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TD Fay main thread
08-24-2008, 10:16 PM
Post: #2611
TD Fay main thread
"Rain bands around the storm were expected to hang over much of the area, including New Orleans, the north shore and McComb, Miss., for the next few days, raising the prospect of between 4 and 6 inches of rain, with some spots getting even more, said Danielle Manning, a meteorologist for the National Weather Service in Slidell." Source. NOLA.com
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08-25-2008, 12:00 AM
Post: #2612
TD Fay main thread
Fay made it to Mobile


RADAR ESTIMATES INDICATE THAT 2 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL PER HOUR IS
OCCURRING IN STRONG RAINBANDS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEAST ACROSS MUCH OF
MOBILE AND BALDWIN COUNTIES IN ALABAMA. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL WILL
MOVE ACROSS THE SAME AREAS THROUGH AT LEAST 200 AM MONDAY MORNING.
DUE TO THIS...AN ADDITIONAL 1 TO 3 INCHES OF RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE
IN THE WARNED AREA. THIS WILL LIKELY RESULT IN FLASH FLOODING IN THE
WARNED AREA.

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08-25-2008, 12:05 AM
Post: #2613
TD Fay main thread
She took the long way around to get to us, but she made it.
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08-25-2008, 12:15 AM (This post was last modified: 08-25-2008 12:28 AM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #2614
TD Fay main thread
67mph gust just now in South, Mobile... Why is there no warning for this line ? Well power is about to go out ! Stay safe

Attached radar image of what caused the 60mph+ winds

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08-25-2008, 01:03 AM
Post: #2615
TD Fay main thread
About time guys ! next time pick up the phone


BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
100 AM CDT MON AUG 25 2008
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOBILE HAS ISSUED A
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...
EXTREME SOUTH CENTRAL ESCAMBIA COUNTY IN NORTHWEST FLORIDA...
SOUTHERN BALDWIN COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
SOUTH CENTRAL MOBILE COUNTY IN SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...
THIS INCLUDES THE CITY OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...
* UNTIL 145 AM CDT
* AT 1256 AM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS
OVER 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM
LAURENDINE TO 12 MILES SOUTH OF FORT MORGAN...OR ALONG A LINE
EXTENDING FROM 16 MILES NORTH OF DAUPHIN ISLAND TO
16 MILES SOUTHEAST OF DAUPHIN ISLAND...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 31 MPH.
* SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE NEAR...
HOLLINGERS ISLAND AND BELLEFONTAINE BY 105 AM CDT...
POINT CLEAR...PALMETTO BEACH AND GASQUE BY 120 AM CDT...
MOUTH OF WEEKS BAY...HOUSTONVILLE...FAIRHOPE AND BATTLES WHARF BY
125 AM CDT...DAPHNE BY 130 AM CDT...

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08-25-2008, 01:25 AM
Post: #2616
TD Fay main thread
Quote:URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 862
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
110 AM CDT MON AUG 25 2008

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL ALABAMA
WESTERN PARTS OF THE FLORIDA PANHANDLE
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY MORNING FROM 110 AM UNTIL 900 AM CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 80 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 50 MILES WEST NORTHWEST OF
TROY ALABAMA TO 30 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF PENSACOLA FLORIDA.
FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE ASSOCIATED WATCH
OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

DISCUSSION...TSTMS HAVE BECOME SOMEWHAT BETTER ORGANIZED IN THE PAST
1-2 HRS FROM SW AL S AND SW INTO THE N CNTRL GULF OF MEXICO. THIS
INTENSIFICATION APPEARS TO BE RELATED...IN PART...TO MORE
PROGRESSIVE /EWD/ MOVEMENT THAT HAS BEEN TAKEN ON BY T.D. FAY AND
THE MID LATITUDE VORT MAX WITH WHICH IT MERGED. AS THE LARGE SCALE
CIRCULATION SYSTEM CONTINUES ENEWD...CONVERGENCE SHOULD BECOME MORE
FOCUSED IN ZONE OF RICH GULF INFLOW /SFC DEWPOINTS IN THE MID 70S
F/...BENEATH WEAK COLD ADVECTION ALOFT ALONG THE CNTRL GULF CST.
ASSOCIATED DESTABILIZATION MAY SUPPORT A FEW SUSTAINED UPDRAFTS WITH
LOW LVL ROTATION/ISOLD TORNADOES GIVEN QUALITY OF MOISTURE INFLOW
AND FRICTIONAL/ ISALLOBARICALLY-INDUCED BACKING OF FLOW.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 19035.

[Image: ww0862_radar.gif]

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08-25-2008, 05:34 AM
Post: #2617
TD Fay main thread
000
Wtnt31 Kwnh 250849
Tcpat1

Public Advisory Number 39 For Tropical Depression Fay
Nws Hydrometeorological Prediction Center Camp Springs Md Al062008
400 Am Cdt Mon Aug 25 2008

...fay Remains Nearly Stationary Over Southern Mississippi...

