WHICH THEN AFFECT MUCH OF OUR CWA (EXCEPT FAR INTERIOR ZONES) TUESDAY EVENING THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING...AFTER WHICH THE AVG WIND IN THAT LAYER WILL TURN MORE TO THE NORTH AND PUSH THE CLOUDS SOUTH AND KEEP THEM IN THE GULF. GIVEN THE DEGREE OF INSTABILITY...WOULD TYPICALLY EXPECT THESE CLOUDS TO PRODUCE A FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS. HOWEVER IN THIS CASE...THE FREEZING LEVEL BY 00Z WED WILL BE AROUND 2500 FT WITH MUCH IF NOT ALL OF THE AFOREMENTIONED MOISTURE ABOVE THE FREEZING LEVEL. INITIALLY THIS WOULD SUGGEST FROZEN PRECIP...BUT THE COLDEST TEMP WITHIN THIS CLOUD LAYER WILL ONLY BE ABOUT -6C...WHICH NORMALLY ISN`T COLD ENOUGH FOR ICE CRYSTAL FORMATION...LEAVING SUPERCOOLED WATER IN THAT LAYER (NOTED STRONG INVERSION AND WARMING ABOVE 850 MB). ITS WORTH NOTING THOUGH...ONE LAST VORT MAX WILL BE ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE TROUGH ACROSS N FL AROUND 00Z. THAT ALONG WITH LLVL CONVECTIVE LIFT COULD POTENTIALLY COOL THE MOIST LAYER ANOTHER DEGREE OR TWO...WHICH WOULD HELP INITIATE THE ICE CRYSTAL FORMATION NEEDED TO MIX THE SUPERCOOLED RAIN DROPS WITH SNOW. HAVING SAID ALL THIS...WILL CONTINUE TO MENTION SPRINKLES ALONG AND WEST OF THE I-75 CORRIDOR FROM PASCO CO SOUTHWARD LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH MIDNIGHT. BUT ITS WELL WORTH MENTIONING THAT WE COULD SEE A FEW SNOW FLAKES OR PELLETS MIXED WITH THE SPRINKLES FROM TAMPA BAY NORTHWARD TUESDAY EVENING.
First since I moved here 7 years ago that a forecast discussion brought a remote possibility of snow flakes. Being from up north, I've been wanting to see snow here since 2002. I'm not holding my breath on this, but we'll see.
Yeah saw that this mornin on the news. I like the cold and it would be cool to see snow, even if it is just flurries, in FL.
You would think that living anywhere in Florida
You would not see Snow Much
I live in Bemis - Jackson, Tn.
About 70 miles East - Northeast of Memphis
and we rarely see lots of Snow either
Middle and East Tenn are normally the parts of Tn that gets Snow
Currently - 30 * here at 3 P.M. - C.S.T.
Your blog is Very Informative.
Nice chilly day today and tonight and tomorrow don't seem much better. Here's NWS Mobile has to say
000
FXUS64 KMOB 202137
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
337 PM CST TUE JAN 20 2009
.SHORT TERM [TONIGHT THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT]...VERY HIGH AMPLITUDE
500 MB TROUGH OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD WILL ADVECT A DEEP LAYER OF
COLD DRY AIR INTO THE REGION WITH A SURFACE HIGH SETTLING OVER AREA
LATE TONIGHT. RADIATION COOLING WILL DOMINATE THE THERMODYNAMICS
OVERNIGHT WITH AIR BEING VERY STILL OVER THE SURFACE. LOCAL HARD
FREEZE CRITERIA CONTINUE TO BE LESS THAN 26F FOR 5 OR MORE HOURS BE
MET OVER MOST OF THE CURRENT WATCH AREA BUT WILL NEED TO MAKE SOME
ADJUSTMENTS WITH THE ISSUANCE OF THE HARD FREEZE WARNING. THE NEW
CALCULATION CYCLE SHOWS DURATION WILL NOW BE MET FOR PERRY...STONE
AND GEORGE COUNTIES AS WELL AS COASTAL SANTA ROSA AND OKALOOSA
COUNTIES. 500 MB TROUGH WILL DAMPEN OUT AS WE HEAD PAST MIDWEEK. AT
THE SURFACE...RIDGE MOVES EAST LATE WEDNESDAY AND STALLS OVER EAST
FLORIDA THURSDAY AND FRIDAY. PRECIPITABLE WATER LESS THAN A HALF INCH
SO RAINFALL NOT ANTICIPATED THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT. BD/77
.LONG TERM [FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY]...NO CHANGES TO NUMBERS. WILL BE
COMING UNDER THE INFLUENCE OF SOUTHERLY FLOW THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.
