Severe weather threat accross the Gulf Coast TX-FL 1/24/12

[dkmac]

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1132 AM CST MON JAN 23 2012

VALID 241200Z - 251200Z

...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND
SRN TX...

...SYNOPSIS...
A WELL DEFINED SHORTWAVE TROUGH...CURRENTLY MOVING THROUGH
NRN/CENTRAL CA PER SATELLITE IMAGERY...IS EXPECTED TO BE LOCATED
OVER THE DESERT SOUTHWEST AT 12Z TUESDAY. STRONG UPSTREAM HEIGHT
RISES ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN TO THE NRN/CENTRAL ROCKIES AND
DOWNSTREAM RISES FROM THE OZARKS TO LOWER/MID MO VALLEY WILL SUPPORT
THE EVOLUTION OF THE DESERT SOUTHWEST TROUGH INTO A CLOSED LOW.
THIS SYSTEM WILL REMAIN PROGRESSIVE...TRACKING ESEWD REACHING ERN
NM/W TX...AND NORTH CENTRAL MEXICO BY 12Z WEDNESDAY. A 30-40 KT SLY
LLJ OVER W TX AT 12Z TUESDAY WILL TRANSLATE EWD ACROSS TX/SRN OK
REACHING S-E TX LATE IN THE FORECAST PERIOD. MEANWHILE...MID-UPPER
LEVEL FLOW ACROSS MUCH OF TX WILL BECOME MERIDIONAL TUESDAY NIGHT AS
THE UPSTREAM TROUGH MOVES SEWD INTO FAR W TX/NRN MEXICO.

AT THE SURFACE...THE WRN TRAILING EXTENT OF A COLD FRONT MOVING
THROUGH THE ERN/SERN STATES DAY 1 WAS LOCATED FROM THE NWRN GULF TO
INVOF DEEP S TX /BRO CWA/. THIS BOUNDARY WILL RETURN NWD TUESDAY AS
A WARM FRONT ACROSS S INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL TX...AS DEVELOPING SELY
SURFACE WINDS AND SLY 850 MB FLOW RETURN MOISTURE NWD.

...CENTRAL AND SRN TX...
LOW LEVEL RETURN FLOW UP THE RIO GRANDE VALLEY...IN PROGRESS AT 12Z
TUESDAY...SHOULD REACH THE TRANSPECOS REGION AND TX S PLAINS...SE OF
EXPECTED CYCLOGENESIS OVER SERN NM BY LATE TUESDAY AFTERNOON...WITH
SURFACE DEWPOINTS IN THE MIDDLE 50S EXTENDING FROM VAL VERDE COUNTY
TO INVOF SJT. MOISTURE RETURN WILL ALSO SPREAD NWD ACROSS S TO E TX
THROUGH THE PERIOD. WEAK ELEVATED INSTABILITY AND LOW-LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION WILL LIKELY SUPPORT CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS CENTRAL
AND N TX BY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...MAINLY N OF THE WARM FRONT ACROSS E
AND NRN TX TO SRN AND WRN OK. WEAKER DEEP LAYER SHEAR WITH NWD
EXTENT SHOULD LIMIT THE OVERALL SEVERE WEATHER THREAT FROM THIS
ELEVATED ACTIVITY. HOWEVER...STEEP MIDLEVEL LAPSE RATES ACROSS MUCH
OF TX SHOULD SUPPORT SOME HAIL EXCEEDING SEVERE LEVELS INTO PARTS OF
NW AND NRN TX. AS SUCH...THIS OUTLOOK HAS EXPANDED THE 5% SEVERE
PROBABILITY TO THE NW AND N.

MODELS CONTINUE TO SUGGEST THE POTENTIAL FOR SURFACE BASED STORMS
TUESDAY AFTERNOON INVOF SJT AS FORCING FOR ASCENT ALONG THE ERN
EXTENT OF THE UPPER TROUGH SPREADS ATOP THE LOW LEVEL MOISTENING AND
CONVERGENCE SE OF THE SURFACE LOW. DESPITE WEAK INSTABILITY...
STRENGTHENING EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR /30-45 KT/ SUGGESTS ORGANIZED
STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. MODELS CONTINUE TO SHOW AN INCREASE IN
TSTM COVERAGE TUESDAY NIGHT WITH A LINEAR MCS DEVELOPING OVER
CENTRAL INTO S-E TX OVERNIGHT. ALTHOUGH VERTICAL WIND FIELDS WILL
BECOME MERIDIONAL SUPPORTING A DAMAGING WIND THREAT...STRONG LOW
LEVEL SHEAR WILL ALSO FAVOR A TORNADO THREAT.

