Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-avn.html
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-ir2.html
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-rgb.html
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-ft.html
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-ir4.html
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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/flash-jsl.html
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Outerbanks long range (248mi)




Wilmington long range (248mi)




B]Hotel rooms still available in Goldsboro, Kenly, Smithfield, Wilson, Rocky Mount, and points West.[/B]

Dare County, NC has issued a mandatory evacuation for all visitors throughout the entire county. Local officials made this declaration at 6 AM this morning as Hurricane Earl showed some signs of strengthening out in the Atlantic.

Red Cross officials are urging people to heed all evacuation notices without delay. The organization is preparing to open shelters as needed.

"We've got 82 shelters on standby," said Red Cross volunteer Jim Guidone. "Fifteen of those are on immediate standby, which means we can open them up in less than two hours and begin taking guests. So, we're getting well prepared for whatever Earl wants to toss our way."

Dare County evacuees use Routes Hwy 12 to Hwy 64W or 158N.




Surge Maps







LIVE STREAMING LINKS

Mark Suddath http://www.hurricanetrack.com
Chris Stahan
http://www.severestudios.com/cgi-bin...trahan&uid=120

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located behind Danielle

BEGIN
NHC_ATCF
invest_al962010.invest
FSTDA
R
U
040
010
0000
201008231554
NONE
NOTIFY=ATRP
END
INVEST, AL, L, , , , , 96, 2010, DB, O, 2010082312, 9999999999, , , , , , METWATCH, , AL962010
AL, 96, 2010082212, , BEST, 0, 110N, 135W, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 96, 2010082218, , BEST, 0, 110N, 145W, 15, 1010, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 96, 2010082300, , BEST, 0, 110N, 155W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 96, 2010082306, , BEST, 0, 110N, 165W, 20, 1009, DB, 0, , 0, 0, 0, 0,
AL, 96, 2010082312, , BEST, 0, 110N, 175W, 20, 1008

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40%

Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook

This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.
Place your mouse cursor over areas of interest for more information Archived Outlooks

GIS data: .shp ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 PM EDT MON AUG 23 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL
STORM DANIELLE...LOCATED ABOUT 1025 MILES WEST OF THE CAPE VERDE
ISLANDS.

1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OFF THE
AFRICAN COAST IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE...AND IT COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BERG
NNNN

Area 1: 40% Chance of Tropical Cyclone Formation (click to zoom)A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE OFF THE
AFRICAN COAST IS SHOWING SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. ADDITIONAL
DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE...AND IT COULD BECOME A
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES
WESTWARD NEAR 15 MPH. THERE IS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40 PERCENT...OF
THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

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[Smitter]

Roll, this one exited alot farther south. Why the sharp northward projections?? Thanks

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[Mooreweather]

Dang! While I was away for a few hours doing laundry, this thing went from 10% to 40% and invest 96L pretty darn quick! Let the wave train begin! For some reason "C'mon 'N Ride It (The Train)" by Quad City DJ's is playing in my head...lol!

[hesposito]

People all over the world...
Join hands
Start a wave train, wave train

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JB

HAS THE NAMING FRENZY BEGUN?

With Danielle, in spite of its recurvature being named, Earl to be named following Danielle, a pattern that favors the threat of in-close development, and probably another African wave after Earl, it will be interesting to see if this is the start of a period where there are very few days when no storms are on the map. The MJO certainly looks like it will grow more favorable, heading right toward the prime octants where Atlantic Basin storms love to develop.

While the GFS hints at development in the western Gulf before the week is out, the day 15 is wild. The combination of Danielle and Earl is stalled in the Atlantic east of Bermuda. A homegrown storm is heading into the mid-Atlantic states after developing east of the South Carolina coast, and there is a hurricane in the western Caribbean. The point here is the model, just like it was starting to hear the parade before you saw the band for this week, is seeing the whole pot start to boil over. The key is the change in the pressure field between 40 and 50 north due to the ridging that develops in the means over the Great Lakes and Northeast. This incubates the tropics... and allows things to cook.

It is interesting to note that once the cooling started to take place in the northern areas, the hurricane season began show up. It will be interesting to see if an Atlantic Basin 30-day ACE can be challenged given this pattern that is evolving. Remember the southeast Pacific broke their June ACE HIGH SIDE RECORD and the pattern has always pointed to the Atlantic Basin for the height of the season.

Thanks for reading. Ciao for now

[richardginn]

Will the hurricane we have now force this mess in a different direction???

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60%

Atlantic Graphical TWO Area 1 closeup

Return to Atlantic Graphical TWO 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO
SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

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[Mooreweather]

So... Why is this one going to eventually head north as well? Is this some sort of weather pattern that will be in place for some time?