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Thread: New Orleans Local Weather thread

  1. #41
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    day: Mostly sunny, with a high around 69. Breezy, with a north wind between 10 and 20 mph.

    Tonight: Clear, with a low around 49. Northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 69. East wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Wednesday Night: A 10 percent chance of showers after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 54. Southeast wind around 10 mph.

    Thursday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Cloudy, with a high near 73. South wind around 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Thursday Night: Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 58. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Friday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high around 70. Chance of precipitation is 10%.

    Friday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 55.

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high near 68.




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  3. #42
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    00
    Fxus64 Klix 142034
    Afdlix

    Area Forecast Discussion
    National Weather Service New Orleans La
    234 Pm Cst Tue Mar 14 2006

    .discussion...
    Quiet Conditions Will Continue To Prevail Through Wednesday As A
    Surface Ridge Shifts East Across The Lower Mississippi Valley Tonight
    And Into The Southeast Conus During The Day Wednesday. Moisture
    Will Begin To Increase Wednesday Night As Southerly Flow Develops
    On The Back Side Of The Low Level Ridge And In Advance Of An Upper
    Short Wave Trough...currently Moving Into The Pacific Northwest...
    That Will Traverse The Northern Conus Through The End Of The Work
    Week. This System Will Push A Cold Front South Across The Forecast
    Area Late Thursday Night And Friday With Scattered To Numerous
    Showers And A Few Thunderstorms Expected By Late Thursday Into
    Friday Morning Before The Front Slowly Pushes Into The North Gulf.
    This Boundary Will Return North As A Warm Front Over The Weekend As
    An Upper Low/trough Develops And Deepens Over The Western U.s. And
    Moves East Across The Rockies And Eventually Into The Plains And
    Mississippi Valley By The Beginning Of The Next Work Week. This
    Scenario Will Keep The Chance Of Rain In The Forecast During The
    Weekend...especially The Last Half...with An Even Better Chance Of
    Convection Expected Monday.

    &&

    .preliminary Point Temps/pops...
    Mcb 38 68 46 70 / 0 0 20 50
    Btr 40 70 50 71 / 0 0 20 50
    Msy 48 69 54 72 / 0 0 10 40
    Gpt 42 68 50 69 / 0 0 10 40

    &&

    .lix Watches/warnings/advisories...
    La...none.
    Ms...none.
    Gm...small Craft Advisory Until 6 Pm Cst Wednesday For Gmz570-gmz575.

    &&




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  4. #43
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    Area Forecast Discussion
    National Weather Service New Orleans La
    305 Am Cst Wed Mar 15 2006

    .discussion...cool And Tranquil Conditions Prevail Across The Area
    This Morning As High Pressure Expands Across The Region. The High
    Is Expected To Continue Moving Toward The Atlantic Seaboard Into
    Thu With Southerly Flow Developing. The Models Remain Consistent
    With Moving The Next Cold Front Through The Lower Mississippi
    Valley Thu Afternoon And Evening Although Qpf Amounts Indicated
    By The Gfs Are Not Quite As Aggressive As Previous Runs. Rain
    Chances Though Will Still Return To The Forecast With The Passage
    Of This Next Front Followed By A Brief Clearing Or Drying Trend.
    The Next Chance For Rain And Thunder Is Then Progged For Sat
    Afternoon Into The New Work Week As An Upper Low Moves Into The
    Western Conus With Embedded Disturbances Aloft Traversing Across
    The Region Ahead Of This Potent System. As The Upper Low Swings
    Through The Central States...an Associated Cold Front Looks To
    Sweep Through The Area Late Mon And Into Tue With Perhaps Some
    Cooler And Drier Air In Its Wake.
    &&

    .preliminary Point Temps/pops...
    Mcb 71 48 70 54 / 0 20 50 30
    Btr 72 51 71 57 / 0 20 50 40
    Msy 70 55 72 59 / 0 10 40 40
    Gpt 69 50 70 58 / 0 10 30 40
    &&

    .lix Watches/warnings/advisories...
    La...none.
    Gm...small Craft Advisory Until Noon Cst Today For Gmz570-gmz575.
    Ms...none.
    Gm...small Craft Advisory Until Noon Cst Today For Gmz570-gmz575.
    &&




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  5. #44
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    Today: A chance of showers, with thunderstorms also possible after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 70. South wind around 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Tonight: A chance of showers and thunderstorms before midnight, then a slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 55. South wind 5 to 10 mph becoming northwest. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

    Friday: Partly cloudy, with a high around 73. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Friday Night: Increasing clouds, with a low near 45. Northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers, then a chance of showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 62. East wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Saturday Night: A 30 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 49.




