New Orleans Local Weather thread

[ladybug]

OK - will one of you weather people please adopt us and post forecast when something drastic or exciting is going to happen.

[ROLLTIDE]

Area Forecast Discussion
000
FXUS64 KLIX 171007
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
407 AM CST FRI FEB 17 2006

.DISCUSSION...
RUNNING A LITTLE TARDY SO WILL BE BRIEF. FIRSTLY...FOR NWS WEB
USERS...THE NCEP NATIONAL CENTERS WEB SITE IS EXPERIENCING
PROBLEMS THAT NETWORK STAFF ARE TRYING TO RECTIFY. UNKNOWN ON
TIME OF RESTORAL...AND APOLOGIZE FOR ANY INCONVENIENCE THIS MAY BE
POSING.

ARCTIC COLD FRONT IS ON A STEADY MOVE...ABOUT 19 KT TO THE
SOUTHEAST AND ALREADY THROUGH MONROE AND VICKSBURG. TIMING THE
FRONTAL PASSAGE ACROSS OUR CWA...1330Z AT KMCB...1430Z AT
KBTR...1700Z AT KMSY AND 1800Z AT KGPT. COLD AIR APPEARS TO BE
QUITE SHALLOW THE FARTHER SOUTH IT MOVES BUT ONCE IN
PLACE...SHOULD REMAIN ENTRENCHED WITH LITTLE RANGE IN
TEMPERATURES THE NEXT FEW DAYS UNTIL FRONT MOVES DEFINITIVELY
NORTH EARLY NEXT WEEK. THIS WEEKEND SHOULD BE DANK AND COLD BUT WE
SHOULD BE ABLE TO AVOID DEALING WITH WINTER TYPE PRECIPITATION
THIS FAR SOUTH. WILL SHOW ONLY 30-40 PERCENT POPS FOR SHOWERS WITH
FRONTAL PASSAGE TODAY THEN HIGH CHANCES OF STRATIFORM RAIN WITH
OVERRUNNING OVER COLD LAYER SATURDAY...LESS CHANCE SUNDAY BUT
STILL MISTY TO DRIZZLY AND COLD.

[ROLLTIDE]

Area Forecast Discussion
000
FXUS64 KLIX 180946
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
346 AM CST SAT FEB 18 2006

.DISCUSSION...FAIRLY WET PATTERN DEVELOPING THIS MORNING AS A
FRONTAL BOUNDARY SETTLES ALONG THE GULF COAST. SUBTLE DISTURBANCES
EMBEDDED WITHIN A PREDOMINANTLY ZONAL FLOW ALOFT SHOULD BEGIN
TO MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TODAY ESTABLISHING AN OVERRUNNING RAIN
PATTERN. COOLER AIR SHOULD ALSO GRADUALLY FILTER INTO THE AREA
THIS MORNING WITH TEMPERATURES FALLING THROUGHOUT THE AFTERNOON.
CLOUDINESS AND A CHANCE FOR RAIN THEN LOOK TO PERSIST LATER
TONIGHT AND INTO THE NEW WEEK AS THE FRONT MEANDERS ALONG THE
COAST WHILE ZONAL FLOW ALOFT CONTINUES. BY WED...THE FRONT BEGINS
TO LIFT NORTHWARD BRINGING WARMER AND MORE HUMID AIR BACK INTO THE
AREA. THE BOUNDARY THEN LOOKS TO FINALLY SWING THROUGH THE REGION
FRI AS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH SWINGS THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST AS HIGH
PRESSURE AT THE SURFACE BUILDS ACROSS THE PLAINS STATES.
&&

[nwo4life022]

hey rolltide where do you get that information from?

[ROLLTIDE]

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/lix/cgi-bin/...rsion=0&max=10

[nwo4life022]

ahh ok

[ROLLTIDE]

Area Forecast Discussion
000
FXUS64 KLIX 200933
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
333 AM CST MON FEB 20 2006

.DISCUSSION...

BAROCLINIC ZONE WILL REMAIN OVER THE REGION THROUGH THE END OF THE
WEEK...UNTIL ANOTHER MORE AMPLIFIED PATTERN DEVELOPS THIS WEEKEND.

A STATIONARY FRONT WILL LINGER OVER THE COASTAL WATERS AND CENTRAL
GULF COAST THROUGH THE WEEK...AS A LARGELY ZONAL FLOW DOMINATES
THE CONUS. A SERIES OF FAST MOVING...BUT WEAK UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCES WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA THROUGHOUT THE WEEK. AS
THESE DISTURBANCES MOVE THROUGH...PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND DRIZZLE
WILL DEVELOP. HAVE DECIDED TO BUMP UP POPS THROUGH THE WEEK...AS
ISENTROPIC LIFT IN THE LOW-MID LEVELS IS ACCENTUATED BY A STRONG
JET LOCATED OVER THE GULF SOUTH AND THESE FAST MOVING SHORT WAVES
SLIPPING THROUGH. HOWEVER...BEST MOISTURE WILL BE LIMITED TO
MAINLY MID-LEVELS...RESULTING IN ONLY LIGHT PRECIPITATION THROUGH
FRIDAY.

