TROPICAL STORM DON Updated Graphics in Post #1

[TexasRiverRat]

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-vis.html

IR AVN

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-avn.html

IR Shortwave

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-ir2.html

IR Dvorak

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-bd.html

IR Unenhanced

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-ir4.html

IR JSL

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-jsl.html

IR RGB

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-rgb.html
IR Funktop

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-ft.html

IR Rainbow

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http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-rb.html

Water Vapor

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[url="http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-wv.html"]http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/flash-wv.html









Radar reload for updates




Animated radar so far

http://flhurricane.com/imageanimator.php?106
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Should get a code yellow later today

[dkmac]

Rob Lightbown:

Quote:Tropical Wave In The Central Atlantic:
A tropical wave in the central Atlantic that I have been tracking over the last few days lacks convection this morning. The reason for this is because the dry, dusty Saharan Air Layer is undercutting any convective development. Even with that, I think the chances are quite good that this dry air will mix itself out once it gets close to the northern Leeward Islands on Saturday. Once this dry air is mixed out, I think we will see this tropical wave consolidate and strengthen into an area of low pressure by late this weekend and early next week as it approaches the southeastern Bahamas.
The global model guidance have backed way off on forecasting tropical development from this tropical wave. Even with this, the pattern is such next week that could favor a tropical disturbance tracking westward underneath a large ridge of high pressure and strengthening due to favorable environmental conditions. For now, this is a tropical wave that needs to be watched closely and there is a fairly good chance that it may never develop into a tropical cyclone; however, with that said, there is also just as equal of a chance that this system could be a real problem next week in terms of developing into a tropical cyclone. I will be keeping a close eye on this tropical wave and will keep you all updated on the latest.
Central/Eastern Atlantic Satellite Image:

The next tropical weather discussion will be issued by 7 am EDT/6 am CDT Friday morning.

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Quote:1. A TROPICAL WAVE LOCATED ABOUT 750 MILES EAST OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS IS PRODUCING DISORGANIZED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY. SOME SLOW DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

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Recon

Quote:ATLANTIC REQUIREMENTS
1. NEGATIVE RECONNAISSANCE REQUIREMENTS.
2. OUTLOOK FOR SUCCEEDING DAY.....NEGATIVE.
3. ADDITIONAL DAY OUTLOOK: POSSIBLE LOW
LEVEL INVEST AT 24/1800Z NEAR 21.0N 69.0W.

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