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08-31-2006, 04:47 PM
Post: #1231
TD Ernesto main thread
This is my first post on this site. I find the info very informative. I live in Brunswick County, NC. We have had a lot of rain today and the wind is picking up. Hope we don't lose power but probably will. Keep me informed of any new info on the strorm.
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08-31-2006, 05:03 PM
Post: #1232
TD Ernesto main thread
How fun! the BAMS model has Ernesto paying me a little visit. I was going to be going to a BBQ sunday! Sad
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08-31-2006, 05:09 PM
Post: #1233
TD Ernesto main thread
Just to let people know who may be in the path:

WFUS52 KMHX 312201
TORMHX
NCC031-312245-
/O.NEW.KMHX.TO.W.0025.060831T2159Z-060831T2245Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
559 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN NEWPORT
HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CARTERET COUNTY IN EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 645 PM EDT

* AT 555 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO 8 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF BEAUFORT...MOVING NORTHWEST AT 20 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS EXPECTED TO BE NEAR...
ATLANTIC BEACH AROUND 620 PM EDT...
MOREHEAD CITY AROUND 625 PM EDT
PINE KNOLL SHORES AROUND 630 PM EDT...
NEWPORT AROUND 645 PM EDT...

IF NO BASEMENT IS AVAILABLE...SEEK SHELTER ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF THE
BUILDING IN AN INTERIOR HALLWAY OR ROOM SUCH AS A CLOSET. USE
BLANKETS OR PILLOWS TO COVER YOUR BODY AND ALWAYS STAY AWAY FROM
WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE IN A MOBILE HOME OR VEHICLE...EVACUATE THEM AND
GET INSIDE A SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER.

PLEASE REPORT SEVERE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BY
CALLING TOLL FREE...1-800-889-6889...WHEN YOU CAN DO SO SAFELY.

LAT...LON 3451 7657 3468 7647 3485 7688 3470 7704

$$

26
--------------------------------------------------------------------------

WFUS52 KILM 312205
TORILM
NCC019-312230-
/O.NEW.KILM.TO.W.0014.060831T2204Z-060831T2230Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
604 PM EDT THU AUG 31 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON NC HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
BRUNSWICK COUNTY IN SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT

* AT 558 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED
A STORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A TORNADO NEAR BOILING SPRING
LAKES...OR ABOUT 8 MILES NORTHEAST OF LONG BEACH...MOVING WEST AT
40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO IS WILL BE NEAR...
SUPPLY BY 615 PM...
SHALLOTTE BY 620 PM...

IF IN MOBILE HOMES OR VEHICLES...EVACUATE THEM AND GET INSIDE A
SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER. IF NO SHELTER IS AVAILABLE...LIE FLAT IN THE
NEAREST DITCH OR OTHER LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

IF YOU OBSERVED SEVERE WEATHER OR WEATHER RELATED DAMAGE...REPORT IT
TO THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY AND ASK THEM TO RELAY THE
REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN WILMINGTON
NC.

LAT...LON 3390 7799 3407 7792 3421 7827 3415 7849
3400 7860

$$

CRM


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08-31-2006, 05:17 PM
Post: #1234
TD Ernesto main thread
Looks like I may be getting the first affects of Ernesto here in about another hour or so!

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08-31-2006, 05:19 PM
Post: #1235
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08-31-2006, 05:35 PM
Post: #1236
TD Ernesto main thread
Looks like Ernesto might be a cat.1 hurricane when it makes landfall. just 5 mph off from being a cat. 1. I heard the meterologist say even if it does strengthen they don't think it will increase in winds then what they have already determined. This don't make no sense. It seems if Ernesto gets stronger then of course the winds are going to be more. Maybe I just heard him wrong. In any case I know I'm going to lose power. I need to get two more flashlights. Its going to be rainy & windy. More like a total mess.

Waves are crashing against your boat, the lightening strikes and the rain falls. 'The winds begin to blow tossing your boat to and fro. When suddenly you awake knowing it was just a dream. Windy
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08-31-2006, 05:45 PM
Post: #1237
TD Ernesto main thread
Quote:In any case I know I'm going to lose power.

Not necessarily. A Cat 1 isn't a whole lot different from a thunderstorm, it just lasts a little longer. Last year, I was about a hundred miles from Rita's landfall, on the east side and we didn't even blink. At peak, we were getting strong Cat 1/weak Cat 2 winds. You may lose power for a little while but you won't get any substantial grid damage. Don't sweat it.

With that said.... If you have trees leaning towards your home, stay away from that part of your home. A lot of rain and a bit of sustained wind can blow blow em over. Other than that, don't sweat it.
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08-31-2006, 05:49 PM
Post: #1238
TD Ernesto main thread
attyeddy Wrote:Not necessarily. A Cat 1 isn't a whole lot different from a thunderstorm, it just lasts a little longer. Last year, I was about a hundred miles from Rita's landfall, on the east side and we didn't even blink. At peak, we were getting strong Cat 1/weak Cat 2 winds. You may lose power for a little while but you won't get any substantial grid damage. Don't sweat it.

Were you in Lafayette during Rita?
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08-31-2006, 05:51 PM
Post: #1239
TD Ernesto main thread
When Hurricane Danny parked over my house for 24 hours we lost power and didn't get it back for 5 days. A little more than an afternoon thunderstorm . 31 inches of rain is what was in my weather station

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08-31-2006, 05:59 PM
Post: #1240
TD Ernesto main thread
A weak Category 1 Hurricane and a strong Tropical Storm isn't much of a difference. If they were to find winds substantial enough for Ernesto to be upgraded to a Cat 1, they'd be positioned in a small area or cell only 1 to 2 miles wide probably in the northeast quadrant. The majority of the damage you're going to see from Ernesto is localized flooding and spontaneous tornadoes. As for your power going, depending on how saturated the ground is near your area you could see a fallen tree uprooted from the ground here and there, but I wouldn't expect anything that would have you without power for days on end. Also lightning strikes are an abnormality in tropical systems.

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