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we got it, kixette - 105+ yesterday and today for Baltimore and DCOriginally Posted by kixette
Surfside report - WOW - July 7th and only 80 degrees!!! AND - as Jess said on the 29th - "Its goin' to rain" - we are getting bands of showers and the ground is saturated. No Burn Ban for Brazoria County this year...
we got it, kixette - 105+ yesterday and today for Baltimore and DC
Local mets are calling for a dry week. The only rain forecast is for a stray thunderstorm that happens to bust through the cap and give an isolated area a brief shower.
Personally, it looks like the ingrediants for thunderstorm clusters are in place. If this pans out, cells will form north and northeast of Southeast Texas, which will migrate south over the late evening and nightime hours. I've seen these clusters have considerable development, with the worst when I was offshore. As the roll cloud cleared the coast, I counted five waterspouts.
Winds are a steady 8 mph out of the South this morning. Mets are still calling for little chance of rain, which sounds right this morning.
Office barometer is showing 29.82 and falling, which usually means a tendency towards rain.
Time will tell.
Another hot day on tap, although it looks like tomorrow will be hotter. The weather wizards are calling for mid to upper 90's, with heat indices in the 105 range. The rain chances are at zero, so a cooling thunderstorm is unlikely.
The main thing is what rain we've had has evaporated and the ground is starting to crack. The extended forecasts are calling for rain chances at around 20% through early next week, which will help isolated areas. Overall, we're still behind with total rainfall in most places. An extended mid to late summer dry spell won't be good.
The weather is changing. Not rapidly, but it is.
For the last few days, winds have been out of the south, to southwest at around 10 mph. Today, the winds have a tendency to be variable. While there were no clouds the last few days, there are cumulus clouds today, with some vertical development.
The next few days are calling for a slight risk of showers, which will probably be hit and miss thunderstorms where the heat breaks the cap enough for them to develop.
If the cap erodes, or moves to the west, the rain chances will improve. If not, the heat and lower humidities will allow more of the rapid drying and place us back in red flag warnings and drought.
Had a severe thunderstorm last night - got to sit on the front porch and watch it as it happened. It was amazing to watch the ligthnign streak across the sky and the continoius rolling thunder with blowing rain. After about 30 mins the rain chased me inside - it was blowing on my screened in porch.
just want to share.
WOW!!!!!!
There were some heavy, to severe storms around the Port Arthur, Beaumont, Orange area. Lots of cloud to ground lightening and torrential rain. The radar showed little movement, which described being under one of the storms.
Interesting thing was this morning. Normally, when there are heavy thunderstorms in the evening, the next morning is cooler. Not so this morning. It was around 80 at 5:00 am and the humidity was 100%. I'll say there will be numerous thunderstorms this evening.
Suppose to be a high percentage chance of rain until Wednesday - then its suppose to get hot and dry! Time will tell.
WOW!!!!!!
The heavy showers have already cranked up. Numerous showers are in the area, but they are brief and are slow moving.
You can cut the air with a knife. Locally, it's 90 degrees with 72% humidity.
More heat today, but there's a better chance of an afternoon shower.
I don't know if we'll get the pop up showers, or an organized band from the northeast. If it's the latter, there could be some severe weather over large areas later in the day. I've seen where the don't arrive near the coast until sunset, which usually ends in a specatacular light show.
Watching KHOU weather, storms could be coming in from the east on the south side of the high which has been heating us up. 30% chance for this afternoon in Houston.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
501 AM CDT WED AUG 18 2010
.DISCUSSION...
THE WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALOFT WILL CONTINUE OVER SE
TX THROUGH THURSDAY. WITH THE DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE JUST EAST OF
THE FORECAST AREA...AM EXPECTING ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAIN
ACTIVITY TODAY AS OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES TREK WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD FROM
LA. THE MODELS AGREE WITH THURSDAY HAVING THE BEST RAIN CHANCES AS
THE WEAK UPPER TROUGH DRIFTS INTO THE UPPER TEXAS COASTAL PLAIN.
BEGINNING ON FRIDAY THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE BECOMES REESTABLISHED
OVER THE AREA WITH A RETURN TO THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS
CERTAIN.
THE MAIN ITEM OF CONCERN CONTINUES TO BE THE HEAT FOR TODAY. THE
BEST RAIN CHANCES WILL BE OVER THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST
AREA WHICH MAY BRING SOME RELIEF MAINLY DURING THE MID AND LATE
AFTERNOON. HOWEVER...MOST LOCATIONS SHOULD EXPERIENCE A HEAT INDEX
BETWEEN 105 AND 110. ANOTHER ITEM TO CONSIDER FOR TODAY IS THE
CHANCE FOR A STRONG THUNDERSTORM. THE FORECAST MODEL SOUNDINGS
INDICATE AN INVERTED V PROFILE WITH THE MOIST LAYER UP AROUND 800
MB. WILL ADDRESS THIS POSSIBILITY ON THE HAZARDOUS WEATHER
OUTLOOK.
FOR THURSDAY...THE BEST CHANCES OF RAIN WILL BE BASICALLY OVER THE
SOUTHERN THIRD OF THE FORECAST AREA BUT MOST LOCATIONS MAY SEE AT
LEAST SCATTERED RAIN ACTIVITY. THE TEMPERATURES SHOULD BE HELD IN
CHECK ENOUGH BY THE CLOUD COVER AND STORM COVERAGE TO NOT EXTEND
THE HEAT ADVISORY INTO THURSDAY.