DUE TO THE ABUNDANT CLOUD COVER...AND A SOMEWHAT PERSISTENT
NORTHEASTERLY FLOW...EXPECT SOME DRAINAGE FROM A COLD AIR DAMMING
EVENT IN THE MID-ATLANTIC TO BLEED INTO THE REGION. THE COMBINED
LACK OF SOLAR INSOLATION AND WEAK COLD AIR ADVECTION WILL KEEP
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL TODAY. HOWEVER...DIURNAL RANGES WILL BE
SMALL AS THE CLOUD COVER WILL LIMIT RADIATIONAL COOLING OVERNIGHT.
BY TOMORROW...WINDS WILL SHIFT BACK TO THE SOUTH...ALLOWING SOME
WARM AIR ADVECTION TO TAKE PLACE. HOWEVER...THE AMOUNT OF WARMING
WILL REMAIN TEMPERED BY CLOUD COVER AND PERIODS OF SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURES SHOULD WARM BACK TO NEAR NORMAL TOMORROW AND SLIGHTLY
ABOVE NORMAL BY WEDNESDAY. GOING INTO THE END OF THE WEEK...THE
LINGERING FRONT WILL WAVER OVER THE AREA...BUT TEMPERATURES SHOULD
REMAIN NEAR NORMAL THURSDAY AND FRIDAY.

OVER THE WEEKEND...A MAJOR PATTERN CHANGE LOOKS TO BE SHAPING
UP...WITH A MUCH MORE AMPLIFIED PATTERN DEVELOPING. A STRONG
ALEUTIAN LOW WILL DEVELOP ON THURSDAY...ALLOWING A RIDGE TO SET UP
OVER THE EASTERN PACIFIC AND WESTERN UNITED STATES. AT THE SAME
TIME...A VIGOROUS SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DIVE FROM NORTHWEST CANADA
INTO THE CANADIAN PLAINS AND STREGTHEN IN THE LEE OF THE ROCKIES.
A TELECONNECTION WILL DEVELOP WITH A DEEP COLD POOL OVER SIBERIA
AND NORTHERN CANADA...RESULTING IN A STRONG SURGE OF COLD AIR
FLYING DOWN THE FRONT RANGE OF THE ROCKIES ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
BY SATURDAY...A FULLY DEVELOPED LONG WAVE TROUGH WILL FORM OVER
THE EASTERN CONUS...AS THE POLAR VORTEX SWINGS INTO THE HUDSON
BAY...AS THE SHORT WAVE ENERGY TRANSITS INTO THE GREAT LAKES AND
NORTHEAST. A STRONG COLD FRONT WILL DIVE THROUGH THE PLAINS INTO
THE GULF SOUTH SATURDAY INTO SATURDAY NIGHT. IN ADVANCE OF THIS
FRONT...A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DEVELOP AND
MOVE THROUGH THE CWA. BY SATURDAY NIGHT...A STRONG RIDGE OF ARCTIC
HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD IN. A DEEP COLD POOL AND STRONG
SUBSIDENCE WILL ACCOMPANY THIS HIGH...ALLOWING TEMPERATURES TO
PLUNGE BELOW FREEZING ACROSS MOST OF THE CWA...EXCEPT ALONG THE
SOUTH SHORE. THIS COLD POOL OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN
ENTRENCHED OVER THE REGION SUNDAY AND MONDAY.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 50 46 62 58 / 50 50 50 40
BTR 52 49 66 60 / 30 30 30 30
MSY 55 52 68 63 / 30 20 20 20
GPT 54 51 63 61 / 30 30 30 30

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
GM...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

[ROLLTIDE]

ense Fog Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
630 AM CST WED FEB 22 2006

...A DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CST WEDNESDAY...

.WARM MOIST AIR IS MOVING INTO THE GULF STATES AND ALLOWING FOG
TO DEVELOP. FOG WILL BECOME DENSE MAINLY AFTER MIDNIGHT AND BURN
OFF SLOWLY BY MID-MORNING.

