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TD Ernesto main thread
08-22-2006, 09:43 PM
Post: #11
TD Ernesto main thread
Latest Disco says TD in a day or two ~ we wait we watch again
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08-22-2006, 10:07 PM
Post: #12
TD Ernesto main thread
This could be the first big one that keeps us on our toes. We will see.
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08-22-2006, 10:27 PM
Post: #13
TD Ernesto main thread
Since T.D. 4 looks like it will turn into Debby, by the end of the week could we also have Ernesto?

Erin August 2, 1995 Cat. 2

Opal October 4, 1995 Cat. 3

Ivan (the Terrible) September 15-16, 2004 Cat. 3

Dennis (the Menace) July 10, 2005 Cat. 3
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08-22-2006, 10:29 PM
Post: #14
TD Ernesto main thread
Atlantafan Wrote:Since T.D. 4 looks like it will turn into Debby, by the end of the week could we also have Ernesto?

Well, now that we DO have Debby... I wouldn't be surprised
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08-22-2006, 10:32 PM
Post: #15
TD Ernesto main thread
Ares Wrote:Well, now that we DO have Debby... I wouldn't be surprised

Sorry about that, I didn't look at the recent advisory before I posted.

Erin August 2, 1995 Cat. 2

Opal October 4, 1995 Cat. 3

Ivan (the Terrible) September 15-16, 2004 Cat. 3

Dennis (the Menace) July 10, 2005 Cat. 3
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08-22-2006, 10:34 PM
Post: #16
TD Ernesto main thread
this thing isn't going to do much in the next 48 hours except fight for it's life

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08-22-2006, 11:28 PM
Post: #17
TD Ernesto main thread
ROLLTIDE Wrote:this thing isn't going to do much in the next 48 hours except fight for it's life
and i, for one, am hoping it loses that fight!! :gun1:
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08-22-2006, 11:55 PM (This post was last modified: 08-25-2006 08:36 AM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #18
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Here are the latest OFFICIAL model runs as of 23/00Z by the NHC

Retired from ASA now for some real flying
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08-23-2006, 05:54 AM
Post: #19
TD Ernesto main thread
[Image: sm20060823.1015.goes12.x.vis1km_high.97L....100pc.jpg]

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08-23-2006, 06:41 AM (This post was last modified: 08-23-2006 06:49 AM by ROLLTIDE.)
Post: #20
TD Ernesto main thread
Abnt20 Knhc 230902
Twoat
Tropical Weather Outlook
Nws Tpc/national Hurricane Center Miami Fl
530 Am Edt Wed Aug 23 2006

For The North Atlantic...caribbean Sea And The Gulf Of Mexico...
......
A Well-defined Tropical Wave Located About 550 Miles East Of The
Windward Islands Is Moving Westward At 15 To 20 Mph. Although
This System Has Changed Little In Organization Overnight...it Has
The Potential To Develop Into A Tropical Depression During The
Next Day Or Two. Interests In The Lesser Antilles Should Closely
Monitor The Progress Of This System.
......
$$
Forecaster Brown/pasch



No hint of a circulation yet:
[Image: WMBas26.png]

Our good old aggressive Canadian Model develops this system into at least a tropical storm and puts it near Cancun MX in 6 days.
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