TROPICAL STORM DON Updated Graphics in Post #1

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models should be out very soon

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http://www.hardcoreweather.com/blog.php

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models

Quote:WHXX01 KWBC 221226

CHGHUR

TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE MESSAGE

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL

1226 UTC FRI JUL 22 2011



DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.

PLEASE REFER TO NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

AND SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE INFORMATION.



ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR



DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902011) 20110722 0600 UTC



...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS. .. ...36 HRS...

110722 0600 110722 1800 110723 0600 110723 1800



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMS 13.5N 53.1W 14.5N 56.2W 15.4N 59.4W 16.6N 62.8W

BAMD 13.5N 53.1W 14.4N 56.4W 15.3N 59.5W 16.0N 62.4W

BAMM 13.5N 53.1W 14.4N 56.3W 15.1N 59.5W 15.8N 62.7W

LBAR 13.5N 53.1W 14.2N 56.3W 15.1N 59.9W 15.9N 63.5W

SHIP 20KTS 24KTS 29KTS 35KTS

DSHP 20KTS 24KTS 29KTS 35KTS



...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS. .. ..120 HRS...

110724 0600 110725 0600 110726 0600 110727 0600



LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON

BAMS 17.9N 66.2W 20.5N 72.6W 22.4N 76.7W 24.1N 78.7W

BAMD 16.7N 65.1W 18.4N 69.7W 20.4N 72.4W 22.5N 74.3W

BAMM 16.7N 65.9W 18.7N 71.5W 20.2N 75.4W 21.4N 78.2W

LBAR 16.6N 66.8W 17.8N 72.1W 19.2N 76.3W .0N .0W

SHIP 42KTS 54KTS 61KTS 64KTS

DSHP 42KTS 39KTS 36KTS 29KTS



...INITIAL CONDITIONS...

LATCUR = 13.5N LONCUR = 53.1W DIRCUR = 285DEG SPDCUR = 16KT

LATM12 = 12.8N LONM12 = 49.8W DIRM12 = 285DEG SPDM12 = 16KT

LATM24 = 11.8N LONM24 = 46.8W

WNDCUR = 20KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 20KT

CENPRS = 1012MB OUTPRS = 1014MB OUTRAD = 225NM SDEPTH = S

RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM



$$

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Possible recon set for Sunday

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[jackkip]

so is this going to be a GOM storm? Or go up the East coast? What is everyone's thoughts?

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