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  1. #1
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    Exclamation Outbreak likely Thanksgiving week

    ......




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    DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    0216 AM CST SUN NOV 20 2011

    VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

    ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS PORTIONS CENTRAL/WRN GULF COAST
    TO SRN APPALACHIANS AND OH VALLEY...

    ...SYNOPSIS...
    STG SHORTWAVE TROUGH AND EMBEDDED MID-UPPER LOW -- NOW EVIDENT IN
    MOISTURE CHANNEL IMAGERY OFFSHORE CA -- IS FCST TO MOVE EWD ACROSS
    GREAT BASIN...SRN ROCKIES AND SRN HIGH PLAINS THROUGH DAY-2. BY
    START OF PERIOD...THIS SYSTEM SHOULD ASSUME POSITIVE TILT AT 500
    MB...ROUGHLY FROM ERN KS SWWD TO W-CENTRAL TX. ALTHOUGH OPERATIONAL
    MODELS AND SREF MEMBERS START TO DIVERGE WITH AMPLITUDE AND SPEED OF
    THIS PERTURBATION LATE DAY-2 INTO EARLY DAY-3...DIFFERENCES NOW
    APPEAR MESOSCALE IN NATURE THROUGH THIS PERIOD. MID-UPPER TROUGH
    SHOULD EXTEND FROM CENTRAL/SRN IL TO CENTRAL/ERN TX BY 23/00Z...AND
    FROM OH SWWD OVER AL BY 23/12Z.

    AT SFC...FRONTAL-WAVE CYCLONE SHOULD MOVE FROM SERN MO ENEWD ACROSS
    LOWER GREAT LAKES/NRN APPALACHIANS REGION THROUGH PERIOD. COLD
    FRONT SHOULD EXTEND FROM LOW SWWD ACROSS SERN OK AND CENTRAL/SW TX
    BY 22/12Z...THEN FROM SRN INDIANA TO WRN/MID TN AND CENTRAL/SRN LA
    BY 23/00Z. FRONT SHOULD REACH CENTRAL/SRN APPALACHIANS AND WRN FL
    PANHANDLE BY END OF PERIOD.

    ...CENTRAL/WRN GULF COAST TO SRN APPALACHIANS AND OH VALLEY...
    LATE DAY-2 INTO EARLY DAY-3...EXPECT BAND OF TSTMS TO BUILD SWWD
    ALONG SFC COLD FRONT...WITH ATTENDANT RISK FOR OCNL DAMAGING GUSTS
    AND ISOLATED HAIL FROM OZARKS TO CENTRAL/ERN TX. THROUGH LATE
    AFTERNOON...SVR RISK SHOULD SHIFT EWD...WHILE EXPANDING NWD OVER OH
    VALLEY IN STEP WITH EXPANDING WARM-SECTOR REGIME OF AT LEAST MRGL
    BUOYANCY. CONVECTION ALSO SHOULD BACKBUILD ALONG/AHEAD OF FRONT
    TOWARD COASTAL SE TX AND LA. DAMAGING TSTM GUSTS SHOULD REMAIN
    MOST PREVALENT SVR MODE DURING AFTERNOON/EVENING...THOUGH TORNADOES
    AND ISOLATED HAIL ALSO ARE POSSIBLE. MAIN UNCERTAINTIES RESULT FROM
    DIFFERENCES IN PROGS OF SYSTEM SPEED...AND INVOLVE BOTH TIMING OF
    SVR THREAT AREA-WIDE...AND NWD EXTENT OF SVR THREAT INTO OH VALLEY
    REGION. SVR THREAT THEREFORE IS MORE CONDITIONAL WITH NWD AND EWD
    EXTENT WHERE AVAILABILITY OF SFC-BASED EFFECTIVE LIFTED PARCELS IS
    PROGRESSIVELY MORE QUESTIONABLE.