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  6. #45
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    Today: A 10 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms before noon. Patchy fog before 9am. Otherwise, partly cloudy, with a high near 75. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. Northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Saturday: A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 68. East wind around 10 mph.

    Saturday Night: A 40 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 58. East wind around 10 mph.

    Sunday: A 50 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 75. Southeast wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Sunday Night: A 50 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.

    Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Monday Night: A slight chance of showers before midnight. Partly cloudy and breezy, with a low around 52.




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  7. #46
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    Area Forecast Discussion
    National Weather Service New Orleans La
    323 Am Cst Sat Mar 18 2006

    .discussion...
    The Main Forecast Concern For This Package Centers Around Rain
    Chances Through Monday. Upper Ridge Will Shift East Across The
    Lower Mississippi Valley And The Central Gulf Coast Region Over
    The Weekend While An Upper Trough Deepens Over The Western Conus.
    The Nearly Stationary Frontal Boundary Draped South Of The Coast
    Today Will Begin To Move North As A Warm Front Tonight And Shift
    North Across The Forecast Area During The Day Sunday As Southwest
    Flow Aloft Prevails Across The Region In Advance Of The Western
    Upper Trough. Initially The Atmosphere Is Quite Dry...but It
    Begins To Moisten Up Later Today And Tonight As Southwest Flow
    Aloft Becomes Established And Increases. The Entire Forecast Area
    Is Expected To Get Into The Warm Sector Sunday. As The Warm Front
    Shifts North...rain Chances Will Be On The Increase...especially
    Across Western Sections Of The Forecast Area Tonight. A Lead Short
    Wave Will Bring Likely Pops To The Northern And Western Forecast
    Zones And Points North And West Sunday With A Good Chance Farther
    East And South. Models Move The Upper Low/trough Out Of The
    Western Conus And Into The Southern And Central Plains Monday
    With The System Taking On A Negative Tilt. There Are Some
    Differences With The Forecast Location Of This System Monday In The
    Plains With The Nam A Little Farther South Than The Gfs And Ecmwf.
    The Forecast Strong Dynamics...favorable Upper Jet Position...and
    The Degree Of Instability And Shear In The Forecast Soundings
    Suggest The Threat Of Severe Weather Monday. The Cold Front Associated
    With This System Is Expected To Move Across The Region Late Monday
    And Monday Night. Dry And Cooler Weather Is Expected For Most Of
    The Middle And End Of The Week With Perhaps A Small Chance For
    Rain Mainly Across Coastal Areas Late Wednesday Night And Thursday
    As A Short Wave Move Across The Northern Gulf. A Reinforcement Of
    Cooler Air Is Expected For The End Of The Week With Northwest Flow
    Aloft Prevailing.


    &&




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  8. #47
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    Today: A 20 percent chance of showers before noon. Cloudy, with a high near 73. East wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. South wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Monday: Showers and thunderstorms likely, mainly after noon. Some of the storms could be severe. Cloudy, with a high near 78. South wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

    Monday Night: Scattered showers, mainly before midnight. Cloudy during the early evening, then gradual clearing, with a low near 59. Southwest wind around 15 mph becoming northwest. Chance of precipitation is 50%.

    Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 70. Northwest wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Tuesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high around 64.

    Wednesday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.

    Thursday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 68.

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low near 44.

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 69.

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 45.

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high around 67.




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  9. #48
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    Discussion...
    Focus Will Be Mainly On Strong To Severe Weather Today. Main Jet
    Level Div And 700mb Lift Will Be Coupled Over North Louisiana
    Through Central And Northern Mississippi Before Spreading Into Ala
    Later Today. Dynamic Forcing Will Not Be As Great This Far South
    But That Is Not To Take Away From Severe Possibility. Vad Winds
    Are Running Around 35 To 40 Kt At 1000ft And Sfc Winds 12 To 15
    Kt. As Sfc Winds Increase During The Day...helicity Values Will
    Drop Since The Current Values Are Indicative Of The Spead Shear
    And Not Veering. Therefore Tornadic Possibility With Ts Will Be
    Considerably Decreased While Strong Wind Gusts And Hail Threat
    Will Be Viable. The Two Main Features For Main Threat Area Will Be
    First...location Of The Warm Front And Second...buoyant Forcing
    Due To Heating.