FARTHER E...THE ERN EXTENT OF THE SLIGHT RISK WILL BE MAINTAINED
ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL TX TO THE MIDDLE-UPPER TX COAST...GIVEN
FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED
ROTATING STORMS/TORNADO THREAT. HOWEVER...DESPITE LOW LEVEL
MOISTENING/WAA...A FAIRLY STRONG CAP WITH SWD AND EWD EXTENT OVER TX
AND WEAKER HEIGHT FALLS UNTIL AFTER DAY 2 SUGGEST THE SEVERE WEATHER
THREAT WILL TEND TO BE MORE CONDITIONAL OVER THIS PART OF THE SLIGHT
RISK. IF STORMS CAN BECOME SURFACE BASED...A STRENGTHENING SLY LLJ
TO 40-50 KT WILL SUSTAIN A MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH LOW LCLS
ENHANCING THE TORNADO POTENTIAL.

..PETERS.. 01/23/2012

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0225 AM CST MON JAN 23 2012

VALID 251200Z - 261200Z

...SYNOPSIS...
WHILE FAST WLY/QUASI-ZONAL MID-LEVEL FLOW IS PROGGED ACROSS THE NRN
THIRD OF THE COUNTRY...RIDGING IS FORECAST OVER BOTH THE SOUTHEAST
AND THE SOUTHWEST U.S. EITHER SIDE OF A SLOW-MOVING UPPER LOW
CROSSING TX THROUGH THE PERIOD.

AT THE SURFACE...HIGH PRESSURE WILL GENERALLY PREVAIL OVER ALL BUT
THE S CENTRAL CONUS...WHERE A WEAK SURFACE LOW INITIALLY INVOF S TX
SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP NEWD ACROSS THE TX GULF COAST/WRN GULF OF MEXICO
THROUGH THE DAYLIGHT HOURS. WHILE MODELS DIFFER ON TIMING AND
LOCATION OF THE LOW...IT APPEARS THAT THE LOW SHOULD RESIDE INLAND
INVOF LA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD...WITH A COLD FRONT HAVING SWEPT
OFF THE TX COAST AND INTO THE WRN GULF.

...TX COASTAL PLAIN/E TX EWD ACROSS LA AND SWRN MS...
SHOWERS AND STORMS SHOULD BE ONGOING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD
ACROSS COASTAL/ERN TX...WHERE MOIST SELY FLOW AND THE SLOW ERN
ADVANCE OF THE UPPER FEATURE SUPPORT MARGINAL INSTABILITY. WITH
VEERING/INCREASING FLOW WITH HEIGHT WITHIN THE WARM ADVECTION
REGIME...SHEAR SUGGESTS AT LEAST LIMITED ONGOING THREAT FOR AN
ISOLATED TORNADO OR DAMAGING GUST.

WITH TIME...CONVECTION WILL SHIFT SLOWLY EWD ACROSS E TX AND INTO
LA...AS THE UPPER SYSTEM MAKES SLOW EWD PROGRESS AND THE WEAK
SURFACE LOW BECOMES ESTABLISHED INLAND INVOF LA. HERE...WEAK LAPSE
RATES WILL BE TO SOME DEGREE OFFSET BY A WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER
AND SHEAR SUPPORTIVE OF ORGANIZED CONVECTION...SUCH THAT LOW SEVERE
WEATHER PROBABILITY WILL BE INCLUDED ACROSS THIS AREA AND INTO SWRN
PORTIONS OF MS THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

..GOSS.. 01/23/2012

[ROLLTIDE]

DAY 3

[ROLLTIDE]

[Joe-Nathan]

UPDATE FROM LAKE CHARLES NWS:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
346 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2012

DISCUSSION

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS SHOWS WARM FRONTAL ZONE JUST SOUTH OF THE I-10
CORRIDOR THIS AFTERNOON...EXPECTED TO CONTINUE NORTHWARD THIS
EVENING. SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS CONTINUE ALONG AND NORTH OF
THE FRONT THIS AFTERNOON...NOW MOVING INTO INLAND SE TX/C LA.
TEMPERATURES OUTSIDE THE RAIN AREAS ARE IN THE LOWER 60S...WITH
MID/UPPER 50S IN THE EVAPORATIVE RAIN COOLED AIR. THE TEMPS WILL
ACTUALLY RISE BACK INTO THE LOWER TO MID 60S THIS EVENING AND
REMAIN NEARLY STEADY OVERNIGHT AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW CONTINUES TO
INCREASE.