    WARM-SECTOR AIR MASS WILL DESTABILIZE DIURNALLY FROM COMBINATION OF
    BOUNDARY-LAYER THETAE ADVECTION AND POCKETS OF SFC DIABATIC HEATING.
    EXPECT SFC DEW POINTS RANGING FROM LOWER 60S NEAR OH RIVER TO UPPER
    60S/LOW 70S OVER COASTAL AREAS OF LA/MS/AL. FCST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
    THIS WILL OFFSET MODEST MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ENOUGH FOR MLCAPE
    1000-1500 J/KG FROM GULF COAST TO TN VALLEY REGION...DIMINISHING TO
    BELOW 500 J/KG OVER OH RIVER. DOMINANT CONVECTIVE MODE SHOULD
    REMAIN QUASI-LINEAR...AS WINDS ALOFT PRECEDING POSITIVELY-TILTED
    TROUGH CROSS LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE ZONE AT SMALL ANGLE.
    HOWEVER...WITH LACK OF SIGNIFICANT ELEVATED MIXED-LAYER AIR MASS
    AHEAD OF FRONT...MLCINH SHOULD BE RATHER SMALL. THIS MAY PERMIT
    DISCRETE OR CLUSTERED DEVELOPMENT AHEAD OF MAIN LINE...WITH ENOUGH
    DEEP-LAYER SHEAR TO SUPPORT CONDITIONAL SUPERCELL POTENTIAL AHEAD OF
    MAIN BAND...IN ADDITION TO ANY EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/BOWS/MESOVORTICES
    IN QLCS.

    CONVECTIVE REGIME WILL SHIFT EWD ACROSS LOWER DELTA...MID-SOUTH...OH
    VALLEY AND TN VALLEY REGIONS THROUGH EVENING...IN STEP WITH OR
    SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF SFC COLD FRONT. DURING LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT
    HOURS...FAVORABLE BUOYANCY WILL BE OVERTAKEN FROM N-S AS MAIN TSTM
    BAND ENCOUNTERS MORE STABLE BOUNDARY-LAYER TRAJECTORIES EMANATING
    FROM RIDGING OVER ATLANTIC COAST REGION. SVR POTENTIAL ACCORDINGLY
    SHOULD DIMINISH OVER NRN PORTIONS OF OUTLOOK AREA...AND BECOME MORE
    CONDITIONAL/MRGL EWD ACROSS ERN PORTIONS AL/TN INTO WRN GA.

    ..EDWARDS.. 11/20/2011
    "The ultimate judge of your swing is the flight of the ball." - Ben Hogan

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    Well things are getting started today:



    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2343
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    1212 PM CST SUN NOV 20 2011


    AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL/NERN TX...SWRN AR...FAR SERN OK...FAR NWRN
    LA

    CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

    VALID 201812Z - 202045Z

    THE THREAT FOR SVR TSTMS WILL INCREASE AFTER 20Z...AND ESPECIALLY
    AFTER 00Z...ACROSS N-CNTRL/NERN TX...SWRN AR...FAR SERN OK...AND FAR
    NWRN LA. THE ISSUANCE OF A WW IS POSSIBLE LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR
    EVENING.

    MID-DAY MESOANALYSIS PLACES A STRONG COLD FRONT EXTENDING FROM JUST
    SOUTH OF FORT SMITH AR TOWARD THE DFW METROPLEX AND FARTHER SW
    TOWARD STEPHENVILLE TX...WITH A CROSS-FRONTAL TEMPERATURE GRADIENT
    OF AROUND 15-20F OVER 40 MILES. TEMPORALLY DECREASING SFC PRESSURE
    RISES NW OF THE FRONT LIKELY SIGNAL SLOWING OF ITS FORWARD MOTION --
    WITH LITTLE ADDITIONAL SEWD DISPLACEMENT ANTICIPATED DURING THE NEXT
    SEVERAL HRS. MEANWHILE...TO THE SE OF THE FRONT...AMPLE SLY/SSWLY
    MOISTURE TRANSPORT IS SUPPORTING A BROAD AREA OF SFC DEWPOINTS IN
    THE MID 60S TO LOWER 70S. AND...WITH POCKETS OF INSOLATION ENHANCING
    BOUNDARY-LAYER DESTABILIZATION...MLCAPE VALUES HAVE REACHED
    1500-2000 J/KG...WITH SSW-NNE-ORIENTED HORIZONTAL CONVECTIVE ROLLS
    EVIDENT SE OF THE FRONT PER VISIBLE SATELLITE LOOP.