LAZ034>040-046>050-056>070-MSZ068>071-077-080>082-221700-
/O.EXT.KLIX.FG.Y.0008.000000T0000Z-060222T1700Z/
POINTE COUPEE-WEST FELICIANA-EAST FELICIANA-ST. HELENA-TANGIPAHOA-
WASHINGTON-ST. TAMMANY-IBERVILLE-WEST BATON ROUGE-
EAST BATON ROUGE-ASCENSION-LIVINGSTON-ASSUMPTION-ST. JAMES-
ST. JOHN THE BAPTIST-UPPER LAFOURCHE-ST. CHARLES-UPPER JEFFERSON-
ORLEANS-UPPER PLAQUEMINES-UPPER ST. BERNARD-UPPER TERREBONNE-
LOWER TERREBONNE-LOWER LAFOURCHE-LOWER JEFFERSON-
LOWER PLAQUEMINES-LOWER ST. BERNARD-WILKINSON-AMITE-PIKE-WALTHALL-
PEARL RIVER-HAN****-HARRISON-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...NEW ROADS...LIVONIA...
ST. FRANCISVILLE...JACKSON...CLINTON...GREENSBURG...MO NTPELIER...
HAMMOND...PONCHATOULA...BOGALUSA...FRANKLINTON...S LIDELL...
MANDEVILLE...COVINGTON...LACOMBE...PLAQUEMINE...WH ITE CASTLE...
PORT ALLEN...ADDIS...BRUSLY...BATON ROUGE...GONZALES...
DONALDSONVILLE...DENHAM SPRINGS...WALKER...PIERRE PART...
LABADIEVILLE...PAINCOURTVILLE...LUTCHER...GRAMERCY ...LAPLACE...
RESERVE...THIBODAUX...RACELAND...LAROSE...DESTREHA N...NORCO...
METAIRIE...KENNER...NEW ORLEANS...BELLE CHASSE...CHALMETTE...
VIOLET...HOUMA...BAYOU CANE...CHAUVIN...DULAC...MONTEGUT...
GALLIANO...CUT OFF...GOLDEN MEADOW...PORT SULPHUR...EMPIRE...
YSCLOSKEY...CENTREVILLE...WOODVILLE...GLOSTER...LI BERTY...
CROSBY...MCCOMB...TYLERTOWN...PICAYUNE...BAY ST. LOUIS...
WAVELAND...DIAMONDHEAD...GULFPORT...BILOXI...PASCA GOULA...
OCEAN SPRINGS...MOSS POINT...GAUTIER...ST. MARTIN
630 AM CST WED FEB 22 2006

...DENSE FOG ADVISORY NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CST THIS
MORNING...

THE DENSE FOG ADVISORY IS NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM CST THIS
MORNING.

MOTORISTS SHOULD ALLOW EXTRA TIME TO SAFELY REACH YOUR
DESTINATION...PARTICULARLY DURING THE MORNING COMMUTE.

A DENSE FOG ADVISORY MEANS VISIBILITIES WILL FREQUENTLY BE
REDUCED TO LESS THAN ONE QUARTER MILE. IF DRIVING...SLOW DOWN...
USE YOUR HEADLIGHTS...AND LEAVE PLENTY OF DISTANCE AHEAD OF YOU.

$$

32

[ROLLTIDE]

Today: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 68. North wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 54. Northeast wind around 15 mph.

Friday: Scattered showers, mainly after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 66. East wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Friday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low near 58. Southeast wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Saturday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Cloudy, with a high near 74. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north. Chance of precipitation is 70%.

Saturday Night: A 20 percent chance of showers before midnight. Partly cloudy, with a low around 49.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high near 65.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

Monday: Sunny, with a high around 63.

Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low near 50.

Tuesday: A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 69.

Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 69

[ROLLTIDE]

Today: A 20 percent chance of showers after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 65. East wind around 15 mph.

Tonight: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a low around 55. East wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

Saturday: Occasional showers and thunderstorms. High near 69. Southeast wind 10 to 15 mph becoming west. Chance of precipitation is 90%.

Saturday Night: Scattered rain, mainly before midnight. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low near 47. North wind around 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 63. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 39.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 66.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 43.

Tuesday: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 68.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy, with a low near 54.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 71.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.

Thursday: A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 72.

[ROLLTIDE]

000
Fxus64 Klix 240828
Afdlix

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service New Orleans La
228 Am Cst Fri Feb 24 2006

.discussion...
Cold Frontal Boundary Is Beginning To Stall ~80 Miles Offshore
This Morning. This Boundary Will Begin To Move Back To The North
As A Warm Front Due To The Development Of A Sfc Low In The Nw
Gulf. As The Low Moves Ene Along The Boundary...it Will Force The
Front To The North While Also Focing A Lot Of Moisture Over The
Warm Front Axis. This Will Cause An Outbreak Of Moderate To Heavy
Rainfall Across Northern La And Miss Starting Around Midnight
Tonight. The Boundary Doesn`t Move Much Until The Sfc Low Moves
East Of The Area Forcing The Cold Front To Move Through. This Is A
Setup For An Axis Of Continuous Rainfall From Early Sat Morning
Til Noon Sat From Eastern La Through Eastern Alabama. Once The Sfc
Low Move East Of The Area...we Will See The Cold Front Move Much
Quicker Through Here Causing The Moderate To Heavy Rainfall To
Move Through Quicker. The Sh/ts Will Be Moving Into The New
Orleans/baton Rouge Metro Areas Just In Time For Sat Parades.
Timing For The Majority Of Rainfall Over These Two Areas At This
Point Should Start Around Noon Sat And Last Through Early Evening.