THIS SIGNIFICANT STORM SYSTEM...ACROSS NM/W TX THIS AFTERNOON...WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE EASTWARD TONIGHT AND WED. THIS WILL CONTINUE TO
BRING INCREASED MOISTURE AND LIFT...LEADING TO SCT TO NUM SHRA/TSRA
WED. THIS WILL BE ENHANCED WED AFTERNOON AND EVENING AS A SFC LOW
FORMS ACROSS C TX AND MOVES NE ACROSS E TX/W LA. SPC HAS OUTLINED
THE ENTIRE AREA IN A SLIGHT RISK OF SVR TSRA WED INTO EARLY
THU...WITH ISO SUPER CELLS POSSIBLE AHEAD OF THE LOW...AND MORE
ORGANIZED LINE OF SVR TSRA NEAR THE SFC LOW TROF AXIS THU
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WITH THE SUPERCELLS...SVR WX WILL BE
POSSIBLE WITH HAIL/WND DAMAGE AND A TORNADO POSSIBLE. BELIEVE THE
GREATEST THREAT WILL BE WED EVENING...WITH DAMAGING WINDS & LARGE
HAIL POSSIBLE AS THE UPPER LEVEL TROF GETS CLOSER TO THE REGION.

AS THE UPPER LOW MOVES E OVER THE REGION THU...LINGERING MOISTURE
AND INSTABILITY WILL CONTINUE THE CHANCE FOR TSRA. IMPROVEMENTS
SHOULD COMMENCE BY LATE THU NIGHT INTO FRI AS THE SYSTEM MOVES
EAST OF THE REGION. A STRONGER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO MOVE THRU
FRI EVENING...BRINGING IN MUCH COLDER AND DRIER AIR FOR THE
WEEKEND.

[ROLLTIDE]

...

Mesoscale Discussion 64
< Previous MD
MD 64 graphic


MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0064
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0713 PM CST TUE JAN 24 2012

AREAS AFFECTED...EDWARDS PLATEAU...HILL COUNTRY

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH LIKELY

VALID 250113Z - 250245Z

THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL...ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS...AND PERHAPS A
TORNADO WILL INCREASE AS TSTM COVERAGE GROWS LATER THIS EVENING.
ALTHOUGH UNCERTAINTY EXISTS OVER THE TYPE OF WW...THE PROBABILITY OF
ISSUANCE BY 03Z IS 60 PERCENT.

01Z SURFACE ANALYSIS PLACED A SERIES OF WEAK CYCLONES ACROSS THE
PERMIAN BASIN/BIG BEND...AND ALONG THE RIO GRANDE BETWEEN DRT AND
LRD. PRIMARY SURFACE WARM FRONT HAS BECOME QUASI-STATIONARY S OF THE
HILL COUNTRY WITH A RELATIVELY RICH WARM/MOIST AIR MASS ACROSS MUCH
OF S-CNTRL TX. FARTHER NW...MORE MARGINAL SURFACE-BASED INSTABILITY
EXISTS WITH A STRONG CAPPING INVERSION CENTERED NEAR 800 MB IN THE
00Z DRT RAOB. THIS CAPPING INVERSION WILL BE GRADUALLY REMOVED AS
BAND OF FORCED ASCENT /NOW CROSSING THE BIG BEND/ OVERSPREADS THE
MODIFIED WARM SECTOR OVER THE EDWARDS PLATEAU. STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE
RATES AND EFFECTIVE SHEAR OF 40-50 KT WILL PROVE FAVORABLE FOR LARGE
HAIL. WHILE A WEAKNESS IN THE LOW-LEVEL HODOGRAPH MAY PERSIST
BETWEEN 800-700 MB...VEERING MAY BE SUFFICIENT FOR A MARGINAL
TORNADO THREAT. HOWEVER...STRONGER LOW-LEVEL SLYS SHOULD REMAIN
CONFINED E OF THE I-35 CORRIDOR. IN ADDITION...CONVECTION-ALLOWING
MODELS LARGELY SUGGEST TSTMS WOULD QUICKLY TRANSITION INTO A CLUSTER
MODE WITH PROPAGATION TOWARDS THE NE INTO A LESS UNSTABLE AIR MASS.

..GRAMS.. 01/25/2012


ATTN...WFO...CRP...EWX...SJT...