    Warm Front Is Currently Located From Just North Of Btr To North Of
    Mobile And Exiting Into The Gulf Near Pensacola. This Warm Front
    Is Expected To Coninue Northward As The Sfc Low In Tx Gets Closer.
    Hopefully This Will Be The Case. If Not...things Will Change
    Significantly Since Storms That Develop Along The Boundary And
    Move Parallel Will Feed From The Lifting Moisture Supply And
    Strongly Veering Winds. Tornadic Develop Would Be Significantly
    Enhanced As Well. Spc Is Also Expecting The Boundary To Be North
    Of Our Cwa As Well And It Is Also Where They Have Drawn The
    Moderate Risk Area...for Good Reason.

    If Persistance Is King Then We Should See Clouds Along With Strong
    Gradient Winds Keeping The Sfc Column Mixed And Ventilated Causing
    Temps To Stay Below 80. Trigger Temps Are Going To Be Around 80
    Today So If Clouds Do Break And Temps Are Allowed To Move Into The
    80s...thermal Properties Will Cause Concern For Severe Ts. Spc Has
    Taken This Into Consideration And Issued A Slight Risk For Severe
    Ts Over The Entire Area.

    This Will Be The Spoil Area For The Severe Ts That Develop To The
    North Of Us. Most Of The Subsidence That Is Created By The Lift To
    The North Will Be Sent This Way Causing The Southern End Of The
    Line Of Storms To Weaken A Bit As They Move Through. Some Guidance
    Is Handling This Strong And Some Very Weak. For This Reason We
    Will Stay With Current Numbers Across The Board.

    &&

    .preliminary Point Temps/pops...
    Mcb 75 51 66 36 / 80 30 0 0
    Btr 79 52 70 38 / 70 30 0 0
    Msy 79 59 73 48 / 60 50 0 0
    Gpt 76 60 74 41 / 60 70 0 0

    &&




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  10. #49
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    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 73. Northwest wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 49. Breezy, with a north wind between 10 and 20 mph.

    Wednesday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 63. Northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Wednesday Night: Scattered rain, mainly after midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 47. Northeast wind between 10 and 15 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Thursday: A 20 percent chance of rain. Partly cloudy, with a high around 63. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Thursday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 43.

    Friday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 60.

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high around 66.

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low near 48.

    Sunday: Sunny, with a high around 69.

    Sunday Night: Clear, with a low around 51.

    Monday: Sunny, with a high around 72.




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  11. #50
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    000
    Fxus64 Klix 220938
    Afdlix

    Area Forecast Discussion
    National Weather Service New Orleans La
    338 Am Cst Wed Mar 22 2006

    .discussion...
    Secondary Surge Of Cool Air Making Its Way Into The Gulf This
    Morning. This Along With Some Cloud Cover Should Help Keep Temps
    About 8 Degrees Cooler Than Yesterday. The Question Today Will Be
    How Much Cloudiness? Low Clouds Jus Tnorth Of The Area Are
    Sucumbing To A Dry Subsident Air Mass Over Us. We Should See Some
    Of These Clouds From Time To Time But The Day Should Be Mainly
    Cloud Free...especially South Of The Lake. Later Today Will See
    Mid Level(10k`) Clouds Begin To Move Into The Area. This Will Cap
    Any Further Cooling Via Radiation. But Caa Will Continue On
    Northerly Winds And Temps Will Fall Into The Low To Mid 40s With
    Temps Around 50 In The New Orleans Area Due To 65 Degree Water
    Temps Modifying Areas Just South Of Lake Pontchartrain.

    Low In The Gulf Develops And Moves Ene Slowing As It Nears Fla. A
    Strong High Moves Se Out Of Nw Texas A Little Faster Than The Sfc
    Low Can Move East Causing The Pres Gradient To Compress. This Will
    Simply Cause The N-ne Winds To Strengthen Starting Thu Evening.




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  12. #51
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    Today: A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly before noon. Cloudy, then gradually becoming partly sunny, with a high near 60. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, then gradually becoming clear, with a low around 45. North wind around 15 mph.

    Friday: Sunny, with a high near 62. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Friday Night: Mostly clear, with a low near 43. North wind around 10 mph.

    Saturday: Sunny, with a high near 64. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 44.

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 68.

    Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 51.

    Monday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 71.

    Monday Night: A slight chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 58.

    Tuesday: A chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 74.

    Tuesday Night: A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 57.

    Wednesday: Sunny, with a high near 74




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    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 61. North wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Tonight: Clear, with a low around 41. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Saturday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. North wind around 5 mph.

    Saturday Night: Mostly clear, with a low near 42. North wind around 10 mph.

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 65. Northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 47.

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.

    Monday Night: Mostly clear, with a low around 57.

    Tuesday: Scattered showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 76.

    Tuesday Night: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 59.

    Wednesday: Scattered showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 77.

    Wednesday Night: A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 65.

    Thursday: A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a high near 77.




