Threaded Mode | Linear Mode

mike18xx · 09-23-2005, 12:55 AM

soonermeteor Wrote:ive heard a lot of discussion of "eddie avoidment". Hurricanes tend to want to avoid cold eddies...

The way this works is that, as inflow winds pour in from all sides, those that pass over warmer water are more likely to generate extraneous convection -- and lower pressure in those areas. The core of the storm, of course, will move in the direct of net lowest pressure. This means that, in a regime of light steering winds, the center will tend to pull toward warmer waters. The southwest movement of Katrina over Florida (toward its extremely active southern feeder) is an example of the phenomena.

TerraMom · 09-23-2005, 01:03 AM

I noticed that Rita is still moving WNW and not NW yet. I'm glad that they are trying to get SWLA prepared because they will be on the dirty side. But I have people who cannot get out of Houston and some are convinced that the storm is going into central LA and all the will experience are some gusty winds and rain.

If she going to turn, I wish she would hurry up and do so. She really needs to head toward Cameron real soon. Sorry, Louisiana, but the idea of a Cat 4 heading straight for Galveston Bay and all of those refineries in TX City, should give everyone heartburn.

itz5o4tony · 09-23-2005, 01:10 AM

TerraMom Wrote:I noticed that Rita is still moving WNW and not NW yet. I'm glad that they are trying to get SWLA prepared because they will be on the dirty side. But I have people who cannot get out of Houston and some are convinced that the storm is going into central LA and all the will experience are some gusty winds and rain.

If she going to turn, I wish she would hurry up and do so. She really needs to head toward Cameron real soon. Sorry, Louisiana, but the idea of a Cat 4 heading straight for Galveston Bay and all of those refineries in TX City, should give everyone heartburn.

Most people in Lafayette havent even evacuated. I came home awhile ago frmo a friends hosue and on our way home, not that many places boarded up, unlike texas. Almost everyone is gone and prepaired....if it hit us, more lives will be lost because most people thought its going to hit galveston because of stupid TWC.

mike18xx · 09-23-2005, 01:10 AM

Quote:
Quote:Looks like a big-eye annular hurricane is shaping up here....
How do you figure?

Well, there's the new, giant eye forming up on satellite -- that kinda tipped me off.

itz5o4tony · 09-23-2005, 01:32 AM

mike18xx Wrote:Well, there's the new, giant eye forming up on satellite -- that kinda tipped me off.

Which satellite picture?

soonermeteor · 09-23-2005, 01:59 AM

She looks kinda, how would you say it about a hurricane, uhhh, atmosphericaly challenged right now? Her eye is stretched out, ragged, and wobbling back and forth.

mike18xx · 09-23-2005, 02:26 AM

Agreed: She's looking pretty junky post-eclipse...looks like a cat-3.

What a backwards hurricane -- strengthens in the day and weakens at night!

Alabamaboy · 09-23-2005, 02:38 AM

Here are the latest model runs as of 23/06Z

itz5o4tony · 09-23-2005, 02:45 AM

When is it going to take that WNW jog? Im still seeing a NW movement....=\

mike18xx · 09-23-2005, 02:46 AM

itz5o4tony Wrote:Which satellite picture?

http://www.ghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html