THE RAIN CHANCES DIMINISH ON FRIDAY WITH ONLY ISOLATED SEABREEZE
ACTIVITY POSSIBLE OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO NEXT WEEK. EARLY NEXT
WEEK THE CENTER OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE RETREATS WESTWARD AS AN
UPPER TROUGH DEVELOPS OVER THE EASTERN SEABOARD. IF THIS OCCURS...
THE MOISTURE OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES MAY BE REDIRECTED BACK
TOWARD SE TX. THIS MAY BRING A BIT OF RELIEF POSSIBLY BY TUESDAY.
While it's still hot, I've seen these late August rain spells change the weather dramatically. With the reduction in daytime heating, cooler water, and the shorter days, the heat can dissipate rapidly and allow early cold fronts.NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
523 AM CDT THU AUG 19 2010
.DISCUSSION...
THE PATTERN ALOFT CONSISTED OF A WEAKNESS IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE
JUST OFFSHORE OF THE UPPER TEXAS. DEEP LAYER MOISTURE WAS PRESENT
WITH THIS WEAK UPPER TROUGH WHICH WILL AFFECT SE TX TODAY AND
POSSIBLY LINGER INTO FRIDAY. THE MODELS ARE BUILDING THE RIDGE
BACK OVERHEAD THE FORECAST AREA THIS WEEKEND. THERE IS A CHANGE IN
THE PATTERN FORECASTED BY BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF EARLY NEXT WEEK.
THIS INDICATES THAT THERE WILL BE A CHANCE FOR SLIGHTLY COOLER
DAYTIME TEMPERATURES AND A CHANCE FOR RAIN.
RAIN ACTIVITY ASSOCIATED WITH AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY WAS OCCURRING
ALREADY OFFSHORE OF THE COAST EARLY THIS MORNING. THIS BOUNDARY
COMBINED WITH THE SEABREEZE AND THE WEAKNESS ALOFT WILL HELP
DEVELOP SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS TODAY. BETTER RAINFALL COVERAGE IS
POSSIBLE AS THE MODEL SOUNDINGS SUGGEST THAT THE PW WILL INCREASE
TO AT LEAST 2.4 INCHES. THIS IS ABOUT 2 STANDARD DEVIATIONS ABOVE
NORMAL FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR. THE WEAKNESS ALOFT MOVES FURTHER
WESTWARD ON FRIDAY AND RAIN CHANCES SHOULD DIMINISH AS A RESULT.
OVER THE WEEKEND THE HOT AND HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO
RETURN AS THE RIDGE BUILDS OVERHEAD.
KEPT THE HEAT ADVISORY IN PLACE TODAY. THE CRITERIA TO LOWER THE
ADVISORY IS FOR THE INDEX TO GO BELOW 105. MOST AREAS WILL LIKELY
SEE BETWEEN 100 AND 104 WITH ENOUGH LOCATIONS EXPERIENCING 105 TO
KEEP THE ADVISORY IN PLACE. HOWEVER...RELIEF FROM THE HEAT IS
POSSIBLE IF THE CLOUD COVER AND RAINFALL COVERAGE INCREASES TO
MORE THAN EXPECTED. THIS SCENARIO IS MORE LIKELY OVER THE SOUTHERN
HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.
THE GFS AND ECMWF FORECAST THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO RECEDE EARLY
IN THE UPCOMING WEEK BUT BOTH ARE GIVING DIFFERENT SOLUTIONS. AS
IT STANDS NOW...AN UPPER TROUGH LOOKS TO DIG INTO THE MID ATLANTIC
STATES AND HELP MOVE THE RIDGE WESTWARD OF SE TX BY THE END OF THE
WEEKEND. THE GFS BRINGS AN INVERTED TROUGH WESTWARD INTO THE
NORTHWESTERN GULF BY WEDNESDAY WHILE THE ECMWF DIFFERS BY BRINGING
THE WEAKNESS ALOFT OVER SE TX BY MONDAY. FELT CONFIDENT ENOUGH TO
INTRODUCE ISOLATED POPS ON MONDAY AND SLIGHTLY LOWER TEMPERATURES
ON TUESDAY.
If this happens, the upper Gulf Coast becomes less threatened by tropical activity. Early fronts block the systems and they end up on the East coast or as fish.
The local weather for the last few days has been early Fall weather. Low humidities, temperatures in the low 70's in the morning and high temperatures in the low to mid 90 deg. range. Winds have been from the North to Northeast.
The years of Rita and Ike did not have this type of weather until early October.
Surfside water is amazing (is this weather related?) - its hot of course, so the water is warm, but it is a deep blue, and when i went swimming last night i was in to my chest and could see my feet. No jellyfish, a little seaweed, and CLEAR, BLUE WATER! Blue skies, and like jess said, temps in the 70's in the morning, and 90's in the afternoon.
Southeast Texas is holding on to summer. Local weather forecasts call for lows in the mid 70's and high in the lower 90's for the next week, or so.
Local rainfall has been a crapshoot. Some areas have received a few inches, while others haven't had any, or only a trace.
cold front is HERE! rainy and wet on the coast...
no one posted on this thread since i last logged on 11/13... chilly evening in surfside. we had a brief burn ban, (last two weeks of december) but its lifted now, and we have been getting a little rain here and there. waiting to see if it will rain a little or a lot tonight or tomorrow, but the weather supposed to get back to whatever "normal" is next week, 60's in the day, 40's at night...
OH MY GOSH! It is so cold here! we are going into our plant shutdown and the weather has been so great, of course the day we have to start working 7-12's, it goes down to.... 35 degrees... "feels like" 27 degrees. i have on long johns, my uniform, the liner to my jacket, a beanie, and the space heater blowing steady on my feet. the idea of going outside makes me want to cry, but i'm afraid my tears would freeze on my face!
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