UPSTREAM...GULF MOISTURE MODIFIES OVER THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY
AHEAD OF A FRONT MOVING SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE OZARKS REGION ON
FRIDAY. THE NORTHWEST ZONES COULD SEE SLIGHTLY HIGHER DEEP LAYER
WATER VAPOR MOVING IN FROM THE WEST FRIDAY. THIS WOULD PUT A SMALL
CHANCE OF SHOWERS BACK IN THE FORECAST DUE TO WEAK LIFTING. BROAD
MIDLEVEL TROUGH MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEAST THIS WEEKEND...ALLOWS FRONT TO
MOVE TO JUST NORTH OF THE COAST BY SATURDAY MORNING WITH A
CONTINUATION OF THAT MOTION INTO THE GULF LATER IN THE DAY. WILL
HAVE A SMALL CHANCE OF SHOWERS ALONG AND SOUTH OF THE FRONT...AND
SIMILAR CHANCES...BUT FOR RAIN NORTH OF THE FRONT EARLY IN THE
WEEKEND. UPPER LEVEL FLOW FLATTENS QUICKLY...ALLOWING FRONT TO STALL
OVER THE NORTHERN GULF SUNDAY. WILL BE GETTING BACK INTO A DEEPER
SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST FLOW (SURFACE AND ALOFT) BY EARLY NEXT WEEK. WITH
LOW INSTABILITY LATE IN THE PERIOD...WILL SEE LITTLE IF ANY THUNDER
BUT ONLY A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. NEXT COOLING TREND WILL BE WITH
THE WEEKEND FRONT. BD/77
&&
Its pretty much been cold everyday this month with the exception of the one day with the brief squall line where temps were around 70. Last two days we didn't even reach 50, and today they are calling for upper 50s, but we hover at 53 at midday.
71 in the forecast tomorrow, I'll believe it when I see it!
They are calling for normal temps, but it's been chilly since around the 10th here after a month of 70-80 degree temps. The grass coming back nice and green, not now, 3 consecutive mornings of below freezing took care of that.Originally Posted by aaroads
Second straight day of murky weather, temps will not hit 60 today either. No rain to boot.
Was reading Jeff Masters' blog and he indicates that a La Nina situation is developing right now. The three-month forecast has reflected this indicating that all of Florida should be below normal precipitationwise, with the peninsula even dryer than the panhandle.
I'm going to have to look up where your hometown is. I'm still trying to get all the Florida locations straight even though we've been down here for more than 4 years.
I'm in between Orlando and Tampa and it was magnificent today. The high temp was around 78 with a light breeze and lots of sunshine. There was a little patchy fog this morning but it was out of here by 8/8:30.
When I was out this a.m. I could see what looked like smog up to the north of us. I guess that was your weather.
Follow Me On Twitter
Daily Life In Central Florida
http://twitter.com/virgo10
Navarre is about 15 miles west of Ft. Walton beach and 25 miles east of Pensacola. Tonight we were socked in with fog (yet again), and some drizzle also fell (enough to coat the pavement).
Supposed to clear out tomorrow, but temps in the forecast were knocked down from the low 70s to upper 60s.
Looks like another great day once the fog lifts, highs in the upper 60 and partly cloudy with 20% chance of rain.
I think ya'll up north had a frontal boundary move down and stall north of us here in west central Florida which would explain the fog and drizzle.
We've had some fog in the early morning, but the weather has been pleasant after it warmed back up.
Clouds finally broke up and it is sunny, bright, and warm for a change! Forecast had a few showers today, but nary a drop detected on radar when I've looked...