    ASIDE FROM LOW-LEVEL CONVERGENCE OFFERED BY THE FRONT AND WEAK
    WAA...DEEP-LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT APPEARS TO BE LACKING DUE TO THE
    ABSENCE OF A MORE SALIENT MID/UPPER-LEVEL WAVE...CASTING SOME
    UNCERTAINTY WITH REGARD TO CONVECTIVE INITIATION. A FEW STORMS COULD
    DEVELOP OVER NRN TX NEAR THE FRONT AS EARLY AS 20Z...AS 12Z FORT
    WORTH RAOB DEPICTS SURMOUNTABLE CAPPING AROUND 850 MB. HOWEVER...A
    THIN NNE-SSW-ORIENTED BAND OF MID/HIGH-LEVEL CLOUDS APPROACHING FROM
    WRN TX AND WRN OK IS LIKELY ASSOCIATED WITH A SUBTLE MID-LEVEL
    IMPULSE...WHICH WILL CROSS THE AREA EARLY THIS EVENING. ASCENT FROM
    THIS FEATURE WILL LIKELY SUPPORT CLUSTERS OF CONVECTION DEVELOPING
    AFTER 00Z NEAR THE FRONT...WITH ELEVATED CONVECTION DEVELOPING TO
    ITS NW OWING TO LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE TRANSPORT ATOP THE FRONTAL SFC.
    ENHANCED WSWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW OVER THE SERN FRINGES OF A JET MAX
    WILL SUPPORT EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDES OF 40-45 KT...YIELDING
    ORGANIZED STORM STRUCTURES INCLUDING MULTICELLS AND SUPERCELLS. THE
    SVR THREATS WILL BE LARGE HAIL...WITH ACTIVITY NEAR AND SE OF THE
    SFC FRONT MOST LIKELY TO POSE A THREAT FOR SVR WIND GUSTS.
    ALSO...GIVEN 15-25 KT OF 0-1-KM BULK SHEAR...A THREAT FOR ONE OR TWO
    TORNADOES WILL EXIST WITH ANY DISCRETE/PERSISTENT UPDRAFTS SE OF THE
    FRONT PRIOR TO 03Z...AFTER WHICH TIME NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION AND
    GREATER STORM COVERAGE YIELDING MORE NUMEROUS CELL INTERACTIONS WILL
    MITIGATE THE THREAT.

    ..COHEN.. 11/20/2011


    ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

    LAT...LON 33149715 34389477 34599362 34119307 33489313 33009371
    32609434 31779623 31479693 31419808 32159840 33149715
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    Jan

    THE MODELS HAVE BEGUN TO RAMP UP ON THE AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY THAT WILL BE IN PLACE TUESDAY...THE CONSENSUS BEING CAPE VALUES OF 1200 OVER AREAS S OF I-20 TUESDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE EURO AND NAM PAINTING LAPSE RATES ABOVE 7 DEGS OVER MOST OF THE AREA. DEEP LAYER SHEAR INCREASES AS DOES LOW LEVEL HELICITY. SHEAR FIELDS DIFFER DURING THE DAY DUE TO MODEL DIFFERENCES IN FRONTAL PROGRESSION BUT BOTH THE GFS AND EURO FORECAST 0-1KM HELICITY VALUES IN EXCESS OF 200 JUST AHEAD OF THE FRONT




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    I say it is time to activate that data card Roll.
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    Guess that I will chase Tuesday cause Saturday is the Iron Bowl




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    Default Thanksgiving Weekend

    SO WE HAVE A SECOND SHOT OF SVR WX THIS WEEKEND TOO:

    AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
    522 AM CST MON NOV 21 2011


    THE FRONT WILL BE MOVING THRU THE REGION TUE NIGHT...WITH MOST OF
    THE SHRA/TSRA EXITING WITH IT. MUCH COOLER AND DRIER AIR...OR AT
    LEAST WHAT SHOULD BE OCCURRING THIS TIME OF YEAR...WILL FILTER
    ACROSS THE REGION WED...ALONG WITH DECREASING CLOUDS. WITH THE
    PROGRESSIVE UPPER AIR PATTERN TO CONTINUE THIS WEEK...THE HIGH
    WITH THIS SYSTEM WILL BE MOVING QUICKLY FROM W TO E...EXPECTING
    THE COOLEST MORNING THU. THIS WILL BE FOLLOWED BY RAPID RETURN
    FLOW AND MUCH WARMER TEMPS FOR FRI AS YET ANOTHER MID/UPPER AIR
    TROF AND FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES THROUGH THE REGION...BRINGING
    ANOTHER ROUND OF SHRA/TSRA.
    THIS IN TURN WILL BE FOLLOWED BY
    COOLER TEMPS FOR THE WEEKEND.
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    N.O. NWS

    .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

    WIDESPREAD DENSE FOG WITH VISIBILITY READINGS OF ONE QUARTER MILE
    OR LESS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH NOON ON TIDAL LAKES OF SOUTHEAST
    LOUISIANA AND MISSISSIPPI SOUND. THEREFORE...A DENSE FOG ADVISORY
    REMAINS FOR THESE AREAS THROUGH NOON. PATCHY FOG MAY AGAIN
    REDEVELOP OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.

