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08-10-2008, 07:58 AM
(This post was last modified: 08-22-2008 07:04 PM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #1
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TD Fay main thread
Weatherunderground products
![[Image: at200806_5day.gif]](http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200806_5day.gif){kind=icon} ![[Image: at200806_windprob34]](http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200806_windprob34){kind=icon} ![[Image: at200806_surge.gif]](http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200806_surge.gif){kind=icon} ![[Image: at200806_alerts.gif]](http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200806_alerts.gif){kind=icon} ![[Image: at200806_radar.gif]](http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/storm_radar/at200806_radar.gif){kind=icon} ![[Image: at200806_sat.jpg]](http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200806_sat.jpg){kind=icon} ![[Image: at200806_hd.gif]](http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200806_hd.gif){kind=icon} ![[Image: 144114W_sm.gif]](http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0608W5_sm2+gif/144114W_sm.gif) ![[Image: 144114.gif]](http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0608_PROB34_F120+gif/144114.gif) ![[Image: 144114R_sm.gif]](http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT06/refresh/AL0608R+gif/144114R_sm.gif) ![[Image: vis-l.jpg]](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/vis-l.jpg) ![[Image: avn-l.jpg]](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn-l.jpg) ![[Image: ir2-l.jpg]](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/ir2-l.jpg) ![[Image: bd-l.jpg]](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/bd-l.jpg) ![[Image: wv-l.jpg]](http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/wv-l.jpg) Level 3 radar ![[Image: ktlh_br248.png]](http://www.hardcoreweather.com/radar/ktlh_br248.png) Models ![[Image: at200806_model.gif]](http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200806_model.gif){kind=icon} ![[Image: storm_06.gif]](http://my.sfwmd.gov/sfwmd/common/images/weather/plots/storm_06.gif)
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08-10-2008, 08:06 AM
(This post was last modified: 08-10-2008 08:20 AM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #2
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TD Fay main thread
680
Whxx01 Kwbc 101254 Chghur Tropical Cyclone Guidance Message Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl 1254 Utc Sun Aug 10 2008 Disclaimer...numerical Models Are Subject To Large Errors. Please Refer To Nhc Official Forecasts For Tropical Cyclone And Subtropical Cyclone Information. Atlantic Objective Aids For Disturbance Invest (al922008) 20080810 1200 Utc ...00 Hrs... ...12 Hrs... ...24 Hrs. .. ...36 Hrs... 080810 1200 080811 0000 080811 1200 080812 0000 Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon Bams 10.5n 43.0w 11.5n 44.3w 12.3n 45.8w 12.9n 47.3w Bamd 10.5n 43.0w 11.1n 45.0w 11.6n 47.0w 12.0n 48.9w Bamm 10.5n 43.0w 11.1n 44.9w 11.8n 46.6w 12.4n 48.0w Lbar 10.5n 43.0w 10.9n 45.6w 11.6n 48.2w 12.3n 50.9w Ship 25kts 30kts 36kts 45kts Dshp 25kts 30kts 36kts 45kts ...48 Hrs... ...72 Hrs... ...96 Hrs. .. ..120 Hrs... 080812 1200 080813 1200 080814 1200 080815 1200 Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon Lat Lon Bams 13.6n 49.6w 16.0n 55.0w 18.8n 61.6w 21.2n 68.2w Bamd 12.5n 50.9w 14.5n 55.6w 16.2n 61.0w 17.2n 66.8w Bamm 13.0n 49.9w 14.9n 54.8w 16.7n 60.4w 17.8n 66.5w Lbar 13.1n 53.6w 15.1n 58.6w 17.1n 63.8w 19.3n 68.7w Ship 55kts 71kts 81kts 84kts Dshp 55kts 71kts 81kts 84kts ...initial Conditions... Latcur = 10.5n Loncur = 43.0w Dircur = 270deg Spdcur = 16kt Latm12 = 10.5n Lonm12 = 39.7w Dirm12 = 270deg Spdm12 = 16kt Latm24 = 10.5n Lonm24 = 36.4w Wndcur = 25kt Rmaxwd = 0nm Wndm12 = 25kt Cenprs = 1009mb Outprs = 1011mb Outrad = 150nm Sdepth = M Rd34ne = 0nm Rd34se = 0nm Rd34sw = 0nm Rd34nw = 0nm $$ Nnnn ![[Image: at200892_model.gif]](http://icons-pe.wunderground.com/data/images/at200892_model.gif){kind=icon}
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08-10-2008, 08:08 AM
Post: #3
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TD Fay main thread
Tropical Weather Discussion
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl 805 Am Edt Sun Aug 10 2008 Based On 0600 Utc Surface Analysis And Satellite Imagery Through 1015 Utc. ...special Features... The Tropical Wave Along 41w S Of 19n Is Moving W Near 15 Kt. Ir Satellite Imagery Exhibits A Cyclonic Turning Observed Along The Wave Axis Near 11n. An Earlier Scatterometer Pass At 0840z Confirms Position Of The Wave Along With A Possible Closed Low Circulation Forming Along The Wave Axis. Convective Activity Associated With This Wave Remains Disorganized With Scattered Moderate Convection West Of The Wave Axis From 9n-13n Between 42w-45w. Upper Level Environmental Winds Are Expected To Become More Favorable For Development Of This System During The Next Couple Of Days. Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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08-10-2008, 09:26 AM
Post: #4
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TD Fay main thread
Houston-Galveston AFD Excerpt:
LASTLY...THE TROPICS LOOK TO BE GETTING MORE ACTIVE. BOTH THE GFS AND ECMWF ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT WITH A SYSTEM APPROACHING FL/CUBA BY AUGUST 19TH. CONDITIONS LOOK FAVORABLE FOR THE SYSTEM TO DEVELOP. 500 MB FLOW SHOWS A BREAK IN THE RIDGE AND A WEAK TROUGH MOVING ACROSS THE OHIO VALLEY. AT THIS TIME...THE SYSTEM LOOKS LIKE IT`LL TURN TO THE NORTH OVER THE EASTERN GULF. BEARS WATCH. Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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08-10-2008, 10:58 AM
Post: #5
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TD Fay main thread
![[Image: pagegz8.gif]](https://img368.imageshack.us/img368/1430/pagegz8.gif)
Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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08-10-2008, 11:04 AM
Post: #6
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TD Fay main thread
![[Image: intensity_early1.png]](http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/guidance/northatlantic/intensity_early1.png)
Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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08-10-2008, 11:28 AM
Post: #7
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TD Fay main thread
![[Image: atl_ir1_loop.gif]](http://metofis.rsmas.miami.edu/~dortt/satellite/invest_09/IR/atl_ir1_loop.gif)
Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
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08-10-2008, 11:34 AM
Post: #8
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TD Fay main thread
Should be a depression or ts, by 5pm.
:dummy2:Follow me on FACEBOOK, http://www.facebook.com/weatherguyaustin , I will let you know when I am going to do a chase, or other great info. |
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08-10-2008, 11:43 AM
Post: #9
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TD Fay main thread
That is showing a different system developing, but still scary.
:dummy2:Follow me on FACEBOOK, http://www.facebook.com/weatherguyaustin , I will let you know when I am going to do a chase, or other great info. |
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08-10-2008, 11:44 AM
Post: #10
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