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TROPICAL STORM KAREN
09-29-2013, 01:33 PM
Post: #11
RE: INVEST 97L FL THREAT
2PM

Quote:Atlantic Graphical TWO Area 1 closeup












[Image: atl1.gif]
Return to Atlantic Graphical TWO
1. A LOW PRESSURE TROUGH OVER THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN
SEA CONTINUES TO PRODUCE DISORGANIZED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
SOME DEVELOPMENT OF THIS DISTURBANCE IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD...AND THIS
SYSTEM HAS A LOW CHANCE...20 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. AFTER THAT TIME...ENVIRONMENTAL
CONDITIONS COULD BECOME MORE CONDUCIVE FOR DEVELOPMENT WHEN THE
SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE
SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...40
PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS.
LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
PORTIONS OF JAMAICA AND HAITI TODAY AND MONDAY...AND GRADUALLY
SPREAD ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND EASTERN CUBA BY EARLY TUESDAY.

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09-29-2013, 03:50 PM (This post was last modified: 10-01-2013 07:07 AM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #12
RE: INVEST 97L GULFCOAST
[Image: at201397_model.gif]

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09-29-2013, 06:21 PM
Post: #13
RE: INVEST 97L FL THREAT
Roll,

The only Florida threat is the rest of the SEC.

Phil

Roll me out in the cold rain and snow ...

And brave the storm to come,
For it surely looks like rain.
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09-30-2013, 05:40 AM
Post: #14
RE: INVEST 97L FL THREAT
[Image: Dist58_image-1.jpg]

[Image: hurr_small.gif]
www.MyFloridaHurricane.Info
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09-30-2013, 07:59 AM
Post: #15
RE: INVEST 97L FL THREAT
...

Quote: [Image: atl1.gif]
Return to Atlantic Graphical TWO
1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAMAICA IS ACCOMPANIED BY SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS DISTURBANCE REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...SHOULD BE SLOW TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS A LOW
CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT WHEN THE SYSTEM MOVES
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
LATER THIS WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI AND JAMAICA TODAY...AND
WILL LIKELY SPREAD ACROSS THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND EASTERN CUBA ON
TUESDAY.

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09-30-2013, 09:57 AM (This post was last modified: 09-30-2013 10:00 AM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #16
RE: INVEST 97L FL THREAT
Really Alabamawx.com ? You couldn't be more wrong about where this one is going

Quote: TROPICS: Tropical Depression 11 formed this weekend in the middle of the
Atlantic; it could become Tropical Storm Jerry in coming days, but it
will wander around the open Atlantic and should remain far from land. A
wave in the Caribbean is being watched; this one, most likely, will move
across the Yucatan and into the Bay of Campeche this week. If something
does form there, odds are high it moves into Mexico, south of
Brownsville, Texas, like other systems this season.

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09-30-2013, 10:01 AM
Post: #17
RE: INVEST 97L FL THREAT
Jeff Masters


Forecast for 97L
Marginally favorable conditions for development are expected for the next five days, according to the latest SHIPS model forecast,
with moderate levels of wind shear (10 - 20 knots), but an atmosphere
that will grow drier as 97L approaches the Northwest Caribbean and
Southeast Gulf of Mexico. None of the reliable computer forecast models
develop 97L into a tropical depression over the next five days. These
models (the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET) predict a northwesterly track for 97L
over the next three days, bringing the center into the Yucatan Channel
between Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and Western Cuba by Thursday. On this
path, 97L will bring heavy rains of 2 - 4" to Jamaica and Southwest
Haiti on Monday, to the Cayman Islands and Central and Eastern Cuba on
Tuesday and Wednesday, and to Western Cuba and Mexico's Yucatan
Peninsula on Wednesday and Thursday. It is uncertain if 97L will then
turn northeast and affect Florida late in the week, or stay in the
Central Gulf of Mexico and head north into Louisiana. In their 8 am EDT
Monday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 97L 2-day odds of development
of 10%, and 5-day odds of 30%.
Read more at http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters/show.html#Ak3v7mXraRIVgu3
Quote:Forecast for 97L
Marginally favorable conditions for development are expected for the next five days, according to the latest SHIPS model forecast,
with moderate levels of wind shear (10 - 20 knots), but an atmosphere
that will grow drier as 97L approaches the Northwest Caribbean and
Southeast Gulf of Mexico. None of the reliable computer forecast models
develop 97L into a tropical depression over the next five days. These
models (the GFS, ECMWF, and UKMET) predict a northwesterly track for 97L
over the next three days, bringing the center into the Yucatan Channel
between Mexico's Yucatan Peninsula and Western Cuba by Thursday. On this
path, 97L will bring heavy rains of 2 - 4" to Jamaica and Southwest
Haiti on Monday, to the Cayman Islands and Central and Eastern Cuba on
Tuesday and Wednesday, and to Western Cuba and Mexico's Yucatan
Peninsula on Wednesday and Thursday. It is uncertain if 97L will then
turn northeast and affect Florida late in the week, or stay in the
Central Gulf of Mexico and head north into Louisiana. In their 8 am EDT
Monday Tropical Weather Outlook, NHC gave 97L 2-day odds of development
of 10%, and 5-day odds of 30%.
Read more at http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMas...RIVgu30.99

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09-30-2013, 10:53 AM
Post: #18
RE: INVEST 97L FL THREAT
Contact us has been fixed so if your having problems feel free to email me

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09-30-2013, 01:04 PM
Post: #19
RE: INVEST 97L FL THREAT
2PM
Quote: Atlantic Graphical TWO Area 1 closeup












[Image: atl1.gif]
Return to Atlantic Graphical TWO
1. A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE LOCATED A COUPLE OF HUNDRED MILES
SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF JAMAICA CONTINUES TO GENERATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. THIS DISTURBANCE REMAINS DISORGANIZED...AND
DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS LIKELY TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR OVER THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS WHILE IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWESTWARD. THIS SYSTEM
HAS A LOW CHANCE...10 PERCENT...OF BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE
DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE
MARGINALLY CONDUCIVE FOR SOME DEVELOPMENT WHEN THE SYSTEM MOVES
OVER THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE SOUTHERN GULF OF MEXICO
LATER THIS WEEK. THIS SYSTEM HAS A MEDIUM CHANCE...30 PERCENT...OF
BECOMING A TROPICAL CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS. LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL IS POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF HAITI AND JAMAICA TODAY...AND
WILL LIKELY SPREAD ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN CUBA AND THE CAYMAN
ISLANDS LATER TODAY AND TUESDAY.

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09-30-2013, 01:04 PM
Post: #20
RE: INVEST 97L FL THREAT
[Image: at201397_model.gif]

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