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HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
06-30-2010, 09:35 PM
Post: #1721
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
10pm

Quote:TNT31 KNHC 010237
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
HURRICANE ALEX ADVISORY NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

...ALEX MOVING INLAND OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO...

SUMMARY OF 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.3N 97.8W
ABOUT 35 MI...55 KM N OF LA PESCA MEXICO
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...160 KM/HR
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 260 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...947 MB...27.96 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE HURRICANE WARNING IS CHANGED TO A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE
COAST OF TEXAS SOUTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF MEXICO FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO LA CRUZ

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IN IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE COAST OF TEXAS FROM THE MOUTH OF THE RIO GRANDE TO PORT
OCONNOR
* THE COAST OF MEXICO SOUTH OF LA CRUZ TO CABO ROJO

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA IN THE UNITED
STATES...INCLUDING POSSIBLE INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE
MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
FORECAST OFFICE. FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1000 PM CDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ALEX WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.8 WEST. THIS POSITION IS
JUST INLAND OF THE COAST OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO IN THE MUNICIPALITY
OF SOTO LA MARINA. ALEX IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NEAR 10 MPH...17
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR
SO. ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ALEX WILL MOVE FARTHER INLAND
OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO ON THURSDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 100 MPH...160 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ALEX IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON
HURRICANE WIND SCALE. STEADY WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS THE TROPICAL
CYCLONE MOVES OVER LAND...AND ALEX IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE OVER
MEXICO WITHIN 1 TO 2 DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 205
MILES...335 KM.

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL
PRESSURE OF 947 MB...27.96 INCHES...JUST BEFORE LANDFALL.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...ALEX IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS
OF 6 TO 12 INCHES OVER PORTIONS OF NORTHEASTERN MEXICO AND SOUTHERN
TEXAS...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES. THESE RAINS
COULD CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY OVER MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.

WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS ARE SPREADING INLAND OVER A PORTION OF
THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA OVER NORTHEASTERN MEXICO. THESE WINDS
WILL DECREASE ON THURSDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS STORM TIDE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY
AS MUCH AS 4 TO 6 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE IMMEDIATE COAST
TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER HAS MADE LANDFALL. THE WATER COULD
PENETRATE INLAND AS FAR AS SEVERAL MILES FROM THE SHORE WITH DEPTH
GENERALLY DECREASING AS THE STORM TIDE MOVES INLAND. NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES. THE STORM TIDE AND WAVES WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH ON
THURSDAY.

TORNADOES...ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EXTREME
SOUTHERN TEXAS OVERNIGHT.

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06-30-2010, 09:36 PM
Post: #1722
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
seaswirl Wrote:I figure a donation per storm! Great site and great folk's! Thank's for all the great insight and predicyions!

That is EXACTLY the way I look at it!!!/cheers


Dianne
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06-30-2010, 09:37 PM
Post: #1723
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
seaswirl Wrote:I figure a donation per storm! Great site and great folk's! Thank's for all the great insight and predicyions!

So if we get 20+ storms I can retire ?

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06-30-2010, 09:37 PM
Post: #1724
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
If this is a sign of things to come this season then we're in for quite a ride.... Best looking June Hurricane I've seen for sure.
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06-30-2010, 09:37 PM
Post: #1725
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
BRO continues Tornado Warning for Kenedy [TX] till 9:45 PM CDT ...AT 938 PM CDT NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A TORNADO 18 MILES EAST OF SARITA...MOVING WEST AT 40 MPH

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06-30-2010, 09:38 PM
Post: #1726
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
10pm Disco

Quote:TNT41 KNHC 010239
TCDAT1
HURRICANE ALEX DISCUSSION NUMBER 22
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012010
1000 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