LAT...LON 29730142 30260125 30810077 30960033 31049970 30999913
30719865 30639781 30529732 30279702 29789710 29389761
28699862 28439939 28380027 29250085 29730142

[ROLLTIDE]

[Joe-Nathan]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
643 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BURLESON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN WASHINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 715 AM CST

* AT 637 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 11 MILES WEST OF LAKE SOMERVILLE DAM... MOVING
NORTHEAST AT 50 MPH. THERE IS A SECOND POSSIBLE TORNADO LOCATED 5 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF CALDWELL.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
SOMERVILLE AND CALDWELL.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN THE INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
A ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A STURDY BUILDING. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF YOU ARE INSIDE A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...EVACUATE THEM
IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. AS A LAST
RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR
HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CST FOR THE WARNED AREA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3066 9665 3034 9630 3014 9673 3019 9676
3020 9675 3024 9675 3025 9673 3026 9669
3029 9666 3031 9669 3031 9674 3039 9680
TIME...MOT...LOC 1241Z 229DEG 45KT 3030 9669

$$

[dkmac]

N.O. NWS:

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST
LOUISIANA...SOUTH MISSISSIPPI AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

A STORM SYSTEM WILL MOVE OUT OF SOUTH TEXAS TODAY INTO WESTERN
LOUISIANA TONIGHT. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE
INTO THE AREA LATE THIS AFTERNOON...AND BECOME MORE NUMEROUS
AFTER MIDNIGHT. THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE WEATHER
LATE TONIGHT...AFTER MIDNIGHT...WEST OF INTERSTATE 55. THIS IS
GENERALLY WEST OF A MCCOMB...TO HAMMOND...TO GALLIANO LINE...AND
INCLUDES THE BATON ROUGE AND HOUMA AREAS. DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE
THE MAIN THREAT...BUT AN ISOLATED TORNADO IS POSSIBLE.

SMALL CRAFT WILL NEED TO EXERCISE CAUTION LATE THIS MORNING AND
THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS MOST OF THE OPEN COASTAL WATERS...WHERE 15
TO 20 KNOT WINDS WILL BE COMMON.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...THURSDAY THROUGH TUESDAY

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK FOR SEVERE WEATHER OVER THE ENTIRE OUTLOOK
AREA THURSDAY. THE MAIN TIME FRAME WILL BE FROM EARLY THURSDAY
MORNING...THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY AFTERNOON THURSDAY. AT THIS TIME
ALL MODES APPEAR POSSIBLE WITH BIGGEST CONCERN BEING DAMAGING
STRAIGHT LINE WINDS AND TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...MANY AREAS ARE
EXPECTED TO RECEIVE ONE TO TWO INCHES OF RAIN WITH THIS SYSTEM.
LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE. LATER STATEMENTS AND
FORECASTS WILL UPDATE ANY CHANGES TO THE FORECAST.

[Joe-Nathan]

CONTINUING with THE SAME LINE OF STORMS:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
728 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
EASTERN BRAZOS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
WESTERN MADISON COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 815 AM CST

* AT 725 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR COLLEGE STATION... MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.
A SECOND RADAR INDICATED TORNADO WAS LOCATED NEAR MILLICAN ALSO
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 35 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
WELLBORN...ROANS PRAIRIE...RICHARDS...NORTH ZULCH...MILLICAN...
KURTEN...IOLA...CARLOS AND BEDIAS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN THE INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
A ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A STURDY BUILDING. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF YOU ARE INSIDE A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...EVACUATE THEM
IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. AS A LAST
RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR
HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CST FOR THE WARNED AREA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3103 9604 3090 9586 3085 9586 3083 9585
3054 9584 3043 9627 3069 9637
TIME...MOT...LOC 1326Z 243DEG 31KT 3068 9628

$$

[Joe-Nathan]

WELL WE BETTER GET READY:



URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 15
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
755 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

T

HE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

WESTERN AND SOUTHERN LOUISIANA
SOUTHEAST TEXAS
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS WEDNESDAY MORNING AND AFTERNOON FROM 755 AM UNTIL
300 PM CST.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 1 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 95 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 30 MILES NORTH OF NATCHITOCHES
LOUISIANA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHWEST OF PORT ARTHUR TEXAS. FOR
A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 14...