Flash Flood Watches Are In Effect For Portions Of
Alabama...mississippi...eastern Louisiana...and The Far Western
Florida Panhandle. Flood Warnings Are In Effect For Portions Of
Northern Florida And Southern Georgia.

At 400 Am Cdt...09z...the Center Of Tropical Depression Fay Was
Located Near Latitude 31.3 North...longitude 89.9 West...or About
75 Miles..120 Km...south Of Jackson Mississippi And 90 Miles...145
Km... North Of New Orleans Louisiana.

The Depression Is Nearly Stationary. The Forecast Track Indicates
That The Center Of Fay Will Begin Moving To The Northeast
Today...and Reach Into Northern Alabama During Tuesday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 25 Mph..40 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Gradual Weakening Is Forecast During The Next Couple Of
Days. The Minimum Central Pressure Is 1002 Mb...29.59 Inches.

Selected Storm Total Rainfall Amounts In Inches Through 100 Am Cdt

...louisiana...

Baton Rouge 2.80
Boothville 1.92
New Orleans (msy) 1.46
Salt Point 1.31
Slidell 1.15
New Iberia 1.07
Lafayette 0.76

...mississippi...

Starkville 5.3 S 2.88
Natchez/hardy 2.72
Columbus Afb 2.47
Meridian/key Field 2.45
Tupelo 2.20
Meridian Nas/mccain 1.96
Jackson 1.94
Vicksburg 1.75
Mccomb/lewis Field 1.85
Greenwood 1.10
Hattiesburg 1.01
Pascagoula 0.79
Biloxi 0.23
Gulfport 0.17

...alabama...

Camden 1.0 Nne 6.55
Eufaula 1.0 Sse 6.26
Wetumpka 5.0 Se 6.14
Troy 5.65
Ozark 5.42
Dothan 4.38
Auburn 4.05
Montgomery 3.58
Birmingham 3.31
Anniston 2.84
Tuscaloosa 2.31
Evergreen 1.81
Mobile 1.41

...georgia...

Thomasville 2.8 E 17.43
Coolidge 3.2 Ssw 12.03
Moultrie 6.2 Sw 9.45
Valdosta 8.31
Lake Park 2.8 W 7.11
Albany 4.64
Columbus 4.29
Alma 4.24
Savannah 3.16
Brunswick 2.88
Macon 2.26
Peachtree City 1.48

...south Carolina...

Beaufort 5.84
Meggett 1.8 W 4.97
Folly Beach 2.5 Sw 3.96
Charleston 2.72

...florida...

Melbourne Beach 25.28
Cocoa Beach 24.38
Cape Canaveral 22.83
Deltona 22.69
Satellite Beach 22.40
Palm Shores 1.4 W 21.44
Palm Bay 1.0 Ne 21.00
Orange City 19.81
Hilliard 5.4 Nw 19.70
Sanford 15.70
Tallahassee (tlh) 11.93
Fort Pierce 11.58
Jacksonville 11.70
Vero Beach 11.34
Cross City 9.97
Daytona Beach 8.82
West Palm Beach 7.32
Orlando 7.26
Fort Myers 6.85
Marathon 6.80
Miami 6.19
Key West 3.35

Tropical Depression Fay Is Expected To Produce Additional Rainfall
Accumulations Of 3 To 6 Inches Over Parts Of Alabama...the Florida
Panhandle...western And Northern Georgia...eastern Tennessee...and
The Western Carolinas Through Wednesday Morning....with Isolated
Maximum Amounts Of 10 Inches Possible.

Isolated Tornadoes Are Possible Today Across Much Of
Alabama...western Georgia...and The Florida Panhandle.

Repeating The 400 Am Cdt Position...31.3 N...89.9 W.
Movement...nearly Stationary... Maximum Sustained Winds...25 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...1002 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The Hydrometeorological
Prediction Center At 1000 Am Cdt. Please Refer To Your Local
National Weather Service Office Or Weather.gov For Further
Information On Fay.

Hedge

Forecast Positions

Initial 25/0900z 31.3n 89.9w
12hr Vt 25/1800z 31.8n 89.5w
24hr Vt 26/0600z 32.6n 88.7w
36hr Vt 26/1800z 33.6n 87.6w
48hr Vt 27/0600z 34.7n 86.5w
72hr Vt 28/0600z 37.5n 84.5w...remnant Low

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08-25-2008, 06:23 AM
Post: #2618
TD Fay main thread
WOW! This is just my luck: it is time to head back for a new workweek and Fay decides to make her impression on NW FL. What a difference a day makes!

It is best to read the weather forecast before we pray for rain. ~ Mark Twain
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08-25-2008, 07:45 AM
Post: #2619
TD Fay main thread
dkmac Wrote:000
Wtnt31 Kwnh 250849
Tcpat1

Public Advisory Number 39 For Tropical Depression Fay
Nws Hydrometeorological Prediction Center Camp Springs Md Al062008
400 Am Cdt Mon Aug 25 2008

...fay Remains Nearly Stationary Over Southern Mississippi...