OBSERVATIONS FROM THE BROWNSVILLE WSR-88D RADAR AND THE AIR FORCE
RESERVE UNIT HURRICANE HUNTERS INDICATE THAT THE EYE OF ALEX
CROSSED THE COAST IN A SPARSELY-POPULATED AREA OF NORTHEASTERN
MEXICO AROUND 0200 UTC. JUST BEFORE LANDFALL...THE AIRCRAFT
MEASURED SURFACE WINDS OF 87 KT FROM THE SFMR INSTRUMENT AND A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 947 MB. ASSUMING THAT THE PEAK WINDS
WERE NOT SAMPLED...AND OUT OF RESPECT FOR THE CONTINUED DROP IN
CENTRAL PRESSURE...THE LANDFALL INTENSITY WAS SET AT 90 KT. THE
CURRENT INTENSITY ESTIMATE OF 85 KT IS BASED ON AN ASSUMED SLIGHT
DECREASE SINCE LANDFALL. CONTINUED WEAKENING WILL OCCUR AS ALEX
MOVES OVER LAND...AND THE WEAKENING IS LIKELY TO BE RATHER RAPID
AFTER THE TROPICAL CYCLONE REACHES THE VERY HIGH AND RUGGED TERRAIN
ASSOCIATED WITH THE SIERRA MADRE ORIENTAL MOUNTAINS OF MEXICO.
DISSIPATION IS LIKELY WITHIN 36 TO 48 HOURS...IF NOT SOONER.

INITIAL MOTION IS ABOUT 260/9...JUST A TAD SOUTH OF DUE WEST.
MID-LEVEL RIDGING TO THE NORTH OF ALEX IS PREDICTED TO BE MORE OR
LESS MAINTAINED FOR THE NEXT 24 TO 48 HOURS. THIS WOULD MOVE THE
CYCLONE ON A MAINLY WESTWARD TRACK UNTIL DISSIPATION.

AS THE WINDS DECREASE AND THE SURGE AND WAVES ALONG THE COAST
GRADUALLY DIMINISH...THE PRIMARY THREAT FROM ALEX WILL BE
TORRENTIAL RAINS TOTALING AS HIGH AS 20 INCHES...WHICH WOULD LIKELY
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES OVER THE
MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS OF MEXICO. ALSO...A FEW TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE
OVERNIGHT WITHIN THE NORTHERN PORTION OF THE CIRCULATION OF ALEX.

IT MAY BE OF INTEREST THAT ALEX WAS THE FIRST CATEGORY TWO...AND THE
STRONGEST...HURRICANE TO OCCUR IN JUNE SINCE ALMA OF 1966.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 01/0300Z 24.3N 97.8W 85 KT
12HR VT 01/1200Z 24.3N 99.4W 60 KT...INLAND
24HR VT 02/0000Z 24.3N 101.6W 30 KT...INLAND
36HR VT 02/1200Z 24.8N 103.8W 20 KT...INLAND
48HR VT 03/0000Z...DISSIPATED INLAND

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06-30-2010, 09:42 PM
Post: #1727
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
Tornado threat is really increasing now

Quote:BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
942 PM CDT WED JUN 30 2010

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN CORPUS CHRISTI HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHEASTERN KLEBERG COUNTY IN SOUTH TEXAS...
SOUTHEASTERN NUECES COUNTY IN SOUTH TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1015 PM CDT

* AT 936 PM CDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR PADRE BALLI
PARK...OR 17 MILES SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI...MOVING WEST AT 40
MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...
PADRE ISLES...
KINGS CROSSING GOLF COURSE...
CHAPMAN RANCH...

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06-30-2010, 09:44 PM
Post: #1728
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
ROLLTIDE Wrote:New Tornado Warning


That's us in Rockport. Starting to rain pretty hard, some wind, thunder & lightning.
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06-30-2010, 09:51 PM (This post was last modified: 06-30-2010 10:00 PM by saltyj.)
Post: #1729
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
grammie Wrote:All you lurkers who get more from HCW than your local mets ... go make a donation. It's easy. I'm sure he appreciates $5 or $10 or $100 ... whatever you can give. HCW was an absoute sanity-saver during Rita AND Ike. I wouldn't live without it! Thanks James ... and ... War Eagle.


Done! And I encourage other foul weatherererers..lol.. to do the same!/toot



Wanted to also say this site consistently give you details that the local mets. don't know more than half an hour before.. It's the reason my most precious things are asleep at HOME upstairs tonight.. thanks again.
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06-30-2010, 09:51 PM
Post: #1730
HURRICANE ALEX Makes landfall in MX with 105 mph winds
RT (James) has made HCW a great site for those who have studied or otherwise gained insight into the dynamics of weather patterns and tropical storms, and an even better site for those like me who don't have that depth of knowledge. Thanks again.
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