HURRICANE KATIA

[Llarion]

Kelly_Jernigan Wrote:Don't start with that, we said the last one was going in the gulf and it started to turn north. The more we said gulf the more it turned. Fish??? Haha

Oh? Okay... GULFGULFGULFGULFGULFGULFGULFGULF!

[torrea2]

Cat 3
GFS Models

http://img143.imageshack.us/img143/3677/uv900atl49.png

[torrea2]

Pontencial to Florida???

http://img199.imageshack.us/img199/3145/ec850uva20.png

[Natronic]

grammie Wrote:So Natronic ... you think this is going to be "our" GOM storm? When?

Waaaaaaay too far out to predict it going into the gulf but it is a very low storm, right now it's just a watch the models and wait. First it has to form so the models can properly initialize on a center of circulation.

[Alex]

Since Jose was quickly used as a "filler" name, this brings us up to Katia...

Katrina - really? really? :orly: They could not have come up with a more different name?

FYI, I looked up the pronunciation and this one is pronounced KAH-tyah.

[Smitter]

"Rob LightBown"

Quote:"Invest 92L In The Eastern Atlantic:
We may have a little bit of time to catch our breath before we have our next potential system threatening land. This next threat looks to potentially stem from Invest 92L now located over the far eastern Atlantic ocean southeast of the Cape Verde Islands. Environmental conditions are very favorable for development and we may have our next tropical depression or tropical storm by Tuesday or Wednesday.
All of the global model guidance, including the GFS and European model guidance, are forecasting this to be a potentially significant hurricane down the road. The European model, in particular, has been pointing to that Invest 92L will track west-northwestward across the Atlantic as a ridge of high pressure strengthens over the next week to ten days. The GFS model forecasts 92L to curve out into the Atlantic. Given the fact that the NAO forecast is for it to be neutral to slightly positive, I am leaning towards a stronger ridge of high pressure and for 92L to track fairly far west much like what the European model is forecasting.
It should be noted that the European model is forecasting 92L to be a powerful hurricane just east of the Bahamas 10 days from now with a ridge of high pressure pushing it west-northwestward and this is a forecast that I agree with given the overall pattern that is forecast over the next couple of weeks.
So, I do think Invest 92L will develop into a tropical depression or a tropical storm over the next couple of days or so and I will be monitoring it very closely.
10 Day European Model Forecast (Tuesday, September 6):"

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[Joe-Nathan]

IF you put the [img] around your image then we can all see it:

torrea2 Wrote:Pontencial to Florida???

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171 Hours

[richardginn]

Yep too early to tell.