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HURRICANE MICHAEL
09-02-2012, 06:04 AM
Post: #1
HURRICANE MICHAEL
[Image: at201299_model.gif]

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09-03-2012, 08:45 AM
Post: #2
HURRICANE MICHAEL
Well at least none of them have it going SW!
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09-03-2012, 05:41 PM
Post: #3
HURRICANE MICHAEL
............................

Retired from ASA now for some real flying
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09-03-2012, 06:34 PM
Post: #4
HURRICANE MICHAEL
Quote:000
WTNT33 KNHC 032059
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
500 PM EDT MON SEP 03 2012

...SMALL TROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 42.2W
ABOUT 1350 MI...2170 KM WNW OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.88 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION
THIRTEEN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.2 WEST.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H.
A SLOW NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND TUESDAY...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS FORECAST ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO AND THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY TUESDAY.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 PM EDT.


...

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09-04-2012, 11:17 AM
Post: #5
HURRICANE MICHAEL
Quote:000
WTNT33 KNHC 041436
TCPAT3

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
1100 AM AST TUE SEP 04 2012

...TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL FORMS IN THE EASTERN ATLANTIC...
...MICHAEL POSES NO THREAT TO LAND...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...27.0N 43.5W
ABOUT 1220 MI...1965 KM SW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 340 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1006 MB...29.71 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN
INTENSIFIED AND BECAME TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL. AT 1100 AM
AST...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF NEWLY-FORMED TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 43.5 WEST. MICHAEL
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H. A GENERAL
SLOW NORTHWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT TWO
DAYS...KEEPING THE CYCLONE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC WATERS.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1006 MB...29.71 INCHES.

HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
NONE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM AST.

$$
FORECASTER AVILA

...
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09-06-2012, 12:21 AM
Post: #6
HURRICANE MICHAEL
Michael may end up being this year's first major hurricane with its RI today.

Quote:BULLETIN

HURRICANE MICHAEL SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER 12

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132012
100 AM AST THU SEP 06 2012

...MICHAEL RAPIDLY INTENSIFIES INTO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...

SUMMARY OF 100 AM AST...0500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 42.0W
ABOUT 1045 MI...1680 KM WSW OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 50 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...974 MB...28.76 INCHES

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 100 AM AST...0500 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MICHAEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 42.0 WEST. MICHAEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND A TURN TO THE
NORTH AND NORTH-NORTHWEST WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE
INCREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. MICHAEL
IS A CATEGORY TWO HURRICANE ON THE SAFFIR-SIMPSON HURRICANE WIND
SCALE. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 15 MILES...30 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70
MILES...110 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 974 MB...28.76 INCHES.

AARoads
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09-06-2012, 11:15 AM
Post: #7
HURRICANE MICHAEL
The spaghetti models look a lot like Issac's!
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09-06-2012, 11:33 AM
Post: #8
HURRICANE MICHAEL
Holy Cow..... don't count this one out yet. Michael is a powerful name and looks to be a powerful hurricane as well.

The wind shows us how close to the edge we are. ~Joan Didion

Umm yeah I dont know who that is but it sounds profound so I'm leaving it there Big Grin
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09-07-2012, 05:05 AM
Post: #9
HURRICANE MICHAEL
Interesting Michael and Leslie will be approx in the same area Wed. I wonder if a super storm could exist or what happens if one absorbed the other.
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