Ne Wind Will Veer To The East And Weaken Slightly By Late Today.
Small Craft Advisories Will Continue Today Due To The 20 To 25
Knot Wind Speeds Over The Waters. As The Cold Front
Approaches...south Winds Will Increase To Advisory Conditions
Again And Will Stay That Way Even After The Cold Front Passes.

&&

[ROLLTIDE]

Today: Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then occasional showers and possibly a thunderstorm after noon. High around 73. South wind 10 to 15 mph becoming north. Chance of precipitation is 100%.

Tonight: Rain likely and possibly a thunderstorm before midnight, then a slight chance of rain. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly cloudy, with a low around 49. Breezy, with a north wind between 15 and 20 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Sunday: Sunny, with a high around 64. North wind around 15 mph.

Sunday Night: Clear, with a low near 44. Northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph

[ROLLTIDE]

[eyendastorm]

Wow! What a mess. Looks like it's gonna put a lil damper on Mardi Gras in the Big Easy! That's so sad. If it's one thing those peeps needed, it was a nice time to try and bring some normality back to 'em. My heart goes out. Hopefully, Sunday, Lundi Gras and Mardi Gras will shape up to be better days!

Wouldn't that be crazy if all this stays to the North of me (HUM). Looks like it's not impossible. Gonna be watching close throughout the day. Ya'll have a good one and be safe. This things gonna be producing some lightening. Hopefully no tornados though.?.

[ROLLTIDE]

Today: Sunny, with a high around 63. North wind around 15 mph.

Tonight: Clear, with a low around 39. Northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Monday: Sunny, with a high near 66. East wind around 5 mph becoming south.

Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low near 54. South wind around 5 mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy, with a high around 73. South wind between 5 and 15 mph.

[ROLLTIDE]

Today: Sunny, with a high near 66. East wind around 5 mph becoming south.

Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 53. South wind around 5 mph.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy, with a high around 73. South wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low near 56. South wind between 5 and 10 mph.

[ladybug]

what about Thursday, do they have a chance for rain?

[ROLLTIDE]

what about Thursday, do they have a chance for rain?

no chance of rain for thursday.

[ROLLTIDE]

Area Forecast Discussion
000
FXUS64 KLIX 280909
AFDLIX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW ORLEANS LA
309 AM CST TUE FEB 28 2006

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK UPPER TROUGH OVER TX THIS MORNING WILL MOVE EAST AND ORIENT
ITSELF FROM FLA TO THE CENTRAL GULF. AS THE UPPER SHEAR ZONE MOVES
EAST...AN UPPER LOW WILL CUT OFF IN THE CENTRAL GULF AND WILL GET
CAUGHT BETWEEN TWO UPPER RIDGES TO THE SE AND WEST. THIS WILL
ALLOW A WAVE TRAIN OF TROPICAL MOISTURE TO BE FUNNELED NW TOWARD
THE GULF COAST. THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES SOUTH AND ENTERS THE
AREA FRIDAY BEFORE SLOWING. THIS IS WHERE MOST MODEL SOLUTIONS
DIVERGE. SOME STALL THE FRONT ALONG THE COAST WHILE OTHERS SEND IT
INTO THE GULF. THE UPPER LOW WILL WEAKEN AND OPEN INTO THE UPPER
MAIN FLOW WHICH SHOULD CAUSE THE COLD FRONT TO PUSH FARTHER SOUTH
AT LEAST INTO THE NORTHERN GULF. HOW FAR SOUTH IT GETS WILL DEPEND
ON WHEN AND WHERE THE NEXT COLD FRONT MOVES INTO THE PICTURE.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
MCB 73 52 80 57 / 0 0 0 0
BTR 75 54 81 59 / 0 0 0 0
MSY 75 57 82 61 / 0 0 0 0
GPT 71 52 77 60 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.LIX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
LA...NONE.
MS...NONE.
GM...NONE.

&&

[ROLLTIDE]

Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 78. South wind around 10 mph.

Tonight: Areas of fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 61. South wind around 5 mph becoming west.

Thursday: Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 77. West wind around 5 mph.

Thursday Night: Areas of fog after midnight. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low near 57. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

Friday: Areas of fog before 10am. Otherwise, mostly sunny, with a high near 74. Northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph.

Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.

Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 76.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.

Sunday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high around 78.

Sunday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low near 57.

Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 64.

Monday Night: Mostly clear and breezy, with a low around 43.

Tuesday: Sunny and breezy, with a high around 60.