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  14. #53
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    Today: Mostly sunny, with a high near 65. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Tonight: Mostly clear, with a low around 45. North wind between 5 and 15 mph.

    Sunday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 66. East wind between 5 and 15 mph.

    Sunday Night: Mostly clear, with a low near 51. East wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Monday: Mostly sunny, with a high near 72. Southeast wind between 10 and 15 mph.




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    Today: Partly cloudy, with a high around 72. East wind between 5 and 15 mph.

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 56. South wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Tuesday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 75. South wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Tuesday Night: Isolated showers and thunderstorms before midnight. Mostly cloudy, with a low near 58. Southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Wednesday: Scattered showers and thunderstorms after noon. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 75. Southeast wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 30%.

    Wednesday Night: Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 61. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Thursday: A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a high around 78.

    Thursday Night: A slight chance of showers. Partly cloudy, with a low around 62.

    Friday: A chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high near 82.

    Friday Night: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a low near 62.

    Saturday: A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high near 81.

    Saturday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low around 63.

    Sunday: Partly cloudy, with a high near 81.




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  16. #55
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    Area Forecast Discussion
    National Weather Service New Orleans La
    210 Am Cst Wed Mar 29 2006

    .discussion...
    A Continued Hit And Miss Scenario Will Be Seen For The Next Few
    Days. Enough Moisture Will Exist For Pop Chances To Stay In The
    30% Range Or Better But To Get Better Chances We Need To Lift
    This Moisture. The Largest Forcing Parameter Will Be From Buoyancy Due
    To Heating. There Are A Few Perturbed Areas In The Main Mid Level
    Flow To Help Initiate A Few Other Sh/ts But With The Absence Of
    Any Moderate Or Strong Dynamics Rain Chances Will Ramain Low(30%).

    Next Cold Front Will Make Its Way Slowly Eastward Before Stalling
    Over Northern La/miss. An Area Of Sh/ts Will Move South Away From
    The Front As It Stalls. With No Support...the Area Of Sh/ts Will
    Decay. Then We Should See A Diurnal Swing Of Sh/ts Devlopment
    Mainly Along The Stalled Frontal Axis Over Northern La/miss.

    &&




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  17. #56
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    Fxus64 Klix 310824
    Afdlix

    Area Forecast Discussion
    National Weather Service New Orleans La
    224 Am Cst Fri Mar 31 2006

    .discussion...
    In The Upper Levels...the Trough To The North And A High To The
    South Is Creating A Linear Directional Shear Profile Causing A
    Divergent Upper Level Regime. This Area Is Beginning To Move East
    Of The Once Associated Sfc Cold Front. The Cold Front Is Located
    From Sw Oklahoma To Eastern Missouri And Back Up Into A Sfc Low
    Just West Of Chanhassen Minnesota. The Upper Level Shear Axis Is
    Now Located From Ne Tx Into Illinois. When These Two Areas
    Were Coupled...an Explosion Of Sh/ts Developed Yesterday Evening.
    As These Two Areas Part...the Sfc Connection Will Be Lost Until
    Heating Commences. This Is Where The Gfs Cranks Up The Qpf And
    Pops. With Heating Today...we Should Reach Convective Temps Which
    Are Around 80. If And When Cloud Cover Is Developed And Persists
    Over The Area...the Heating Will Be Hindered Causing Sh/ts To
    Decrease In Coverage Later This Afternoon.

    Sh/ts That Develop Will Move North Quickly. Subsidence Is Created
    Behind The Upper Shear Zone Causing The Upper To Mid Levels To
    Warm And Dry Late Tonight Into Saturday. This Should All But Cut Off
    Any Chance Of Rain. Will Suffice To Leave Isolated For Sat Since
    Moisture Will Still Be Up To 700mb And That Is Being Generous.

    When Will All The Muggy Weather Leave? Its Not Going To Be In A
    Hurry To Do So. A Very Temporary Ne Breeze Will Fall Across The
    Area Tue Night Before South Winds Once Again Take Over Later That
    Day. But The Muggies Will Continue. The Only Relief Looks To Be
    Outside This Forecast Pack...next Weekend.




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    Fxus64 Klix 010850
    Afdlix

    Area Forecast Discussion
    National Weather Service New Orleans La
    250 Am Cst Sat Apr 1 2006

    .discussion...

    Early This Morning There Was A Surface Low Over Eastern Ontario
    With A Cold Front Stretching Through The Ohio Valley Into North
    Texas. Aloft The Associated Low Was Over Northern Michigan With
    Ridging Across The Central States. This Ridge Will Slide Eastward
    Across Our Pcwa This Weekend...with The Resulting Subsidence
    Limiting Any Precip Potential. The Main Weather Issue Will Be
    Areas Of Fog Saturday And Sunday Morning...with The Denser Fog
    Generally Over Mississippi And The North Shore Of Lake
    Pontchartrain Through The Baton Rouge Area.

