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Thread: Hurricane experts admit they can’t predict hurricanes early

  1. #1
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    scartchhead Hurricane experts admit they can’t predict hurricanes early

    Hurricane experts admit they can’t predict hurricanes early; December forecasts too unreliable
    Tuesday, December 13, 2011
    By Tom Spears, The Ottawa Citizen


    OTTAWA — Two top U.S. hurricane forecasters, famous across Deep South hurricane country, are quitting the practice of making a seasonal forecast in December because it doesn’t work.

    William Gray and Phil Klotzbach say a look back shows their past 20 years of forecasts had no predictive value.

    The two scientists from Colorado State University will still discuss different probabilities of hurricane seasons in December. But the shift signals how far humans are, even with supercomputers, from truly knowing what our weather will do in the long run.
    Read more: http://www.ottawacitizen.com/mobile/...tml?id=5847032

    Audrey - 1957 - I was almost three and slept through it.
    Cindy - 1963 - First hurricane that I remember
    Bonnie - 1986 - Watching all the transformers explode
    Rita - 2005 - The sounds that I did not know my house could make & the roar
    Humberto - 2007 - Got 2" of rain
    Ike - 2008 - A long blow

    Only people with oversized egos believe that mankind has caused global warming.

    Scientific Consensus is an Oxymoron

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  3. #2
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    So how will the insurance companies know how much to hike up our rates if we do not have these predictions?


    Glad Dr. Gray is stopping this insane practice.
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  4. #3
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    Wow.

    Oh, wait, that's only about the december forecast, they are not stopping the other ones...

    Sent from my Touchpad using Tapatalk
    Last edited by someweather; 12-18-2011 at 09:23 AM.
    -- scratch scratch --

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