HURRICANE IGOR

[dkmac]

11AM - Now TS Igor

TROPICAL STORM IGOR ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL112010
1100 AM AST WED SEP 08 2010

...IGOR FORMS IN THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC OCEAN...TROPICAL
STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...13.7N 23.5W
ABOUT 95 MI...155 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO
TIAGO...FOGO..AND BRAVA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE SOUTHERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...INCLUDING MAIO...SAO TIAGO...
FOGO...AND BRAVA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 12 TO
24 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IGOR WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 23.5 WEST. IGOR IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WITH SOME INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF IGOR
SHOULD PASS SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS BY TOMORROW.

DATA FROM A MICROWAVE SATELLITE INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SLOW
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 50 MILES...85 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WINDS... TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN CAPE
VERDE ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND OVERNIGHT.

RAINFALL...IGOR COULD PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...200 PM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH

[dkmac]

[ROLLTIDE]

JB

WEDNESDAY 11:15 A.M.
NOW THAT IS A NAME I CAN RESPECT.

Igor has been christened in the Atlantic to the EAST of the Cape Verde Islands, and this is the kind of long-tracked system that in 10-14 days could very well be threatening the U.S. It's the pattern that leads me to believe that, as in 7-10 days the central Atlantic trough should lift enough to allow it through. We didn't have to wait long for our burst to begin, though one may argue, it has never ended. This is the 6th named storm within 20 days, and gives us 9 by the midpoint.. interesting.. that 18-21 may not be looking to bad.

Yesterday, the associate head wrestling coach here, Cody Sanderson, was giving me grief about wimpy storm names. I told him I had nothing to do with naming storms, but his complaint is violent storms need violent names. Why should one take seriously a storm with a name that you cant pronounce, or is less than tough sounding? Obviously, this was all tongue in cheek, but Igor is a name that conjures up images of a monster, which is what this should be.

Ivan was a great name too, but it was replaced by Igor.

That is not to be confused with Al Gore.

Keep an eye on what is going on east of the southern Windwards. This should develop within five days and is probably a threat before Igor.

I will be posting on the three types of storms we are seeing this year in the hurricane season a little later.

In the meantime, the Long Ranger plays with the MEI, the Big Dog plays with the MJO and the free site scares the daylights out of everyone as I explain why we will all be freezing to death in the winters of 2012-2013 through 2014-2015.

Igor may be the farthest east storm since Donna in 1960.

Ciao for now.

joe b

[ROLLTIDE]

[ROLLTIDE]

2PM

..IGOR BRINGING SQUALLY WEATHER TO THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...
2:00 PM AST Wed Sep 8
Location: 13.7°N 23.7°W
Max sustained: 40 mph
Moving: W at 6 mph
Min pressure: 1005 mb

[ROLLTIDE]

[ROLLTIDE]

The ECMWF at 144 hrs


The CMC at 144 hrs

[Squirrelmonkey]

Great........name something that could be big and scary IGOR!!! Nice.......real nice........

[SpecialK]

IGOR GO FISHY FISHY?

(We need a fishING icon....!)

[ROLLTIDE]

Not a fish

[SevereWxEnthusiast]

Looks to me like the next set of model runs will shift to the south based on the direction of movement, Does anyone know if this is the farthest east a storm has been named since Donna in 1960? JB was commenting on that earlier.

[ROLLTIDE]

[ROLLTIDE]

[ROLLTIDE]

168 hr ecmwf......

[OPHarbor]

[ROLLTIDE]

[teerover]

...oh! Marty is so cool in the movie...its a classic! awesome pic OPHarbor!

...Igor looks like a fish, has tracks like a fish, is it a fish?

[ROLLTIDE]

[Windwatcher]

Great........name something that could be big and scary IGOR!!! Nice.......real nice........

I was thinking the same thing, Munkie. Now THERE'S a name for a storm! Manly, powerful, determined, mean-as-hell!

[ROLLTIDE]