TD Bonnie 4pm last advisory issued

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8AM

Quote:Atlantic Graphical Tropical Weather Outlook
This product is updated at approximately 2 AM, 8 AM, 2 PM, and 8 PM EDT from June 1 to November 30. Special outlooks may be issued as conditions warrant.
Place your mouse cursor over areas of interest for more information Archived Outlooks

GIS data: .shp

ZCZC MIATWOAT ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
800 AM EDT SUN JUL 25 2010

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

1. THE REMNANT LOW OF BONNIE...LOCATED INLAND JUST SOUTH OF NEW ORLEANS
LOUISIANA...IS PRODUCING SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS MAINLY TO THE
WEST AND NORTH OF THE CENTER. REGENERATION IS NOT EXPECTED AS THE
SYSTEM MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 10 MPH. THERE IS A LOW
CHANCE...NEAR 0 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

2. A DISORGANIZED AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE
SOUTHWESTERN GULF OF MEXICO IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD LOW PRESSURE
AREA INLAND OVER EASTERN MEXICO ABOUT 70 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF
TUXPAN. DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT ANTICIPATED SINCE THE
LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN INLAND. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...NEAR 0
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS/PASCH

[Alex]

Thundering and lightning outside, but the squall from the remnants of Bonnie is just east of here streaming north. Have the sun out meanwhile, and hope to get some rain today as we netted 0.00 inches yesterday.

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AL, 03, 2010072512, , BEST, 0, 300N, 902W, 20, 1013, LO,

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aaroads Wrote:Thundering and lightning outside, but the squall from the remnants of Bonnie is just east of here streaming north. Have the sun out meanwhile, and hope to get some rain today as we netted 0.00 inches yesterday.

I see that your storm shield is working this morning

[JHat]

mudhog79 Wrote:JHat what program is that screen shot from?

Thanks

Using firefox with the plug in for snap shot. if you use firefox search for snap shot and it is easy to add and its free.

[richardginn]

FrenchQuarterGuy Wrote:Pretending this is a cat 5 hurricane... oh no! it's drizzling and the winds are 10 mph!

hhahahaha/gig//gig//gig/

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4 Flash flood warnings now

[INDENT] [/INDENT]

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Quote: Mesoscale Discussion 1461 < Previous MD
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1461
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1050 AM CDT SUN JUL 25 2010

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN MS...SWRN AL AND FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE POTENTIAL...WATCH UNLIKELY

VALID 251550Z - 251645Z

IN ADDITION TO HEAVY RAINFALL RATES WITH ANY TSTM ACTIVITY
CONTINUING INTO THE AFTERNOON OVER SERN INTO PARTS OF CENTRAL MS AND
SWRN AL/FAR WRN FL PANHANDLE GIVEN HIGH PW VALUES /2.3-2.6 IN/...A
BRIEF TORNADO THREAT CANNOT BE RULED OUT. GIVEN THAT THIS LATTER
THREAT SHOULD REMAIN LOW...A TORNADO WATCH IS NOT EXPECTED...THOUGH
LOW SEVERE WIND AND TORNADO PROBABILITIES WILL REMAIN IN THE DAY 1
CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK.

AT 1515Z...VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS
INDICATED THE REMNANT CENTER OF BONNIE WAS LOCATED IN THE VICINITY
OF THE LA/MS BORDER...OR APPROXIMATELY 20 N ASD /SLIDELL LA/.
REGIONAL RADAR IMAGERY INDICATED A FEW BANDS OF NNW-SSE ORIENTED
CONVECTION/TSTMS ALONG THE ERN PERIPHERY OF THIS SYSTEM FROM SERN MS
INTO SWRN AL/WRN FL PANHANDLE. STRONG SURFACE HEATING WITHIN RICH
BOUNDARY LAYER MOISTURE /SURFACE DEWPOINTS INTO THE UPPER 70S/ IS
SUPPORTING MODERATE INSTABILITY /MLCAPE 1500-2500 J PER KG/ THUS
FAR. THIS COMBINED WITH EFFECTIVE BULK SHEAR 25-30 KT SUGGESTS
ACTIVITY SHOULD NOT BECOME TOO ORGANIZED.

STORM RELATIVE VELOCITY DATA PER REGIONAL RADARS INDICATED WEAK
ROTATIONAL COUPLETS ATTENDANT TO EMBEDDED TSTMS IN THE BANDS OVER
SERN MS AND SWRN AL. OBJECTIVE ANALYSES INDICATED WEAK LOW LEVEL
SHEAR /SURFACE-1 KM AROUND 10 KT/ WHICH WOULD SUGGEST ANY TORNADO
POTENTIAL SHOULD REMAIN LOW.

..PETERS.. 07/25/2010


ATTN...WFO...MOB...JAN...LIX...

LAT...LON 30048931 30808976 31319020 31898975 31688863 31608772
30948738 30178721 30048931

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