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itz5o4tony · 09-23-2005, 07:37 AM

From Brad over at wwl forums
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A coupld of things I'm, sticking with landfall near Lake Charles, for sure on the La side of the Tx/La state line.

Couple of notes I can see why this thing will stall, after landfall. the trough which is helping to steer Rita North may casue a slight jog to the East right before landfall, which I fully expect. The move on and she'll get trap under the ridge.The good news here is that trough should also allo some Southwesternly shear to slightly weakend the storm.

Intensity should be 120-130mph at landfall. Surge postential in Cameron Parish will be close to 20 feet!

SELA should worry abut heavy rain and the tornado threat. There will be a tornado watch issue this afternoon.

Not many changes to my previous thinking, if some come I"ll post when I can, but since I'm on WWL now you can watch for the latest updates. I'll be honest on-air like I am with everyone on this forum.

Stay safe!!

Brad
_________________
Brad Panovich
Meteorologist
WCNC & WWL TV
Charlotte, NC and New Orleans, LA

LI Phil · 09-23-2005, 07:46 AM

what's going on with that bus explosion? i just heard 20 evacuees were killed Sad

... elderly evacuees too...

The Bug · 09-23-2005, 07:50 AM

I don't know. I did hear about it but it sounded like it overheated and then exploded - that source was my local radio station in Tampa so what do they know? I am sure we will be hearing more as the day goes by.

Classic Rocker · 09-23-2005, 07:51 AM

Oh God... pray for their souls... yes it is true. I am in Dallas....

snagdabiskit · 09-23-2005, 08:01 AM

Sounds like a number of the evacuees on the bus were on O2 systems for emphysema & that caused the fire to rapidly spread, leading to the explosion.

It's sad that the evacuation chaos in TX could lead to more casualties than the storm in that area for the moment.

LI Phil · 09-23-2005, 08:07 AM

33 nautical mile wide eye...400 mile diameter...new orleans under ts warnings...

cat iv

look out

itz5o4tony · 09-23-2005, 08:08 AM

So you think it'll make landfall as a cat. 4?

LI Phil · 09-23-2005, 08:13 AM

i hope not...but i am only "reporting" what i am seeing now... Sad

Little wind · (This post was last modified: 09-23-2005 08:18 AM by Little wind.)

Here is a link for live hurricane streaming as it happens if anyone wants up close and personal viewing. http://www.Hurricanelivenet.com/ Sorry I didn't realize it isw a paypal site---I am not advertizing!!! There is a link to hurricane track .com which may or may not be informative to all. :Blue

adunifon · 09-23-2005, 08:31 AM

new user here...looking at the WV loop, the eye appears to be collapsing...is this another ERC, or is the storm slightly weakening?

Additionally, how long does an ERC usually take?

Thanks!