Dean Main thread

[ROLLTIDE]

[ROLLTIDE]

[ROLLTIDE]

Twoat
Tropical Weather Outlook
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
530 Pm Edt Sat Aug 11 2007

A Vigorous Tropical Wave...located Over The Far Eastern Atlantic
Ocean Just West Of The Coast Of Africa...is Producing Disorganized
Showers And Thunderstorms. Conditions Appear Favorable For Gradual
Development Of This System And A Tropical Depression Could Form
During The Next Couple Of Days As It Moves Westward At 15 To 20
Mph.

Elsewhere...tropical Cyclone Formation Is Not Expected During The
Next 48 Hours.

$$
Forecaster Rhome

[cat]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/...loop.shtml

I keep freakin' out on this model. Yesterday it had the thing turning out to sea. Today, it once again has a huge something hitting NC. Glad it's them and not me...not to be mean about it...but I don't want to go through another Rita scare.

[Fred Gossage]

That was last night's evening model run of the GFS.... the last three runs, as well as the three before that...and the last few days of the Euro.... have had this thing going into the Gulf of Mexico.

[Alabamaboy]

Here are the OFFICIAL model runs as of 11/18Z by the NHC

[cat]

Fred Gossage Wrote:That was last night's evening model run of the GFS.... the last three runs, as well as the three before that...and the last few days of the Euro.... have had this thing going into the Gulf of Mexico.

/help
You are not serious. Are you?:confused: /uhoh2

[bobbo4554]

too early to flip out! Way to early

[ROLLTIDE]

Plenty of time to track this one

[vampgrrl]

There was a 'cane tracked to hit New Orleans last yr if I remember correctly 5 days out...and one forecaster said not to worry, because if there is one thing he said that always holds true...if it tracks right to you that far out, you won't get hit.

heh.