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Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
08-23-2010, 12:57 PM
Post: #11
Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
:icon_whis:musical_note:People all over the world...
Join hands
Start a wave train, wave train:musical_note:
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08-23-2010, 01:31 PM
Post: #12
Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
[Image: ROjbXubV4BAEA]

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08-23-2010, 03:53 PM
Post: #13
Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
[Image: modelmap.php?year=2010&r=NT&even...,CLP5,LBAR]

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08-23-2010, 04:23 PM
Post: #14
Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
JB

Quote:HAS THE NAMING FRENZY BEGUN?

With Danielle, in spite of its recurvature being named, Earl to be named following Danielle, a pattern that favors the threat of in-close development, and probably another African wave after Earl, it will be interesting to see if this is the start of a period where there are very few days when no storms are on the map. The MJO certainly looks like it will grow more favorable, heading right toward the prime octants where Atlantic Basin storms love to develop.

While the GFS hints at development in the western Gulf before the week is out, the day 15 is wild. The combination of Danielle and Earl is stalled in the Atlantic east of Bermuda. A homegrown storm is heading into the mid-Atlantic states after developing east of the South Carolina coast, and there is a hurricane in the western Caribbean. The point here is the model, just like it was starting to hear the parade before you saw the band for this week, is seeing the whole pot start to boil over. The key is the change in the pressure field between 40 and 50 north due to the ridging that develops in the means over the Great Lakes and Northeast. This incubates the tropics... and allows things to cook.

It is interesting to note that once the cooling started to take place in the northern areas, the hurricane season began show up. It will be interesting to see if an Atlantic Basin 30-day ACE can be challenged given this pattern that is evolving. Remember the southeast Pacific broke their June ACE HIGH SIDE RECORD and the pattern has always pointed to the Atlantic Basin for the height of the season.

Thanks for reading. Ciao for now

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08-23-2010, 04:35 PM
Post: #15
Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
Will the hurricane we have now force this mess in a different direction???
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08-23-2010, 06:04 PM
Post: #16
Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
[Image: danger_atl_latestBW.gif]

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08-23-2010, 06:37 PM
Post: #17
Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
60%

Quote:Atlantic Graphical TWO Area 1 closeup

[Image: atl1.gif] Return to Atlantic Graphical TWO 1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE ASSOCIATED WITH A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED
ABOUT 350 MILES SOUTHEAST OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS CONTINUES TO
SHOW SIGNS OF ORGANIZATION. THIS SYSTEM COULD BECOME A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO AS IT MOVES WESTWARD OR
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT ABOUT 15 MPH. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...60
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

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08-23-2010, 06:50 PM
Post: #18
Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
[INDENT] [Image: storm_96.gif] [/INDENT]

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08-23-2010, 08:57 PM
Post: #19
Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
[Image: at201096_model.gif]

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08-23-2010, 09:40 PM
Post: #20
Tropical Storm EARL Post#1 has all the graphics
So... Why is this one going to eventually head north as well? Is this some sort of weather pattern that will be in place for some time?
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