HURRICANE IRMA
|
08-31-2017, 02:56 PM
(This post was last modified: 08-31-2017 02:59 PM by Alabamaboy.)
Post: #31
|
|||
|
|||
RE: HURRICANE IRMA
(08-31-2017 02:40 PM)SiStAtWiStA Wrote: Discussion on NHC states that the central Atlantic high will build in to the north of Irma and cause her to continue moving in the west-southwest motion longer than the initial forecast. This was has me VERY worried... if she gets into the Gulf - I don't even want to think about it!The ECM has it coming south of Fla into the GOM as a cat 5 UW - CIMSS ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ADT-Version 8.2.1 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm ----- Current Analysis ----- Date : 31 AUG 2017 Time : 191500 UTC Lat : 17:08:39 N Lon : 34:35:50 W CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 5.2 / 965.4mb/ 94.8kt Final T# Adj T# Raw T# 4.9 4.3 4.9 Center Temp : -48.9C Cloud Region Temp : -61.4C Scene Type : UNIFORM CDO CLOUD REGION Positioning Method : SPIRAL ANALYSIS Ocean Basin : ATLANTIC Dvorak CI > MSLP Conversion Used : CKZ Method Tno/CI Rules : Constraint Limits : 2.2T/24hr Weakening Flag : ON Rapid Dissipation Flag : OFF C/K/Z MSLP Estimate Inputs : - Average 34 knot radii : N/A - Environmental MSLP : 1012mb Satellite Name : MSG3 Satellite Viewing Angle : 44.1 degrees Retired from ASA now for some real flying |
|||
08-31-2017, 04:08 PM
Post: #32
|
|||
|
|||
RE: HURRICANE IRMA
She is now a 3??????
Quis custodiet ipsos custodes? "Don't believe them, don't fear them, don't ask anything of them." ~Alexander Solzhenitsyn |
|||
08-31-2017, 04:43 PM
(This post was last modified: 08-31-2017 04:46 PM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #33
|
|||
|
|||
RE: HURRICANE IRMA
(08-31-2017 12:36 PM)Squirrelmonkey Wrote: nope......... this one needs to start re-curving I have lots of model links .... Wait you were talking about Tropical models Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
|||
08-31-2017, 04:51 PM
Post: #34
|
|||
|
|||
RE: HURRICANE IRMA
Come and play our NCAA pickem contest !!
http://hardcoreweather.com/thread-26446-...#pid332299 Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
|||
08-31-2017, 05:09 PM
(This post was last modified: 08-31-2017 05:10 PM by Her-icane.)
Post: #35
|
|||
|
|||
RE: HURRICANE IRMA
000
WTNT31 KNHC 312031 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 6 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 500 PM AST Thu Aug 31 2017 ...IRMA BECOMES A CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE OVER THE EASTERN ATLANTIC... SUMMARY OF 500 PM AST...2100 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.3N 34.8W ABOUT 720 MI...1160 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1780 MI...2865 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 290 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 PM AST (2100 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 17.3 North, longitude 34.8 West. Irma is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). This motion is expected to continue today, followed by a westward turn on Saturday, and a west-southwestward motion by Sunday. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength, both up and down, are possible, but Irma is expected to remain a powerful hurricane for several days. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 80 miles (130 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST. $$ Forecaster Blake |
|||
08-31-2017, 06:13 PM
Post: #36
|
|||
|
|||
RE: HURRICANE IRMA
![]() |
|||
08-31-2017, 09:16 PM
(This post was last modified: 08-31-2017 09:50 PM by Her-icane.)
Post: #37
|
|||
|
|||
RE: HURRICANE IRMA
TNT02 KNGU 312100
SUBJ: HURRICANE IRMA (11L) WARNING NR 006 1. HURRICANE IRMA (11L) WARNING NR 006 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 311800Z --- NEAR 17.1N 34.3W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 290 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 120 KT REPEAT POSIT: 17.1N 34.3W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010600Z --- 17.8N 36.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021800Z --- 17.9N 42.9W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 255 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031800Z --- 16.8N 47.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 11 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 041800Z --- 16.0N 52.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 11 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 051800Z --- 16.5N 56.5W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT --- REMARKS: 312100Z POSITION NEAR 17.3N 34.8W. HURRICANE IRMA (11L) IS LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 634 NM WEST OF CAPE VERDE AMD HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. 12FT SEAS: 90NM NE, 60NM SE, 30NM SW, 60NM NW MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 010300Z, 010900Z, 011500Z AND 012100Z.// BT NNNN 000 WTNT31 KNHC 010239 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 7 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 1100 PM AST Thu Aug 31 2017 ...RAPID INTENSIFICATION OF IRMA ENDS FOR NOW... SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION ----------------------------------------------- LOCATION...17.8N 35.6W ABOUT 775 MI...1250 KM W OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1725 MI...2775 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 17.8 North, longitude 35.6 West. Irma is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected on Friday, followed by a turn toward the west-southwest on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength, up or down, are possible during the next several days, but Irma is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Zelinsky |
|||
09-01-2017, 12:30 AM
(This post was last modified: 09-01-2017 12:35 AM by Her-icane.)
Post: #38
|
|||
|
|||
RE: HURRICANE IRMA
![]() ![]() |
|||
09-01-2017, 06:55 AM
(This post was last modified: 09-01-2017 07:02 AM by Her-icane.)
Post: #39
|
|||
|
|||
RE: HURRICANE IRMA
000
WTNT31 KNHC 010844 TCPAT1 BULLETIN Hurricane Irma Advisory Number 8 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL112017 500 AM AST Fri Sep 01 2017 ...IRMA HOLDING STEADY WITH 115-MPH WINDS... SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...18.2N 36.5W ABOUT 840 MI...1350 KM WNW OF THE CABO VERDE ISLANDS ABOUT 1665 MI...2680 KM E OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115 MPH...185 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...967 MB...28.56 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK ------------------------------ At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Irma was located near latitude 18.2 North, longitude 36.5 West. Irma is moving toward the west-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h). A turn toward the west is expected by tonight, followed by a turn toward the west-southwest on Saturday. Maximum sustained winds remain near 115 mph (185 km/h) with higher gusts. Irma is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Fluctuations in strength, up or down, are possible during the next few days, but Irma is expected to remain a powerful hurricane through the weekend. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 90 miles (150 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 967 mb (28.56 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST. $$ Forecaster Cangialosi ![]() ![]() |
|||
09-01-2017, 08:36 AM
Post: #40
|
|||
|
|||
RE: HURRICANE IRMA
Twitter updates we will follow you back http://twitter.com/Hardcoreweather Now on Facebook We will like you back http://www.facebook.com/pages/Hardcorewe...466?v=wall |
|||
« Next Oldest | Next Newest »
|
User(s) browsing this thread: 1 Guest(s)