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Tropical Depression #10
09-14-2007, 01:42 PM
Post: #1
Tropical Depression #10
http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.cg...=Animation

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09-14-2007, 02:23 PM
Post: #2
Tropical Depression #10
If that comes true, I might have to take my rain gear to a retreat I'm going to next weekend...

Erin August 2, 1995 Cat. 2

Opal October 4, 1995 Cat. 3

Ivan (the Terrible) September 15-16, 2004 Cat. 3

Dennis (the Menace) July 10, 2005 Cat. 3
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09-14-2007, 02:31 PM
Post: #3
Tropical Depression #10
I did not see any storm. What part of the GOM?
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09-14-2007, 02:58 PM
Post: #4
Tropical Depression #10
[Image: msl_uv850_z500!Wind%20850%20and%20mslp!2...!chart.gif]

Euro has a cane near the Miss/LA border!
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09-14-2007, 03:17 PM
Post: #5
Tropical Depression #10
Developing of NE Coast of FL and headed across into the GOM? Interesting

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09-14-2007, 04:01 PM
Post: #6
Tropical Depression #10
:eek: Certainly hope Ingrid doesn't get attracted to Jerry in GOM...
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09-14-2007, 04:39 PM
Post: #7
Tropical Depression #10
Just some model runs for those that might be interested.

00z GFS Animation

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/gfs/00/index_pcp_l_loop.shtml

00z NAM Animation

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/carib/nam/00/index_pcp_l_loop.shtml

00z FSU mm5 gfs/gfdl 45km Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/mm5/hprecip.d1b.html

"Perhaps" this is what the models are "sniffing out"...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/pr/loop-ir2.html

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09-14-2007, 04:42 PM
Post: #8
Tropical Depression #10
I know some of you do not go along with Accuweather; yet, Accuweather is breaking the news softly:

[SIZE="3"]Tropical Hot Spot Number One[/SIZE]
[SIZE="1"]Updated: Friday, September 14, 2007 2:52 PM
[/SIZE]

The area east of Florida could be a hot spot for tropical development early next week.
Beginning Sunday, rain clouds will start to gather over that part of the ocean.
The other important player will be a big high pressure system to the north.
Sometimes, a high in that position will hand off some reverse spin to the tropics, much like the meshing of gears.
When that happens, a tropical storm can form. We'll watch for any sign of this early next week. In the near term, it's just something to keep in the back of your mind.

And....
[SIZE="3"]Tropical Hot Spot Number Two[/SIZE]
[SIZE="1"]Updated: Friday, September 14, 2007 2:52 PM [/SIZE]

There is reason to believe that tropical development could begin in the southern Caribbean as early as Sunday.
There is already a large area of convection in the area as shown on the current satellite picture.
Furthermore, the flow will be aligned properly, and the water could not be any warmer.
If a tropical system does form in this area, it would probably pursue a track toward the north and northwest, eventually bringing it into the Gulf of Mexico later next week.

This will be another one of those watch and wait situations. [Image: doh.gif]
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09-14-2007, 06:18 PM
Post: #9
Tropical Depression #10
Oh my, 2 areas to keep an eye on.
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09-14-2007, 06:43 PM
Post: #10
Tropical Depression #10
Two areas is better than one hehehe.
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