    Both The Gfs And Nam Are Showing The Next Surface Low Moving Into
    Southeastern Ontario Monday Afternoon/evening And Dragging The
    Front Into Southern Louisiana/mississippi. However The Models Now
    Show The Front Moving Through Our Coastal Waters Monday Night/
    Tuesday Morning...unlike Some Previous Runs...with The Gfs A
    Little Slower And Wetter. This Will Lead To A Better Chance For
    Convection On Monday And A Clearing Trend For The Middle Of Next
    Week. Temps Also Will Fall From Above To Near Average.




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  19. #58
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    Today: Partly cloudy, with a high around 84. South wind between 10 and 15 mph.

    Tonight: Partly cloudy, with a low around 67. South wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Monday: Isolated showers and thunderstorms. Partly cloudy, with a high near 85. West wind between 5 and 10 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.

    Monday Night: Partly cloudy, with a low near 60. North wind between 5 and 10 mph.

    Tuesday: Mostly sunny, with a high around 75. Northeast wind between 5 and 10 mph




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  20. #59
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    National Weather Service New Orleans La
    345 Am Cdt Mon Apr 3 2006

    .discussion...
    Seeing Convection Developing Rapidly In Northeast Louisiana This
    Morning Which Should Remain North Of Our Cwa Today. Lower Extent
    Of Active Frontal Boundary Appears To Elongate In Time And Will
    Struggle To Move Through The Forecast Area Throughout The Day. 00z
    Sounding Shows A Considerable Amount Of Stable Air In The Lower
    Levels With Very Unstable Lapse Rates Aloft. Given The Dry Pattern
    The Area Has Been Experiencing And Uncertainties For The
    Instability To Overcome The Sizeable Cap Will Only Maintain A 10
    Percent Chance Of Verifiable Rainfall Today. Also Monitoring The
    Intensity Of The Klix Wsr-88d Ground Clutter And Radio
    Interference Patterns Tonight Suggesting The Stable Layer Is
    Pretty Strong And Holding To Provide Strong Ducting. We Are
    Picking Up Jackson Ms Fm Stations Clearer Than The Scratchy Local
    New Orleans Stations Due To This Phenomenon.

    Beyond Today...cold Front Does Move Off The Coast By Tonight And
    Early Tuesday With Surface High Pressure Building From The North
    And A Northwest Flow Pattern Developing Aloft Around A Building
    Ridge Over North Mexico And Texas. It Appears The Most Active
    Weather Throughout The Week Is Going To Repeat Over The Areas That
    Were Hard Hit On Sunday In The Middle Mississippi And Ohio
    Valleys. A Similar Frontal Passage Is Likely On Friday Night Or
    Saturday.




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  21. #60
    Join Date
    Apr 2004
    Location
    Ft Morgan, AL
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    .discussion...
    Cold Front Is Slowly Moving Across The Coastal Plains This Morning
    With Considerably Lower Dewpoints Advecting Into The Region. No
    Real Push Of Cold Air...but Temperatures Seem To Be Falling In
    Response To Lowering Dewpoints. Continental Trajectory On The
    Winds In Drier Air Should Mean Large Diurnal Range For Today. Went
    On The Warmer Side Of Guidance For Today And Middle Guidance For
    Lows Tonight. Upper Level Ridging Should Maintain A Dry Forecast
    Through Friday. Another Low Pressure System Similar To This Past
    Weekend`s Episode Moves Across The Middle Part Of The Nation
    Friday And Saturday With The Associated Front Moving Through Our
    Forecast Area Friday Evening Or Night. No Real Good Chances At
    Needed Rainfall Through The Next Seven Days. Will Be Doing A
    Comparative Evaluation Of Current Drought Trends As Compared To
    2000 Drought Across Our Area And Will Likely Issue A Special
    Weather Statement Later This Morning Regarding The Matter If
    Findings Are Significant.

    &&

    .marine...drier Air Destabilizing The Near Water Layer To Cause
    Some Gustiness Today. Will Carry `small Craft Exercise Caution`
    For This Morning On The Tidal Lakes And Near Coastal Waters Until
    The Temperatures Warm Above Water Temperature Later This Morning.

    &&

    .fire Weather...low Relative Humidity Values Should Bottom Out
    Around 30 Percent But Will Have To Be Monitored Closely As Lower
    Dewpoints May Drain Into The Region From The Appalachians Later
    Today.




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