Tropical Depression #10

[ROLLTIDE]

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cg...=Animation

[Atlantafan]

If that comes true, I might have to take my rain gear to a retreat I'm going to next weekend...

[hurricaneguy]

I did not see any storm. What part of the GOM?

[hurricaneguy]

Euro has a cane near the Miss/LA border!

[MooreStorm01]

Developing of NE Coast of FL and headed across into the GOM? Interesting

[CheshireCat]

:eek: Certainly hope Ingrid doesn't get attracted to Jerry in GOM...

[ROLLTIDE]

Just some model runs for those that might be interested.

00z GFS Animation

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_pcp_l_loop.shtml

00z NAM Animation

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/nam/00/index_pcp_l_loop.shtml

00z FSU mm5 gfs/gfdl 45km Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/hprecip.d1b.html

"Perhaps" this is what the models are "sniffing out"...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/pr/loop-ir2.html

[CheshireCat]

I know some of you do not go along with Accuweather; yet, Accuweather is breaking the news softly:

[SIZE="3"]Tropical Hot Spot Number One[/SIZE]
[SIZE="1"]Updated: Friday, September 14, 2007 2:52 PM
[/SIZE]

The area east of Florida could be a hot spot for tropical development early next week.
Beginning Sunday, rain clouds will start to gather over that part of the ocean.
The other important player will be a big high pressure system to the north.
Sometimes, a high in that position will hand off some reverse spin to the tropics, much like the meshing of gears.
When that happens, a tropical storm can form. We'll watch for any sign of this early next week. In the near term, it's just something to keep in the back of your mind.

And....
[SIZE="3"]Tropical Hot Spot Number Two[/SIZE]
[SIZE="1"]Updated: Friday, September 14, 2007 2:52 PM [/SIZE]

There is reason to believe that tropical development could begin in the southern Caribbean as early as Sunday.
There is already a large area of convection in the area as shown on the current satellite picture.
Furthermore, the flow will be aligned properly, and the water could not be any warmer.
If a tropical system does form in this area, it would probably pursue a track toward the north and northwest, eventually bringing it into the Gulf of Mexico later next week.

This will be another one of those watch and wait situations.

[sircane]

Oh my, 2 areas to keep an eye on.

[richardginn]

Two areas is better than one hehehe.