Post Reply 
T.D. LEE
08-29-2011, 02:27 PM
Post: #21
T.D. LEE
Well that just figures, lol. We haven't had any real rain, and the first weekend we have plans (Kid Rock at an outdoor theatre) here it comes. Oh well.

[Image: flag_texas_with_longhorn.gif] [Image: 53447487.jpg]
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-29-2011, 02:49 PM
Post: #22
T.D. LEE
Joe-Nathan Wrote:That will screw up a lot of Dove hunts this weekend.

No loss here. Three weeks ago we had doves everywhere around the house and then they vanished. Saw a bunch along the levee from Kotz Springs to Simmsport this past Saturday.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-29-2011, 04:42 PM
Post: #23
T.D. LEE
grammie Wrote:I hope you're right! We'd trade a messed-up Labor Day week-end for rain.

I would trade my weekend for it. It has been so long since we had rain we would probably be out partying in it!

[FONT="Arial Black"]Jackie[/FONT]
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-29-2011, 04:49 PM
Post: #24
T.D. LEE
Joe-Nathan Wrote:That will screw up a lot of Dove hunts this weekend.

Damn Joe,ya beat me to it! It never failed when I lived in Texas to wash out promising dove fields on opening day. Hunted many a day in the mud,birds or no birds. It was TRADITION!!!!
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-29-2011, 04:50 PM
Post: #25
T.D. LEE
Look like I got to try to beat another storm beat Irene to Pa now look like I got to cut my visit and come back wed instead of Friday before Houston get jacked up

Retired from ASA now for some real flying
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-29-2011, 05:04 PM
Post: #26
T.D. LEE
[Image: fg2mO.jpg]

Twitter updates we will follow you back
http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather
Now on Facebook We will like you back
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall


Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-29-2011, 05:23 PM
Post: #27
T.D. LEE
So are the models going to start shifting this eastward towards Florida's way?

I love watching the GOM Rigs scramble when these storms just pop up.

Trained Weather Spotter
CoCoRaHS Volunteer
https://www.instagram.com/bostickjm
https://twitter.com/BostickJM
http://www.livechasers.com/JonathanBostick
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-29-2011, 06:05 PM
Post: #28
T.D. LEE
LIX

Quote:LONG TERM... MODELS SHOW TROUGHING ALONG THE EASTERN SEABOARD TAHT MAY BRING A FRONT INTO THE GULF STATES LATE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. A TIGHTENING OF THE GRADIENT MAY BRING A MODERATE TO STRONG EASTERLY FLOW IN TIME TO RAISE CONCERNS FOR HIGH TIDES AND COASTAL IMPACTS. MODELS INDICATE LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT THAT MAY BE OF HYBRID TROPICAL AND BAROCLINIC STRUCTURES TO ASSIST IN TIGHTENING THE GRADIENT. SOME OF THIS APPEARS TO BE TELECONNECTION RESPONSE TO POTENTIAL T.D. 12 /KATIA/ INTENSIFICATION AS DEPICTED IN THE LONG RANGE TIME STEPS OFF THE U.S. EASTERN SEABOARD. THE PATTERN WOULD GENERALLY FAVOR LOW PRESSURE DEVELOPMENT IN THE WEST GULF BUT VERTICAL SHEAR MAY BE A LIMITING FACTOR.

Twitter updates we will follow you back
http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather
Now on Facebook We will like you back
http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall


Visit this user's website Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-29-2011, 06:07 PM
Post: #29
T.D. LEE
hmm...
Quote:NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
340 PM CDT MON AUG 29 2011

.DISCUSSION...
MAY SEE SOME ISOLATED PRECIP DURING THE LATE AFTN/EVNG HOURS AS
REMNANTS OF THE SWD MOVING SHORTWAVE TREK ACROSS DURING PEAK
HEATING.

THRU MIDWEEK: TEMPS WILL "MODERATE" THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS MEANING
THEY WILL APPROACH RECORDS RATHER THAN COMPLETELY SHATTER THEM AS
A MORE PREVALENT ONSHORE FLOW RESUMES. UPPER RIDGE SHOULD FLATTEN
AND EXPAND EWD THRU MIDWEEK ALLOWING THE TROFFINESS IN THE
CARIBBEAN TO SLIDE ACROSS THE YUCATAN INTO THE WESTERN GULF DURING
THE SECOND HALF OF THE WEEK.

OTHERWISE...CAME IN TODAY EXPECTING ANOTHER SOMEWHAT ROUTINE
FCST...BUT THINGS ARE TURNING OUT DIFFERENTLY. PRIOR TO TODAY...THOUGHT
WAS THAT SURGE OF DEEPER GULF MOISTURE WOULD SLIDE INTO THE REGION
THURS MORNING (WHICH STILL LOOKS TO BE THE CASE) AND UPPER
WEAKNESS TAKES SHAPE OVER CNTL/ERN TX THROUGH THE WEEKEND (NOW
QUESTIONABLE AS TO THE POSITIONS). MODELS ARE NOW HINTING AT
VARIOUS FORMS OF SFC CIRCULATIONS DEVELOPING BETWEEN THURS INTO
NEXT WEEK BENEATH THE H5 LOW. MOST SHOW THIS/THESE FEATURES
WAFFLING OFF THE COAST FOR SEVERAL DAYS AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK WITH
SOME SHOWING IT STRENGTHENING TO A HIGHER END TS. WOULD GENERALLY DISMISS
THIS IF IT WERE JUST AN INDIVIDUAL MODEL...BUT ALL SEEM TO BE HINTING
AT SOME SORT OF POTENTIAL DEVELOPMENT (GFS, ECMWF, NOGAPS, CANADIAN).
BUT NONE ARE HINTING AT A PREFERRED TIME FRAME NOR LOCATION WHICH
IS UNDERSTANDABLE THIS FAR OUT. FWIW - GFS AND ECMWF DO MOSTLY KEEP
WHATEVER DEVELOPS OFFSHORE AND ALSO PUSHES A FRONT OFF THE COAST
EARLY NEXT WEEK. SO...JUST SOMETHING THE WATCH IN THE DAYS TO
COME.

THIS WOULD OBVIOUSLY EFFECT RAIN CHANCES ACROSS SE TX. SHOULD SOMETHING
ACTUALLY BECOME ORGANIZED LATER IN THE WEEK OR WEEKEND...IT WOULD
TEND TO CONFINE THE HIGHER CHANCES NEAR THE COAST AND OFFSHORE RATHER
THAN BEING AN EQUAL OPPORTUNITY EVERYWHERE AS EARLIER THOUGHT.
THINK THE BEST COURSE OF ACTION RIGHT NOW IS TO JUST SLIGHTLY TRIM
POPS BACK ACROSS N/NW AREAS BUT LEAVE THE REST OF THE FCST AS IS
AND HOPEFULLY WAIT FOR BETTER GUIDANCE. 47

http://www.facebook.com/william.stegall
/toast
KF5GWM
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
08-29-2011, 06:46 PM
Post: #30
T.D. LEE
Some of the marine forecasts I look at a couple of days ago had 4-6' seas just off the TX coast by Thursday this week, they've now moved that out a little to 6' seas on Saturday and 7' on Sunday.
Find all posts by this user
Quote this message in a reply
Post Reply 


Forum Jump:


User(s) browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)