Tropical Storm Erika

[Joe-Nathan]

Miss Piggy and WC-130J are up buzzing Erika this morning:


http://www.tropicalatlantic.com/recon/

[Batt2fd]

[Joe-Nathan]

AF301 - UPDATE:


Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 26th day of the month at 12:50Z
Agency: United States Air Force
Aircraft: Lockheed WC-130J Hercules with reg. number AF96-5301
Storm Number & Year: 05 in 2015
Storm Name: Erika (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 2
Observation Number: 08

Quote:A. Time of Center Fix: 26th day of the month at 12:40:50Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 16°03'N 56°57'W (16.05N 56.95W)
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,490m (4,888ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 39kts (~ 44.9mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 18 nautical miles (21 statute miles) to the NE (47°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 114° at 42kts (From the ESE at ~ 48.3mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 60 nautical miles (69 statute miles) to the NE (46°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 1006mb (29.71 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 17°C (63°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,523m (4,997ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 19°C (66°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,524m (5,000ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp & Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Not Available
M. Eye Shape: Not Available
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigational Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile

Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 42kts (~ 48.3mph) which was observed 61 nautical miles (70 statute miles) to the NE (46°) from the flight level center at 12:21:30Z
Dropsonde Surface Wind at Center: From 280° at 9kts (From the W at 10mph)

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AND MISS PIGGY IS BUGGING OUT...

[Smitter]

Me think Erika is going to be stronger and catch many off guard in the next 48 hours. I see a storm rapidly coming together.

[Joe-Nathan]

(08-26-2015 08:21 AM)Smitter Wrote:  Me think Erika is going to be stronger and catch many off guard in the next 48 hours. I see a storm rapidly coming together.

There is a storm in painfully recent memory that did the same...so NO I'm hoping it doesn't happen AGAIN.

[OPHarbor]

The past few seasons has made many people complacent. I am trying to put the word out,here in NE Florida that this is no joke, but I think people are skeptical.

[Smitter]

(08-26-2015 08:27 AM)Joe-Nathan Wrote:  

(08-26-2015 08:21 AM)Smitter Wrote:  Me think Erika is going to be stronger and catch many off guard in the next 48 hours. I see a storm rapidly coming together.

There is a storm in painfully recent memory that did the same...so NO I'm hoping it doesn't happen AGAIN.

Yep, and I am very concerned folks are on their last vacation break not paying attention... ERIKA has a scary feeling about her.. Fla has not been hit in what 10 years by a Cane. This yr has been super Quiet... Just a potential Perfect Storm forming...

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(08-26-2015 08:48 AM)OPHarbor Wrote:  The past few seasons has made many people complacent. I am trying to put the word out,here in NE Florida that this is no joke, but I think people are skeptical.

AGREE!!! I have Friends in Vero Beach i already Alerted just in case.

[jess]

Erica is affecting a large area of ocean, and approaching warmer water.

[miamilisa]

(08-26-2015 04:16 AM)Smitter Wrote:  No posts in the last 8 hours? With a possible Fla Landfall as a Cat2+

No one here ( I am in South Florida) is even talking about it. The newscasters are trying to play it cool.

[Smitter]

(08-26-2015 09:48 AM)miamilisa Wrote:  

(08-26-2015 04:16 AM)Smitter Wrote:  No posts in the last 8 hours? With a possible Fla Landfall as a Cat2+

No one here ( I am in South Florida) is even talking about it. The newscasters are trying to play it cool.

Interesting... There is enough of the Models pointing at FLA that you would think at least it would be mentioned so folks could start preparing if they wanted to and did not know about Erika yet.... This is exactly how and why the misinformed prepare last minute... Erika could be a Cat5 or dissipate Anything could happen....