    .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY

    THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS TUESDAY INTO
    TUESDAY NIGHT. THE HIGHEST THREAT FROM ANY SEVERE THUNDERSTORM
    ACTIVITY WILL BE STRONG DAMAGING WIND GUSTS. HOWEVER...AN
    ISOLATED TORNADO CANNOT BE RULED OUT...ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWEST
    MISSISSIPPI AND THE FLORIDA PARISHES OF LOUISIANA.

    THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE ON SATURDAY. THIS
    THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE TO BE EVALUATED OVER THE NEXT
    SEVERAL DAYS FOR ANY POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER RISK.

    SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

    SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED TUESDAY INTO TUESDAY NIGHT FOR
    SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI DUE TO A SLIGHT RISK
    OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY.

    $$
    "The ultimate judge of your swing is the flight of the ball." - Ben Hogan

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    James Spann:

    "The ultimate judge of your swing is the flight of the ball." - Ben Hogan

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    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2349
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    0346 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011


    AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL INTO NERN TX

    CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH POSSIBLE

    VALID 212146Z - 212345Z

    THE THREAT FOR SVR THUNDERSTORMS COULD INCREASE DURING THE NEXT FEW
    HOURS FROM CNTRL INTO NERN TX...AND THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR
    THE POSSIBLE ISSUANCE OF A WW.

    VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SFC OBS INDICATE A STRONG FRONT SLOWLY
    RETREATING NWD OVER PORTIONS OF CNTRL/ERN TX...WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF
    1000-1500 J/KG SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY. THIS IS OCCURRING AS
    INCREASING MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS AHEAD OF A PAIR OF APPROACHING
    SHORTWAVE TROUGHS INDUCE SFC PRESSURE FALLS OF 3 TO 4 MB PER 2 HRS
    NORTH OF THE BOUNDARY. LITTLE IN THE WAY OF CONVECTION HAS BEEN
    NOTED NEAR OR SOUTH OF THE BOUNDARY THUS FAR...OWING TO WEAK
    VELOCITY CONVERGENCE ALONG THE FRONT...WITH THE STRONGEST DEEP-LAYER
    ASCENT AND ASSOCIATED CONVECTION FARTHER N ACROSS N-CNTRL TX NWD
    INTO OK. HOWEVER...AS THE MID-LEVEL TROUGHS MAKE ADDITIONAL EWD
    PROGRESS...THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP LATER THIS AFTERNOON.
    EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR MAGNITUDES OF 50-55 KT WILL CONDITIONALLY
    PROMOTE A THREAT FOR SUPERCELLS...WITH SVR HAIL THE PRIMARY CONCERN.
    HOWEVER...ANY STORMS THAT ARE ABLE TO INTERACT WITH THE FRONT AS IT
    LIFTS NWD...OR EVOLVE WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR...WILL ALSO BE CAPABLE
    OF PRODUCING DMGG WIND GUSTS...AND POSSIBLY A TORNADO.
    HOWEVER...WEAKENING LOW-LEVEL SRH WITH SWD DISPLACEMENT FROM THE
    BOUNDARY PER VWP DATA SUGGESTS THAT ANY TORNADO THREAT...ALBEIT
    MINIMAL...WILL BE CONFINED TO A NARROW CORRIDOR ALONG THE SFC FRONT.
    GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY IN CONVECTIVE INITIATION/COVERAGE...THE NEED
    FOR A WW IS UNCERTAIN. HOWEVER...TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
    MONITORED FOR POTENTIAL WW ISSUANCE.

    ..COHEN.. 11/21/2011


    ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...EWX..
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    MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2348
    NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
    0344 PM CST MON NOV 21 2011


    AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN INTO SRN/CENTRAL OK AND PARTS OF NWRN AND
    NORTH CENTRAL TX

    CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

    VALID 212144Z - 212315Z

    TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP WITHIN WAA REGIME LOCATED OVER
    NWRN-NORTH CENTRAL TX...AND SPREAD ACROSS MUCH OF OK THROUGH THE
    LATE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. ISOLATED HAIL WILL BE POSSIBLE
    WITH THE STRONGER STORMS. HOWEVER...PRESENT INDICATIONS SUGGEST THE
    ENVIRONMENT WILL NOT SUPPORT A MORE WIDESPREAD COVERAGE FOR SEVERE
    STORMS...AND THUS A WW IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

