Post Reply 
Dean Main thread
08-12-2007, 09:23 AM
Post: #41
Dean Main thread
Here are the latest OFFICIAL model runs as of 12/12Z by the NHC
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-12-2007, 09:37 AM
Post: #42
Dean Main thread
[Image: qscat07081213_90as.png]

Twitter updates we will follow you back
http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather
Now on Facebook We will like you back
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall


Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-12-2007, 09:55 AM
Post: #43
Dean Main thread
it will be like 4-5 days before it reaches any where close to places like Georgetown and Port of Spain.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-12-2007, 10:04 AM (This post was last modified: 08-12-2007 10:06 AM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #44
Dean Main thread
Twoat
Tropical Weather Outlook
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
1130 Am Edt Sun Aug 12 2007

For The North Atlantic...caribbean Sea And The Gulf Of Mexico...

A Large Area Of Disorganized Shower And Thunderstorm Activity
Extends From The Northwestern Caribbean Sea Into The Southwestern
Atlantic Near The Central Bahamas. This Activity Is Associated
With A Tropical Wave Interacting With An Upper-level Low.
Development Of This System...if Any...is Expected To Be Slow To
Occur At It Moves Northwestward Toward The Southern Gulf Of Mexico
At About 10 Mph.

A Low Pressure Area...associated With A Tropical Wave...has Formed
Over The Far Eastern Atlantic Ocean About 175 Miles South Of The
Southernmost Cape Verde Islands. This System Has Become Better
Organized Since Yesterday...and A Tropical Depression Could Form
Later Today Or Tomorrow As The Low Moves Westward At About 20 Mph.

Elsewhere...tropical Cyclone Formation Is Not Expected During The
Next 48 Hours.

$$
Forecaster Blake


navy formation alert

[Image: smal902007.20070812125141.gif]

Twitter updates we will follow you back
http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather
Now on Facebook We will like you back
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall


Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-12-2007, 10:09 AM
Post: #45
Dean Main thread
If I'm looking at this correctly he latest run here has it http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/...loop.shtml
either bouncing off the SE High or something...and hitting Mexico.

Too bad, it's too early to even look at that.

And yes, I am a bit weather retarded...so if I make mistake don't laugh. Smile
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-12-2007, 10:40 AM
Post: #46
Dean Main thread
Looking pretty good this morning


[Image: latest_lc.jpg]

Twitter updates we will follow you back
http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather
Now on Facebook We will like you back
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall


Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-12-2007, 12:29 PM
Post: #47
Dean Main thread
[Image: storm_90.gif]

[Image: hurr_small.gif]
www.MyFloridaHurricane.Info
Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-12-2007, 12:56 PM
Post: #48
Dean Main thread
Should be a depression pretty soon.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-12-2007, 01:04 PM
Post: #49
Dean Main thread
947
AXNT20 KNHC 121742
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT SUN AUG 12 2007

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION FOR NORTH AMERICA...CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE GULF OF MEXICO...THE CARIBBEAN SEA...NORTHERN
SECTIONS OF SOUTH AMERICA...AND THE ATLANTIC OCEAN TO THE
AFRICAN COAST FROM THE EQUATOR TO 32N. THE FOLLOWING INFORMATION
IS BASED ON SATELLITE IMAGERY...METEOROLOGICAL ANALYSIS...
WEATHER OBSERVATIONS...AND RADAR.

BASED ON 1200 UTC SURFACE ANALYSIS AND SATELLITE IMAGERY THROUGH
1715 UTC.

...SPECIAL FEATURE...

A 1008 MB LOW...ASSOCIATED WITH A VIGOROUS TROPICAL WAVE...IS
LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN ATLANTIC OCEAN ABOUT 150 NM SOUTH
OF THE SOUTHERNMOST CAPE VERDE ISLANDS NEAR 12.5N25W. VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWS THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION PARTIALLY EXPOSED TO THE
E OF A CONVECTIVE MASS FROM 10N-14N BETWEEN 25W-30W.
OVERALL...THIS SYSTEM HAS IMPROVED IN ORGANIZATION OVER THE PAST
24 HOURS AND A TROPICAL DEPRESSION COULD FORM LATER TODAY OR
TOMORROW AS THE LOW MOVES WESTWARD AT 15-20 KT.



Wow! Check out this link

http://oiswww.eumetsat.org/SDDI/cgi/list...0#controls

Twitter updates we will follow you back
http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather
Now on Facebook We will like you back
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall


Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-12-2007, 02:05 PM
Post: #50
Dean Main thread
Whxx01 Kwbc 121828
Chghur
Tropical Cyclone Guidance Message
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
1828 Utc Sun Aug 12 2007

Disclaimer...numerical Models Are Subject To Large Errors.
Please Refer To Nhc Official Forecasts For Tropical Cyclone
And Subtropical Cyclone Information.

Atlantic Objective Aids For

Disturbance Invest (al902007) 20070812 1800 Utc

...00 Hrs... ...12 Hrs... ...24 Hrs. .. ...36 Hrs...
070812 1800 070813 0600 070813 1800 070814 0600

Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon
Bams 12.4n 25.6w 13.6n 28.7w 14.6n 32.6w 15.7n 37.1w
Bamd 12.4n 25.6w 12.6n 29.8w 12.8n 34.0w 13.0n 38.2w
Bamm 12.4n 25.6w 13.1n 29.5w 13.7n 33.8w 14.1n 38.2w
Lbar 12.4n 25.6w 12.5n 29.2w 12.8n 33.4w 13.1n 37.9w
Ship 25kts 27kts 31kts 36kts
Dshp 25kts 27kts 31kts 36kts

...48 Hrs... ...72 Hrs... ...96 Hrs. .. ..120 Hrs...
070814 1800 070815 1800 070816 1800 070817 1800

Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon
Bams 16.9n 42.1w 18.6n 52.3w 19.8n 62.2w 19.3n 71.9w
Bamd 13.3n 42.3w 14.0n 50.5w 15.0n 58.4w 15.6n 65.2w
Bamm 14.6n 42.9w 14.7n 52.6w 13.9n 61.2w 13.6n 67.0w
Lbar 13.4n 42.7w 13.5n 50.6w .0n .0w .0n .0w
Ship 42kts 54kts 65kts 70kts
Dshp 42kts 54kts 65kts 70kts

...initial Conditions...
Latcur = 12.4n Loncur = 25.6w Dircur = 275deg Spdcur = 16kt
Latm12 = 12.2n Lonm12 = 22.3w Dirm12 = 275deg Spdm12 = 17kt
Latm24 = 11.8n Lonm24 = 19.5w
Wndcur = 25kt Rmaxwd = 35nm Wndm12 = 25kt
Cenprs = 1008mb Outprs = 1011mb Outrad = 140nm Sdepth = M
Rd34ne = 0nm Rd34se = 0nm Rd34sw = 0nm Rd34nw = 0nm

$$

Twitter updates we will follow you back
http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather
Now on Facebook We will like you back
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall


Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
Post Reply 


Forum Jump:


User(s) browsing this thread: 2 Guest(s)