AFDMOB
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
400 AM CST FRI FEB 6 2009
.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)...LATEST SFC MAP SHOWS HIGH
PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE FL PANHANDLE AND NE GULF. A LIGHT
SOUTHERLY FLOW WHICH DEVELOPED YESTERDAY HAS CONTINUED FOR MUCH OF
THE NIGHT GIVING WAY TO SLIGHTLY BETTER MOISTURE RETURN AND WARMER
TEMPS THAN EARLIER ANTICIPATED. AS A RESULT THE HARD FREEZE WARNING
HAS BEEN CANCELLED FOR INLAND SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND MOST AREAS OF
INLAND NORTHWEST FLORIDA...EXCEPT THE INLAND AREAS OF OKALOOSA
COUNTY. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY FALL BELOW HARD FREEZE CRITERIA IN
THESE AREAS DUE TO THE POSITION OF THE SFC RIDGE AND SOIL TYPE. FOR
THE REMAINDER OF TODAY TEMPERATURES WILL REBOUND TO NEAR SEASONAL
LEVELS AS ONSHORE FLOW BECOMES BETTER DEVELOPED AS SFC RIDGE
CONTINUES TO SHIFT SLOWLY EAST. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL CLIMB TO THE
MID 60S FOR MOST AREAS EXCEPT ALONG THE IMMEDIATE WHERE COOLER NEAR
SHORE SEAS SURFACE TEMPS COMBINED WITH BETTER SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL
HELP KEEP TEMPS DOWN TO THE UPPER 50S TO LOWER 60S. FOR TONIGHT
EXPECT MOSTLY CLEAR SKIES AS UPPER RIDGE BUILDS IN FROM THE WEST.
PATCHY FOG WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE COAST LATE TONIGHT AND
EARLY SAT FROM BETTER ONSHORE FLOW. STAYED CLOSE TO THE CURRENT
MAVMOS FOR TEMPS TODAY AND TONIGHT THOUGH ADJUSTED MINS UP A FEW
DEGREES TONIGHT GENERALLY FROM CRESTVIEW TO EVERGREEN AND EASTWARD
DUE TO CONSISTENCY AND PERSISTENT. /32
.LONG TERM...(SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...DRY AND MILD CONDITIONS
CAN BE EXPECTED INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK AS A LARGE UPPER RIDGE
DOMINATES THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES. A COLD FRONT WILL STALL WEST OF
THE AREA ON TUESDAY AS THE UPPER SHORTWAVE AND SFC LOW ARE DEFLECTED
WELL NORTH OF THE REGION DUE TO THE STRONG RIDGE. A STRONGER UPPER
SHORTWAVE WILL EJECT OUT OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST ON WEDNESDAY. THIS
WILL CAUSE CYCLOGENESIS ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS THAT WILL MOVE
NORTHEAST AND SEND A TRAILING COLD FRONT ACROSS THE CENTRAL GULF
COAST WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. A FEW SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE ON
TUESDAY AS MOISTURE RAPIDLY INCREASES AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING LOW
PRESSURE SYSTEM WITH THE BEST CHANCES OF RAIN COMING WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND EVENING AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. TEMPERATURES COOL
BACK TO NEAR NORMAL IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONT. /13
Twitter updates we will follow you back
http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather
Now on Facebook We will like you back
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardco...0344466?v=wall
Mild weather returning is sorely welcomed...
Our last thunderstorm was in early January. Even since then, we've had maybe 1.50 inches of rain.
Jeff Masters wrote on his blog that a La Nina set up last month and that all of us on the Gulf Coast and Florida should expect below normal precipitation through March. So far that prediction has held true.
Yea, but we've had way below normal rainfall from late August on to this point of time and none forecasted for the next 7 days here.
So if we stay below normal (and I don't doubt that we will), we're going to need a lot to hold off the spring wildfires around here or it's going to get bad.
Looks like we get a couple of really nice days then the rain moves in. Highs near 70 today, tomorrow, and Tuesday.
Embedded thunderstorms with the rain on and off from 1 am to about 9 am sunday morning. La Nina has done a good job keeping us dry this winter, so the rain was welcome.
A little more rain yesterday morning, but it ended abruptly and skies cleared before sunset.
Looks like the 50s are back in the forecast for highs this week (major ugh!).
Posting Permissions
Bookmarks