POSSIBLE SVR WX FEB 1ST - 2ND, 2012 - FOR TX, ARK, LA AND MISS

[ROLLTIDE]

..

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA

237 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2012



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

WEST CENTRAL ST. TAMMANY PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MANDEVILLE...

SOUTHEASTERN TANGIPAHOA PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...



* UNTIL 315 PM CST



* AT 234 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 15 MILES WEST OF

MADISONVILLE...OR 14 MILES SOUTH OF HAMMOND...MOVING EAST AT 30

MPH.



* OTHER LOCATIONS IN THE WARNING INCLUDE BUT ARE NOT LIMITED TO ABITA

SPRINGS



PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...



THE SAFEST PLACE TO BE DURING A TORNADO IS UNDER A WORKBENCH OR OTHER

PIECE OF STURDY FURNITURE. SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE

BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE

BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM

WINDOWS.



IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A

SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE

NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

[ROLLTIDE]

...

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED

TORNADO WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA

318 PM CST SAT FEB 4 2012



THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEW ORLEANS HAS ISSUED A



* TORNADO WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL ST. TAMMANY PARISH IN SOUTHEAST LOUISIANA...

THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF MANDEVILLE...



* UNTIL 345 PM CST



* AT 315 PM CST...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE METEOROLOGISTS DETECTED A

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR

MANDEVILLE...MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.



* THE TORNADO WILL OTHERWISE REMAIN OVER MAINLY RURAL AREAS OF THE

INDICATED PARISH.

[dkmac]

Those of you on the Gulf Coast of MS and AL keep your eyes on the radar for your area. This line dropped almost an inch of rain in just a few minutes here in Covington. I don't see any tornado warnings right now, but...

[ROLLTIDE]

....

Mesoscale Discussion 113

< Previous MD

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 0113 NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0446 PM CST SAT FEB 04 2012 AREAS AFFECTED...FAR SERN LA...FAR SERN MS...FAR SWRN AL CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY VALID 042246Z - 050015Z A FEW STORMS MAY PRODUCE STRONG WIND GUSTS INTO EARLY EVENING ACROSS FAR SERN LA...FAR SERN MS...AND FAR SWRN AL...WITH A WEAKENING TREND EXPECTED AFTER 01Z. A WW IS NOT NEEDED. A PREFRONTAL SQUALL LINE CONTINUES MOVING EWD AROUND 20 KT... CURRENTLY EXTENDING FROM EAST OF THE HATTIESBURG MS AREA SWD TOWARD THE EAST END OF LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN TO NEAR GRAND ISLE LA. LOW-LEVEL ASCENT AT THE LEADING EDGE OF CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW AMIDST A WEAKLY BUOYANT -- MLCAPE OF 500 TO 1000 J PER KG -- AND ANOMALOUSLY MOIST TROPOSPHERE -- PW VALUES OF 180 TO 190 PERCENT OF NORMAL PER BLENDED AMSU/SSMI DATA -- SHOULD ALLOW STORMS TO CONTINUE MOVING EWD ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST. ONLY MODEST AMOUNTS OF DEEP-LAYER SHEAR PER AREA VWP DATA WILL CONTRIBUTE TO MAINTAINING SOME CONVECTIVE ORGANIZATION...WITH LOCALLY GUSTY WINDS OWING TO WATER LOADING PROCESSES AND WEAK/BROAD...LINE-EMBEDDED MESOSCALE CIRCULATIONS. HOWEVER...WEAK LOW-LEVEL FLOW PER MOBILE VWP DATA...THE LACK OF DEEP-LAYER FORCING FOR ASCENT...THE ABSENCE OF GREATER BUOYANCY...AND THE ABSENCE OF A MORE ORGANIZED COLD POOL WILL GREATLY MINIMIZE ANY THREAT FOR SVR WIND GUSTS. AFTER 01Z...NOCTURNAL STABILIZATION WILL BE ASSOCIATED WITH A REDUCTION IN THE THREAT FOR STRONG STORMS. ..COHEN.. 02/04/2012 ATTN...WFO...MOB...LIX...

[Joe-Nathan]

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
628 PM CST SAT FEB 04 2012

.TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON

.DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.

..REMARKS..

0800 AM TORNADO 5 SW DERIDDER 30.80N 93.34W
02/04/2012 F1 BEAUREGARD LA NWS STORM SURVEY

TORNADO TOUCHED DOWN 5 MILES SOUTHWEST OF DE RIDDER AND
TRAVELED EAST RESULTING IN DAMAGE TO TREES...BARN DAMAGE
ON GRANBERRY ROAD WITH PORTIONS OF THE ROOF THROWN 0.4 OF
A MILE...AND CARPORT AWNING DAMAGE. PATH LENGTH 4.6 MILES
AND WIDTH 20 YARDS. ALSO ENTERED THE EXACT LAT LON
STARTING POINT.