DISCUSSION...NRN PARTS OF E TX SQLN EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ENEWD INTO
RECOVERING BOUNDARY LAYER ENVIRONMENT NEAR DIFFUSE WNW-ESE WARM
FRONT NOW EXTENDING FROM N OF LUFKIN TX TO NEAR BATON ROUGE LA.
AREA VWP DATA SHOW 50+ KT SSWLY LLJ SHIFTING EWD IN TANDEM WITH
SQLN...ENHANCING LOW LVL SHEAR AND STRENGTHENING LOW LVL MOISTURE
TRANSPORT. WHILE MID LVL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN WEAK...COMBINATION
OF INCREASING LOW LVL MOISTURE/SHEAR AND MODEST SFC HEATING MAY
YIELD AN ENVIRONMENT FAVORABLE FOR LEWPS WITH LOCALLY DMGG WIND AND
ISOLD TORNADOES. OTHER STORMS MAY ARISE LATER THIS MORNING OR EARLY
THIS AFTN WITHIN CONFLUENCE BAND NOW OVER THE HOUSTON AREA AHEAD OF
SQLN. ANY SUSTAINED STORMS FORMING WITH THIS ACTIVITY MAY POSE A
TORNADO THREAT LATER TODAY OVER SW LA.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 1 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 500.
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.


...CORFIDI

[Joe-Nathan]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
808 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN GRIMES COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHERN WALKER COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 845 AM CST

* AT 801 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED 6 MILES NORTH OF PLANTERSVILLE... MOVING EAST AT 30
MPH. A SECOND RADAR INDICATED TORNADO WAS LOCATED 5 MILES SOUTHWEST
OF PLANTERSVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
LAKE CONROE DAM...DOBBIN...DACUS...WILLIS...TODD MISSION...PANORAMA
VILLAGE...NEW WAVERLY...MONTGOMERY AND CONROE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN THE INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
A ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A STURDY BUILDING. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF YOU ARE INSIDE A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...EVACUATE THEM
IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. AS A LAST
RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR
HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CST FOR THE WARNED AREA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3062 9541 3029 9539 3025 9597 3050 9595
TIME...MOT...LOC 1407Z 251DEG 26KT 3042 9585

$$

[ROLLTIDE]

You streaming today Joe ?

[ROLLTIDE]

[Joe-Nathan]

You streaming today Joe ?

Yaa.............no. Not unless I can get out during lunch. Been working 10-11 hr days at the office...

But if we can get this cloud deck to burn off, we might get some meso before the storm line gets here.

[Joe-Nathan]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
844 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 915 AM CST

* AT 840 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR PINEHURST... MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO
LAKE CONROE DAM...PANORAMA VILLAGE...MAGNOLIA AND CONROE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN THE INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
A ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A STURDY BUILDING. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF YOU ARE INSIDE A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...EVACUATE THEM
IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. AS A LAST
RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR
HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 1100 AM CST FOR THE WARNED AREA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 3044 9539 3019 9543 3014 9577 3034 9572
TIME...MOT...LOC 1442Z 251DEG 26KT 3025 9566

$$

[nightrider]

Yaa.............no. Not unless I can get out during lunch. Been working 10-11 hr days at the office...

But if we can get this cloud deck to burn off, we might get some meso before the storm line gets here.

Take the rest of the day off. This might be our best shot a something in the daylight hours.

[ROLLTIDE]

Take the rest of the day off. This might be our best shot a something in the daylight hours.

No way it can't be a daylight event

[Joe-Nathan]

Take the rest of the day off. This might be our best shot a something in the daylight hours.

Wish I could brother. I do have over week worth of vaca saved up, but we are just way to busy.

[ROLLTIDE]

[Joe-Nathan]

WELL THIS PAST JUST SOUTH OF OUR STAFFORD OFFICE:

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
1113 AM CST WED JAN 25 2012

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN BRAZORIA COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
EASTERN FORT BEND COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...
SOUTHERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1145 AM CST

* AT 1110 AM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO. THIS TORNADO
WAS LOCATED NEAR MISSOURI CITY... MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IN THE TORNADO WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO THE
MEDICAL CENTER...RELIANT PARK...HOBBY AIRPORT...HERMAN PARK...
STAFFORD...SOUTH HOUSTON...PEARLAND...FRESNO AND BROOKSIDE VILLAGE.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS IN THE INTERIOR HALLWAY OR
A ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET ON THE LOWEST LEVEL OF A STURDY BUILDING. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS.

IF YOU ARE INSIDE A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...EVACUATE THEM
IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK SHELTER INSIDE A STURDY BUILDING. AS A LAST
RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR
HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

A TORNADO WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 200 PM CST FOR THE WARNED AREA.

&&

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE COUNTY SHERIFF...LOCAL POLICE...
OR DEPARTMENT OF PUBLIC SAFETY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY YOUR REPORT TO
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE.

LAT...LON 2977 9527 2957 9518 2950 9557 2962 9561
TIME...MOT...LOC 1712Z 252DEG 26KT 2958 9553