    MID-AFTERNOON SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWED A SURFACE LOW LOCATED OVER WRN
    TX /S OF MAF/...WITH A WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD INTO SOUTH CENTRAL
    TX AND THEN NEWD THROUGH NERN TX TO CENTRAL-NERN AR AND WRN TN.
    MEANWHILE...REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY SHOWED SHOWERS AND EMBEDDED TSTMS
    HAVE CONTINUED TO DEVELOP SINCE THIS MORNING AND WERE NOW AFFECTING
    N TX TO THE TX PANHANDLE AND INTO MUCH OF WRN AND CENTRAL OK. THIS
    ACTIVITY WHICH IS LOCATED WELL NORTH OF THE SURFACE FRONT APPEARS TO
    BE DEVELOPING WITHIN LOWER TROPOSPHERIC FRONTOGENETIC FORCING.
    ISENTROPIC ASCENT/WAA ALONG FAIRLY BROAD 30-35 KT SLY LLJ EXTENDING
    FROM TX INTO OK WILL MAINTAIN CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT INTO THE
    EVENING. THIS ACTIVITY WILL ALSO BE AIDED BY INCREASING ASCENT
    WITHIN THE EXIT REGION OF A STRONG 70-75 KT SWLY MIDLEVEL JET
    CURRENTLY MOVING ACROSS SWRN TX TOWARD SWRN OK ATTENDANT TO THE NM
    SHORTWAVE TROUGH. EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR AROUND 50 KT IS MORE THAN
    SUFFICIENT FOR ORGANIZED ROTATING UPDRAFTS. HOWEVER...WW IS
    UNLIKELY DUE TO 1/ MARGINAL INSTABILITY /MUCAPE 500-1000 J PER KG/
    AND 2/ WIDESPREAD COVERAGE OF ONGOING CONVECTION OVERTURNING THE AIR
    MASS AND REDUCING THE AVAILABLE INSTABILITY.

    ..PETERS.. 11/21/2011


    ATTN...WFO...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...LUB...AMA...
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    Live Tracker for Tuesday/Wed

    ">




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    HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
    444 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2011


    THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE NORTHWEST
    GULF OF MEXICO...CENTRAL LOUISIANA...SOUTH CENTRAL LOUISIANA...
    SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...WEST CENTRAL LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

    .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT
    SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL INCREASE GREATLY TODAY
    ACROSS THE AREA AS A UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND COLD FRONT MOVE ACROSS
    THE REGION. SEVERE WEATHER MAY BE POSSIBLE...WITH WIND DAMAGE
    LIKELY THE PRIMARY THREAT.

    .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY
    A COLD FRONT WILL BRING DRY AND COOLER WEATHER WEDNESDAY AND
    THURSDAY. ANOTHER UPPER LEVEL TROUGH AND COLD FRONT WILL BRING
    ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE FRIDAY INTO
    SATURDAY...WITH DRY AND COOLER CONDITIONS TO FOLLOW ON SUNDAY AND
    MONDAY.

    .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
    SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE NEEDED THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING.

    $$
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    HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
    NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSON MS
    520 AM CST TUE NOV 22 2011


    THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL MISSISSIPPI...
    NORTHEAST LOUISIANA...AND EXTREME SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS.

    .DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

    SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY AND THIS EVENING. THE
    BEST WINDOW FOR SEVERE STORM CHANCES WILL OCCUR FROM THE EARLY
    AFTERNOON THROUGH THE EARLY EVENING. THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER RISK
    WILL BE DAMAGING WINDS BUT LARGE HAIL AND TORNADOES WILL ALSO BE
    POSSIBLE.

    THE LEADING EDGE OF A BAND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL TRACK INTO THE AREA
    AROUND NOON AHEAD OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL TRACK ACROSS THE AREA
    TODAY AND TONIGHT. THE AIR MASS WILL BE MARGINALLY UNSTABLE BUT
    STRONG WIND SHEAR AND UPPER JET SUPPORT WILL RESULT IN A POTENTIAL
    FOR SEVERE STORMS.

    .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY

    THE PROBABILITY FOR WIDESPREAD HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS LOW.

    .SPOTTER CALL TO ACTION STATEMENT...

    THE ACTIVATION OF STORM SPOTTERS...HAM RADIO OPERATORS...AND
    EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL IN SUPPORT OF SEVERE WEATHER
    OPERATIONS MAY BE NEEDED TODAY.


    $$
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