Remnant Low ERIKA Analysis/Discussion Thread

[Chris48]

I'm gona jump the gun and say fish!

[ROLLTIDE]

18 UTC Best Track

AL, 94, 2009082718, , BEST, 0, 107N, 270W, 25, 1009, DB

ftp://ftp.tpc.ncep.noaa.gov/atcf/tcweb/ ... 009.invest

[ROLLTIDE]

205 PM

Quote:TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT THU AUG 27 2009

...TROPICAL WAVES...

A TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 26W S OF 19N MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THIS
WAVE COINCIDES WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC CURVATURE
NEAR 10.5N26.0W. THE CIMSS WAVETRACK GUIDANCE DEPICTS A MAXIMUM
AREA OF 850 MB VORTICITY IN THE VICINITY OF THE WAVE AXIS AND
ACROSS THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. THE ASSOCIATED SHOWER ACTIVITY
HAS BECOME A LITTLE BETTER ORGANIZED DURING THE MORNING HOURS
AND ADDITIONAL SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE OVER
THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS AN AREA OF
SCATTERED MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION JUST AHEAD OF
THE WAVE AXIS FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN 28W-32W. THIS CONVECTION IS
BEING ENHANCED BY UPPER LEVEL DIFFLUENCE ON THE SRN PERIPHERY OF
AN ERN TROPICAL ATLC UPPER LEVEL ANTICYCLONIC CIRCULATION
CENTERED NEAR 19N29W.

[ROLLTIDE]

Chris48 Wrote:I'm gona jump the gun and say fish!

Doesn't look like a fish to me as we start to see a new pattern setup in the next week.

http://weather.unisys.com/gfsx/loop/gfsx_500p_loop.html

[ROLLTIDE]

Euro

[MiamiHurricane80]

ROLLTIDE Wrote:Euro

No fish here either.

[Katfive]

Could be a southern runner!

[ROLLTIDE]

[MiamiHurricane80]

ROLLTIDE Wrote:

At this point without a COC, I wouldn't give the models any validity. Give a few days until the system has developed.

[TXFPCoach]

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/main.p...eloc=model

http://twister.sbs.ohio-state.edu/main.p...c=tropical



Good model links Sorry the "Tropical Weather links" is closed