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Invest 99l
07-30-2008, 06:15 AM
Post: #11
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[Image: 20080730.1000.msg2.x.vis1km_high.98LINVE....100pc.jpg]

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07-30-2008, 07:57 AM
Post: #12
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[SIZE="5"]Fish![/SIZE]
Though the disturbance has been moving to the northwest over the past 24 hours, model guidance suggests a general westerly motion for the next 4-6 days. Given the building area of high pressure to its north, we agree that this westerly movement is most likely. Starting so far east and at such a high latitude, it will most likely pass well northeast of the Caribbean Sea early next week then turn to the north and head out to sea. This system, should it develop, will probably not threaten the eastern Caribbean Sea or the U.S. Mainland.

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07-30-2008, 08:04 AM
Post: #13
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Code Orange

ABNT20 KNHC 301155
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT WED JUL 30 2008

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A WELL-DEFINED AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS LOCATED ABOUT MIDWAY BETWEEN
THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS AND WESTERN AFRICA AND IS MOVING TO THE
NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH. THIS SYSTEM HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BECOME
A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TODAY BEFORE MOVING OVER COOLER WATERS
TOMORROW. INTERESTS IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM. REGARDLESS OF DEVELOPMENT...HEAVY RAIN
AND GUSTY WINDS ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS LATER
TODAY AND TOMORROW.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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07-30-2008, 08:24 AM
Post: #14
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Tropical Weather Discussion
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
805 Am Edt Wed Jul 30 2008

...tropical Waves...

An Atlantic Ocean Tropical Wave Is Along 18w/19w South Of 18n
Moving West About 15 Kt. A 1006 Mb Low Pressure Center Is Along
The Wave Near 14.5n. Scattered Moderate Showers To Isolated
Strong Thunderstorms Are From 14n To 17n Between 18w And 21w.
Any Kind Of Development Of This System Will Be Slow To Occur.

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07-30-2008, 08:56 AM
Post: #15
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NICE ROTATION!!!!!!!!!!!!! this thing is pretty already




BTW..............NEMO!

Quis custodiet ipsos custodes?

"Don't believe them, don't fear them, don't ask anything of them." ~Alexander Solzhenitsyn

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07-30-2008, 10:53 AM
Post: #16
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Batt2fd Wrote:[SIZE="5"]Fish![/SIZE]
Though the disturbance has been moving to the northwest over the past 24 hours, model guidance suggests a general westerly motion for the next 4-6 days. Given the building area of high pressure to its north, we agree that this westerly movement is most likely. Starting so far east and at such a high latitude, it will most likely pass well northeast of the Caribbean Sea early next week then turn to the north and head out to sea. This system, should it develop, will probably not threaten the eastern Caribbean Sea or the U.S. Mainland.


How can you say with any confidence that this won't be a threat to the US or Carribean? It's 4000 miles away!!
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07-30-2008, 11:08 AM
Post: #17
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This one should be upgraded at anytime ! I don't know what they are waiting for .

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07-30-2008, 11:20 AM
Post: #18
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ocala Wrote:[/b]

How can you say with any confidence that this won't be a threat to the US or Carribean? It's 4000 miles away!!

This might be one of those storms that curls back early enough to be a legitimate threat to Europe.
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07-30-2008, 11:49 AM
Post: #19
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Here are the OFFICIAL model runs as of 30/12Z by the NHC

Retired from ASA now for some real flying
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07-30-2008, 11:54 AM
Post: #20
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It looks to me that the models initiated about 4 degrees too far to the north of this thing.:redface:

Crazy Dale
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