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TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued
07-25-2010, 11:05 AM
Post: #1119
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued
...

Quote: Mesoscale Discussion 1461 < Previous MD [Image: mcd1461.gif]
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1461
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CDT SUN JUL 25 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MS...SWRN AL AND FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 251550Z - 251645Z

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL RATES WITH ANY TSTM ACTIVITY
CONTINUING INTO THE AFTERNOON OVER SERN INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL MS AND
SWRN AL/FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE GIVEN HIGH PW VALUES /2.3-2.6 IN/...A
BRIEF TORNADO THREAT CANNOT BE RULED OUT. GIVEN THAT THIS LATTER
THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOW...A TORNADO WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED...THOUGH
LOW SEVERE WIND AND TORNADO PROBABILITIES WILL REMAIN IN THE DAY 1
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.

AT 1515Z...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATED THE REMNANT CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED IN THE VICINITY
OF THE LA/MS BORDER...OR APPROXIMATELY 20 N ASD /SLIDELL LA/.
REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED A FEW BANDS OF NNW-SSE ORIENTED
CONVECTION/TSTMS ALONG THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THIS SYSTEM FROM SERN MS
INTO SWRN AL/WRN FL PANHANDLE. STRONG SURFACE HEATING WITHIN RICH
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /SURFACE DEWPOINTS INTO THE UPPER 70S/ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE 1500-2500 J PER KG/ THUS
FAR. THIS COMBINED WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 25-30 KT SUGGESTS
ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT BECOME TOO ORGANIZED.

STORM RELATIVE VELOCITY DATA PER REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED WEAK
ROTATIONAL COUPLETS ATTENDANT TO EMBEDDED TSTMS IN THE BANDS OVER
SERN MS AND SWRN AL. OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATED WEAK LOW LEVEL
SHEAR /SURFACE-1 KM AROUND 10 KT/ WHICH WOULD SUGGEST ANY TORNADO
POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN LOW.

..PETERS.. 07/25/2010


ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON 30048931 30808976 31319020 31898975 31688863 31608772
30948738 30178721 30048931

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Messages In This Thread
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-18-2010, 05:22 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-18-2010, 10:02 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-18-2010, 06:32 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-18-2010, 06:38 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-18-2010, 06:57 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-19-2010, 05:32 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-19-2010, 05:46 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-20-2010, 05:32 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Alex - 07-20-2010, 12:03 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-20-2010, 12:34 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-20-2010, 12:50 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-21-2010, 07:40 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-21-2010, 08:25 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Jomma - 07-21-2010, 09:47 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-21-2010, 09:57 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-21-2010, 10:22 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-21-2010, 12:31 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-21-2010, 02:18 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-21-2010, 02:58 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-22-2010, 05:21 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-22-2010, 05:25 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-22-2010, 05:35 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Alex - 07-22-2010, 08:03 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Jomma - 07-22-2010, 09:09 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - cat - 07-22-2010, 09:45 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-22-2010, 10:06 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - wasup - 07-22-2010, 10:24 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-22-2010, 11:06 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-22-2010, 11:07 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-22-2010, 11:25 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-22-2010, 01:36 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-22-2010, 02:16 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-22-2010, 03:15 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Jomma - 07-22-2010, 03:22 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - kevco - 07-22-2010, 06:11 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-22-2010, 10:30 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Ak8s - 07-23-2010, 12:13 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-23-2010, 01:11 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-23-2010, 04:57 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-23-2010, 05:06 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-23-2010, 06:03 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-23-2010, 06:30 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-23-2010, 06:52 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 07:30 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Jomma - 07-23-2010, 08:31 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 08:39 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 09:37 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 10:28 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 10:49 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 11:22 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-23-2010, 12:45 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-23-2010, 12:51 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 12:58 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 01:20 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 01:22 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Alex - 07-23-2010, 01:55 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-23-2010, 03:00 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-23-2010, 03:06 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-23-2010, 03:35 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 03:41 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 04:27 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Alex - 07-23-2010, 04:37 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-23-2010, 05:20 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - jess - 07-23-2010, 05:29 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-23-2010, 09:51 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Alex - 07-23-2010, 11:45 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-24-2010, 06:38 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-24-2010, 07:12 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-24-2010, 12:46 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-24-2010, 05:36 PM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-25-2010, 05:24 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - dkmac - 07-25-2010, 05:28 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - Alex - 07-25-2010, 09:13 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - JHat - 07-25-2010, 09:59 AM
TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued - ROLLTIDE - 07-25-2010 11:05 AM

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