Flash Flood Watches Are In Effect For Portions Of
Alabama...mississippi...eastern Louisiana...and The Far Western
Florida Panhandle. Flood Warnings Are In Effect For Portions Of
Northern Florida And Southern Georgia.

At 400 Am Cdt...09z...the Center Of Tropical Depression Fay Was
Located Near Latitude 31.3 North...longitude 89.9 West...or About
75 Miles..120 Km...south Of Jackson Mississippi And 90 Miles...145
Km... North Of New Orleans Louisiana.

The Depression Is Nearly Stationary. The Forecast Track Indicates
That The Center Of Fay Will Begin Moving To The Northeast
Today...and Reach Into Northern Alabama During Tuesday.

Maximum Sustained Winds Are Near 25 Mph..40 Km/hr...with Higher
Gusts. Gradual Weakening Is Forecast During The Next Couple Of
Days. The Minimum Central Pressure Is 1002 Mb...29.59 Inches.

Selected Storm Total Rainfall Amounts In Inches Through 100 Am Cdt

...louisiana...

Baton Rouge 2.80
Boothville 1.92
New Orleans (msy) 1.46
Salt Point 1.31
Slidell 1.15
New Iberia 1.07
Lafayette 0.76

...mississippi...

Starkville 5.3 S 2.88
Natchez/hardy 2.72
Columbus Afb 2.47
Meridian/key Field 2.45
Tupelo 2.20
Meridian Nas/mccain 1.96
Jackson 1.94
Vicksburg 1.75
Mccomb/lewis Field 1.85
Greenwood 1.10
Hattiesburg 1.01
Pascagoula 0.79
Biloxi 0.23
Gulfport 0.17

...alabama...

Camden 1.0 Nne 6.55
Eufaula 1.0 Sse 6.26
Wetumpka 5.0 Se 6.14
Troy 5.65
Ozark 5.42
Dothan 4.38
Auburn 4.05
Montgomery 3.58
Birmingham 3.31
Anniston 2.84
Tuscaloosa 2.31
Evergreen 1.81
Mobile 1.41

...georgia...

Thomasville 2.8 E 17.43
Coolidge 3.2 Ssw 12.03
Moultrie 6.2 Sw 9.45
Valdosta 8.31
Lake Park 2.8 W 7.11
Albany 4.64
Columbus 4.29
Alma 4.24
Savannah 3.16
Brunswick 2.88
Macon 2.26
Peachtree City 1.48

...south Carolina...

Beaufort 5.84
Meggett 1.8 W 4.97
Folly Beach 2.5 Sw 3.96
Charleston 2.72

...florida...

Melbourne Beach 25.28
Cocoa Beach 24.38
Cape Canaveral 22.83
Deltona 22.69
Satellite Beach 22.40
Palm Shores 1.4 W 21.44
Palm Bay 1.0 Ne 21.00
Orange City 19.81
Hilliard 5.4 Nw 19.70
Sanford 15.70
Tallahassee (tlh) 11.93
Fort Pierce 11.58
Jacksonville 11.70
Vero Beach 11.34
Cross City 9.97
Daytona Beach 8.82
West Palm Beach 7.32
Orlando 7.26
Fort Myers 6.85
Marathon 6.80
Miami 6.19
Key West 3.35

Tropical Depression Fay Is Expected To Produce Additional Rainfall
Accumulations Of 3 To 6 Inches Over Parts Of Alabama...the Florida
Panhandle...western And Northern Georgia...eastern Tennessee...and
The Western Carolinas Through Wednesday Morning....with Isolated
Maximum Amounts Of 10 Inches Possible.

Isolated Tornadoes Are Possible Today Across Much Of
Alabama...western Georgia...and The Florida Panhandle.

Repeating The 400 Am Cdt Position...31.3 N...89.9 W.
Movement...nearly Stationary... Maximum Sustained Winds...25 Mph.
Minimum Central Pressure...1002 Mb.

The Next Advisory Will Be Issued By The Hydrometeorological
Prediction Center At 1000 Am Cdt. Please Refer To Your Local
National Weather Service Office Or Weather.gov For Further
Information On Fay.

Hedge

Forecast Positions

Initial 25/0900z 31.3n 89.9w
12hr Vt 25/1800z 31.8n 89.5w
24hr Vt 26/0600z 32.6n 88.7w
36hr Vt 26/1800z 33.6n 87.6w
48hr Vt 27/0600z 34.7n 86.5w
72hr Vt 28/0600z 37.5n 84.5w...remnant Low

Thanks for the rain totals!
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08-25-2008, 09:38 AM
Post: #2620
TD Fay main thread
6.02" at my house since 9pm last night (East End - Dauphin Island)

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